Talk Elections

New Poll: Michigan Senator by Trafalgar Group on 2018-11-05 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2018/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=26120181105248)

Summary: D: 53%, R: 44%, I: 1%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (https://drive.google.com/file/d/1bC6TCKaGIK_F3UP1w9F0sIaS-RWWtSYE/view)

This seems to be another poll suggesting that Stabenow will win by a comfortable, but underwhelming margin, at least compared to her past two victories.

So much for James-mentum. Safe D.

So much for the Jamesmentum.

Remember when I told everyone for months that Stabenow would win by mid-high single digits and everyone said that was impossible because Stabenow was going to win by 134013491309

It's definitely looking possible now. I thought that Stabenow would win by the typical 15-18 pts. that she always wins by, and that too, is still a possibility tomorrow. But James managing to come within single digits in this environment would be an accomplishment by itself, since no Republican has come within single digits in a Senate race in Michigan since 2000, when Stabenow narrowly defeated her predecessor, Spencer Abraham, to win her first term.

Our friends at Trafalgar apparently think that Trump's approval rating in Michigan is 56/42.

LOL

Either this or the Montana race could turn out to be one like Virginia 2014 where Democrats weren't too concerned but Republicans got pretty close.

West Virginia is another good candidate for that.

Remember that polling this cycle began with a Trafalgar poll showing Kid Rock beating Stabenow? Good times!

There was a poll yesterday showing a 2 point race. It's def closer than 9. I think it's a MOE race right now and depends all on turnout.

This says all one needs to know about this poll.

Yet Stabenow is still up almost double digits.

Exactly.

No she isn't. There are two polls within 3 in the last few days. It's close.

I thought polls didn't matter though?