Atlas Forum

Election Archive => 2018 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Dr. RI on November 06, 2018, 12:39:49 am



Title: MI: Trafalgar Group: Stabenow +9
Post by: Dr. RI on November 06, 2018, 12:39:49 am
New Poll: Michigan Senator by Trafalgar Group on 2018-11-05 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2018/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=26120181105248)

Summary: D: 53%, R: 44%, I: 1%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (https://drive.google.com/file/d/1bC6TCKaGIK_F3UP1w9F0sIaS-RWWtSYE/view)


Title: Re: MI: Trafalgar Group: Stabenow +9
Post by: Calthrina950 on November 06, 2018, 12:41:18 am
New Poll: Michigan Senator by Trafalgar Group on 2018-11-05 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2018/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=26120181105248)

Summary: D: 53%, R: 44%, I: 1%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (https://drive.google.com/file/d/1bC6TCKaGIK_F3UP1w9F0sIaS-RWWtSYE/view)

This seems to be another poll suggesting that Stabenow will win by a comfortable, but underwhelming margin, at least compared to her past two victories.


Title: Re: MI: Trafalgar Group: Stabenow +9
Post by: Pericles on November 06, 2018, 01:01:03 am
So much for James-mentum. Safe D.


Title: Re: MI: Trafalgar Group: Stabenow +9
Post by: For Trump everything, for immigrants the law on November 06, 2018, 01:01:41 am
So much for the Jamesmentum.


Title: Re: MI: Trafalgar Group: Stabenow +9
Post by: UncleSam on November 06, 2018, 01:42:55 am
Remember when I told everyone for months that Stabenow would win by mid-high single digits and everyone said that was impossible because Stabenow was going to win by 134013491309


Title: Re: MI: Trafalgar Group: Stabenow +9
Post by: Calthrina950 on November 06, 2018, 01:53:12 am
Remember when I told everyone for months that Stabenow would win by mid-high single digits and everyone said that was impossible because Stabenow was going to win by 134013491309

It's definitely looking possible now. I thought that Stabenow would win by the typical 15-18 pts. that she always wins by, and that too, is still a possibility tomorrow. But James managing to come within single digits in this environment would be an accomplishment by itself, since no Republican has come within single digits in a Senate race in Michigan since 2000, when Stabenow narrowly defeated her predecessor, Spencer Abraham, to win her first term.


Title: Re: MI: Trafalgar Group: Stabenow +9
Post by: Ebsy on November 06, 2018, 02:01:58 am
Our friends at Trafalgar apparently think that Trump's approval rating in Michigan is 56/42.


Title: Re: MI: Trafalgar Group: Stabenow +9
Post by: Lok on November 06, 2018, 03:12:43 am
Our friends at Trafalgar apparently think that Trump's approval rating in Michigan is 56/42.
LOL


Title: Re: MI: Trafalgar Group: Stabenow +9
Post by: Edgar Suit Larry on November 06, 2018, 03:17:23 am
Either this or the Montana race could turn out to be one like Virginia 2014 where Democrats weren't too concerned but Republicans got pretty close.


Title: Re: MI: Trafalgar Group: Stabenow +9
Post by: Calthrina950 on November 06, 2018, 03:43:19 am
Either this or the Montana race could turn out to be one like Virginia 2014 where Democrats weren't too concerned but Republicans got pretty close.

West Virginia is another good candidate for that.


Title: Re: MI: Trafalgar Group: Stabenow +9
Post by: Gass3268 on November 06, 2018, 07:55:46 am
Remember that polling this cycle began with a Trafalgar poll showing Kid Rock beating Stabenow? Good times!


Title: Re: MI: Trafalgar Group: Stabenow +9
Post by: SN2903 on November 06, 2018, 08:02:58 am
There was a poll yesterday showing a 2 point race. It's def closer than 9. I think it's a MOE race right now and depends all on turnout.


Title: Re: MI: Trafalgar Group: Stabenow +9
Post by: Badger on November 06, 2018, 10:08:50 am
Our friends at Trafalgar apparently think that Trump's approval rating in Michigan is 56/42.

This says all one needs to know about this poll.


Title: Re: MI: Trafalgar Group: Stabenow +9
Post by: Gass3268 on November 06, 2018, 10:10:46 am
Our friends at Trafalgar apparently think that Trump's approval rating in Michigan is 56/42.

This says all one needs to know about this poll.

Yet Stabenow is still up almost double digits.


Title: Re: MI: Trafalgar Group: Stabenow +9
Post by: Badger on November 06, 2018, 12:38:57 pm
Our friends at Trafalgar apparently think that Trump's approval rating in Michigan is 56/42.

This says all one needs to know about this poll.

Yet Stabenow is still up almost double digits.

Exactly.


Title: Re: MI: Trafalgar Group: Stabenow +9
Post by: SN2903 on November 06, 2018, 12:46:53 pm
Our friends at Trafalgar apparently think that Trump's approval rating in Michigan is 56/42.

This says all one needs to know about this poll.

Yet Stabenow is still up almost double digits.

Exactly.
No she isn't. There are two polls within 3 in the last few days. It's close.


Title: Re: MI: Trafalgar Group: Stabenow +9
Post by: Skunk on November 06, 2018, 12:48:23 pm
Our friends at Trafalgar apparently think that Trump's approval rating in Michigan is 56/42.

This says all one needs to know about this poll.

Yet Stabenow is still up almost double digits.

Exactly.
No she isn't. There are two polls within 3 in the last few days. It's close.
I thought polls didn't matter though?