Title: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3 Post by: Dr Oz Lost Party! on November 03, 2018, 11:20:56 PM Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3 Post by: Hindsight was 2020 on November 03, 2018, 11:25:53 PM I don’t know how to intemperate the fact that two r leaning trash polls are finding Sinema up
Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3 Post by: junior chįmp on November 03, 2018, 11:29:25 PM Looking forward to Senator Sinema
McSally is a disaster Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3 Post by: #TheShadowyAbyss on November 03, 2018, 11:34:37 PM Congrats Senator Sinema!
Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3 Post by: OneJ on November 03, 2018, 11:36:13 PM Why would they release this?
Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3 Post by: Gass3268 on November 03, 2018, 11:44:54 PM Why would they release this? They are a right-wing pollster, but they don't work for any specific campaign. Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3 Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on November 03, 2018, 11:45:42 PM Why would they release this? Trafalgar isn't an internal poll, it just has a notably republican house effect. Which means this is actually a great poll for Sinema! Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3 Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on November 04, 2018, 12:18:37 AM R internal has Sinema ahead. NV they are underestimating Latino strength and AZ poll proves it, Rosen will win also
Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3 Post by: Xing on November 04, 2018, 12:25:30 AM Yeah, it definitely looks like AZ if more likely to go Democratic than MO/IN (though both of those could go Democratic if they have a good enough night.)
Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3 Post by: SnowLabrador on November 04, 2018, 06:18:56 AM Trafalgar isn't a right-leaning pollster, it's just a trash pollster. This is the same one that had Kid Rock leading Debbie Stabenow.
Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3 Post by: Person Man on November 04, 2018, 06:35:42 AM Trafalgar isn't a right-leaning pollster, it's just a trash pollster. This is the same one that had Kid Rock leading Debbie Stabenow. Who knows if it was true. Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3 Post by: SN2903 on November 04, 2018, 08:23:16 AM Trafalgar was the only poll to have Trump ahead in Michigan in 2016
Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3 Post by: Person Man on November 04, 2018, 08:46:07 AM Trafalgar was the only poll to have Trump ahead in Michigan in 2016 And the only one to have him ahead by a lot in Nevada. For democrats, the good news is that they seem to either be accurate or miss a lot of Democrats and the bad news is that they are more than due for a poll that overestimates Democrats. Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3 Post by: MT Treasurer on November 04, 2018, 09:36:23 AM I’ve never understood why some Republicans thought a Senate race in a Democratic-trending Trump +3.5 state would be Lean or even Likely R in a worse year for Republicans than 2016 was. McSally is easily one of my least favorite Republican Senate candidates, so I’m fine with her losing if we can make up for a loss here elsewhere. :)
Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3 Post by: Landslide Lyndon on November 04, 2018, 10:11:59 AM Trafalgar was the only poll to have Trump ahead in Michigan in 2016 They also had Roy Moore winning by 5. Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3 Post by: scutosaurus on November 04, 2018, 10:12:33 AM If even Trafalgar is finding Sinema ahead, this race might be over.
Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3 Post by: ηєω ƒяσηтιєя on November 04, 2018, 10:58:17 AM If even Trafalgar is finding Sinema ahead, this race might be over. Title: Re: AZ-Trafalgar (R): Sinema +3 Post by: Hammy on November 04, 2018, 01:24:27 PM Trafalgar was the only poll to have Trump ahead in Michigan in 2016 They also had Roy Moore winning by 5. Are they better in the Midwest or were MI/PA simply lucky flukes? |