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Title: FL Targoz: Scott +4 Post by: DataGuy on November 03, 2018, 03:38:22 PM Rick Scott (R): 49%
Bill Nelson (D): 45% https://www.targoz.com/market-matters-blog/2018/11/3/florida-poll-tight-races-for-senate-and-governor-could-yield-another-election-night-surprise Title: Re: FL Targoz: Scott +4 Post by: Landslide Lyndon on November 03, 2018, 03:41:03 PM Let's just say that if Bredesen wins while Nelson loses, this firm will become the new gold standard of polling.
Title: Re: FL Targoz: Scott +4 Post by: IceSpear on November 03, 2018, 03:41:29 PM LMAO!!!
I'm sure all the people who believed their Tennessee poll will now say it is junk. :) Title: Re: FL Targoz: Scott +4 Post by: ON Progressive on November 03, 2018, 03:42:32 PM Junk! Are we seriously supposed to believe Bredesen is tied while Nelson is losing by 4 in a much less red state?
Title: Re: FL Targoz: Scott +4 Post by: Tender Branson on November 03, 2018, 03:42:55 PM Junk poll !
Title: Re: FL Targoz: Scott +4 Post by: IceSpear on November 03, 2018, 03:44:58 PM I'm sure all the people who believed their Tennessee poll will now say it is junk. :) That was quick. Title: Re: FL Targoz: Scott +4 Post by: Ebsy on November 03, 2018, 03:45:07 PM Who is this pollster lol?
Title: Re: FL Targoz: Scott +4 Post by: ON Progressive on November 03, 2018, 03:46:48 PM Who is this pollster lol? They're some market research firm from Nashville as far as my googling can tell. Title: Re: FL Targoz: Scott +4 Post by: scutosaurus on November 03, 2018, 03:47:26 PM LMAO!!! I'm sure all the people who believed their Tennessee poll will now say it is junk. :) Both polls are junk. Title: Re: FL Targoz: Scott +4 Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on November 03, 2018, 03:52:56 PM LMAO!!! I'm sure all the people who believed their Tennessee poll will now say it is junk. :) Both polls are junk. Title: Re: FL Targoz: Scott +4 Post by: IceSpear on November 03, 2018, 03:53:21 PM LMAO!!! I'm sure all the people who believed their Tennessee poll will now say it is junk. :) Both polls are junk. Obviously. But the point is that many posters had no problem believing it when it told them what they wanted to hear, but now will dismiss it when it doesn't. The flagrant hackery is beyond the pale. Title: Re: FL Targoz: Scott +4 Post by: Person Man on November 03, 2018, 03:54:44 PM LMAO!!! I'm sure all the people who believed their Tennessee poll will now say it is junk. :) Both polls are junk. Obviously. But the point is that many posters had no problem believing it when it told them what they wanted to hear, but now will dismiss it when it doesn't. The flagrant hackery is beyond the pale. I don't believe any of them. I think Nelson is up by about two and Blackburn is up by about 5. Title: Re: FL Targoz: Scott +4 Post by: MT Treasurer on November 03, 2018, 04:09:14 PM Tuesday, a delicate election day. Are you ready for it ? On Wednesday, there will be bad blood but one of them will go out with style. But right now, it seems Blackburn can't shake off the Phil. She doesn't want to live in Congress forever, right ? Hopefully, Tennesseans can say on Wednesday: "Look what you made us do !" Sad! Title: Re: FL Targoz: Scott +4 Post by: MT Treasurer on November 03, 2018, 04:11:14 PM Anyway, while I doubt that Scott wins in a big Democratic wave, this race certainly isn’t over yet, and FL is probably the fourth most vulnerable Democratic seat after ND, MO, IN.
Title: Re: FL Targoz: Scott +4 Post by: Xing on November 03, 2018, 04:13:40 PM Yeah, as others have said, Tennessee is not voting 4 points to the left of Florida.
Title: Re: FL Targoz: Scott +4 Post by: Co-Chair Bagel23 on November 03, 2018, 04:17:10 PM People are starting to forget that this aint over yet (btw I still think Nelson wins).
Title: Re: FL Targoz: Scott +4 Post by: Woody on November 03, 2018, 04:22:05 PM OH MY GOD! I told you guys Scott was going to surge in the polls.
Title: Re: FL Targoz: Scott +4 Post by: Politician on November 03, 2018, 04:22:27 PM But IceSpear told me Scott and Bredesen couldn't win at the same time!
Title: Re: FL Targoz: Scott +4 Post by: ON Progressive on November 03, 2018, 04:23:34 PM But IceSpear told me Scott and Bredesen couldn't win at the same time! Because they can't. Title: Re: FL Targoz: Scott +4 Post by: Bidenworth2020 on November 03, 2018, 04:25:12 PM OH MY GOD! I told you guys Scott was going to surge in the polls. Title: Re: FL Targoz: Scott +4 Post by: IceSpear on November 03, 2018, 04:25:47 PM But IceSpear told me Scott and Bredesen couldn't win at the same time! LMAO. Well, I'll give you some credit for not being a hypocrite at least. But this post is not going to age well. Title: Re: FL Targoz: Scott +4 Post by: psychprofessor on November 03, 2018, 04:38:43 PM On the bright side both Nelson and Gillum lead in the early vote according to this poll...
Title: Re: FL Targoz: Scott +4 Post by: Skye on November 03, 2018, 04:41:20 PM who dis
Title: Re: FL Targoz: Scott +4 Post by: DataGuy on November 03, 2018, 04:45:02 PM On the bright side both Nelson and Gillum lead in the early vote according to this poll... Actually, that's not "bright" at all if you're a Democrat, because it suggests yet another redux of past years where Democrats do well in the early vote and then fall to a Republican surge on Election Day. This is the second FL poll to suggest that Republicans have a potentially rich pool of Election Day votes. Title: Re: FL Targoz: Scott +4 Post by: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on November 03, 2018, 04:45:07 PM Well, it's more believable than their TN poll.
Title: Re: FL Targoz: Scott +4 Post by: psychprofessor on November 03, 2018, 04:55:11 PM On the bright side both Nelson and Gillum lead in the early vote according to this poll... Actually, that's not "bright" at all if you're a Democrat, because it suggests yet another redux of past years where Democrats do well in the early vote and then fall to a Republican surge on Election Day. This is the second FL poll to suggest that Republicans have a potentially rich pool of Election Day votes. They aren't "suggesting" a rich pool...they are modeling an electorate. Let me put it this way: in order for Scott and DeSantis to win (if we assume the early vote is to the D's) they need NPA's to break their way. Look at the 2016 exits - how did Trump win Florida when Clinton won the early vote even though the R's had a registration advantage? The late deciders broke his way (55-38), white college women broke his way (60-37) and the Indies broke his way (47-43). https://www.cnn.com/election/2016/results/exit-polls/florida/president Title: Re: FL Targoz: Scott +4 Post by: Hammy on November 03, 2018, 05:01:11 PM Hurricane Bump!!!
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