Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2018 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Dr Oz Lost Party! on November 03, 2018, 11:20:56 PM



Title: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3
Post by: Dr Oz Lost Party! on November 03, 2018, 11:20:56 PM


Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3
Post by: Hindsight was 2020 on November 03, 2018, 11:25:53 PM
I don’t know how to intemperate the fact that two r leaning trash polls are finding Sinema up


Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3
Post by: junior chįmp on November 03, 2018, 11:29:25 PM
Looking forward to Senator Sinema

McSally is a disaster


Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3
Post by: #TheShadowyAbyss on November 03, 2018, 11:34:37 PM
Congrats Senator Sinema!


Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3
Post by: OneJ on November 03, 2018, 11:36:13 PM
Why would they release this?


Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3
Post by: Gass3268 on November 03, 2018, 11:44:54 PM

They are a right-wing pollster, but they don't work for any specific campaign.


Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3
Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on November 03, 2018, 11:45:42 PM

Trafalgar isn't an internal poll, it just has a notably republican house effect. Which means this is actually a great poll for Sinema!


Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on November 04, 2018, 12:18:37 AM
R internal has Sinema ahead. NV they are underestimating Latino strength and AZ poll proves it, Rosen will win also


Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3
Post by: Xing on November 04, 2018, 12:25:30 AM
Yeah, it definitely looks like AZ if more likely to go Democratic than MO/IN (though both of those could go Democratic if they have a good enough night.)


Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3
Post by: SnowLabrador on November 04, 2018, 06:18:56 AM
Trafalgar isn't a right-leaning pollster, it's just a trash pollster. This is the same one that had Kid Rock leading Debbie Stabenow.


Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3
Post by: Person Man on November 04, 2018, 06:35:42 AM
Trafalgar isn't a right-leaning pollster, it's just a trash pollster. This is the same one that had Kid Rock leading Debbie Stabenow.

Who knows if it was true.


Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3
Post by: SN2903 on November 04, 2018, 08:23:16 AM
Trafalgar was the only poll to have Trump ahead in Michigan in 2016


Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3
Post by: Person Man on November 04, 2018, 08:46:07 AM
Trafalgar was the only poll to have Trump ahead in Michigan in 2016

And the only one to have him ahead by a lot in Nevada. For democrats, the good news is that they seem to either be accurate or miss a lot of Democrats and the bad news is that they are more than due for a poll that overestimates Democrats.


Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3
Post by: MT Treasurer on November 04, 2018, 09:36:23 AM
I’ve never understood why some Republicans thought a Senate race in a Democratic-trending Trump +3.5 state would be Lean or even Likely R in a worse year for Republicans than 2016 was. McSally is easily one of my least favorite Republican Senate candidates, so I’m fine with her losing if we can make up for a loss here elsewhere. :)


Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3
Post by: Landslide Lyndon on November 04, 2018, 10:11:59 AM
Trafalgar was the only poll to have Trump ahead in Michigan in 2016

They also had Roy Moore winning by 5.


Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3
Post by: scutosaurus on November 04, 2018, 10:12:33 AM
If even Trafalgar is finding Sinema ahead, this race might be over.


Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3
Post by: ηєω ƒяσηтιєя on November 04, 2018, 10:58:17 AM
If even Trafalgar is finding Sinema ahead, this race might be over.


Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3
Post by: Hammy on November 04, 2018, 01:24:27 PM
Trafalgar was the only poll to have Trump ahead in Michigan in 2016

They also had Roy Moore winning by 5.

Are they better in the Midwest or were MI/PA simply lucky flukes?