Atlas Forum

Election Archive => 2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Dr. RI on November 06, 2018, 12:21:24 pm



Title: FL: Trafalgar Group: DeSantis +3
Post by: Dr. RI on November 06, 2018, 12:21:24 pm
New Poll: Florida Governor by Trafalgar Group on 2018-11-05 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2018/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=1220181105248)

Summary: D: 47%, R: 50%, I: 1%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (https://drive.google.com/file/d/1ExmsCdRQYGvT7jRxcQx5NZlr7Gq40nWD/view)


Title: Re: FL: Trafalgar Group: DeSantis +3
Post by: Edgar Suit Larry on November 06, 2018, 12:36:43 pm
According to RCP, he is still only winning if there is a 3 point Bradley Effect.


Title: Re: FL: Trafalgar Group: DeSantis +3
Post by: Young Conservative on November 06, 2018, 12:37:31 pm
According to RCP, he is still only winning if there is a 3 point Bradley Effect.
Or just a small, typical polling error


Title: Re: FL: Trafalgar Group: DeSantis +3
Post by: Edgar Suit Larry on November 06, 2018, 12:39:12 pm
According to RCP, he is still only winning if there is a 3 point Bradley Effect.
Or just a small, typical polling error

3.3 points over several polls?


Title: Re: FL: Trafalgar Group: DeSantis +3
Post by: Gass3268 on November 06, 2018, 01:12:05 pm
This poll has DeSantis winning Hispanics by 7.2%. Even Rubio lost Hispanics by 2 points in his blowout win.


Title: Re: FL: Trafalgar Group: DeSantis +3
Post by: North Fulton Democrat on November 06, 2018, 11:54:03 pm
According to RCP, he is still only winning if there is a 3 point Bradley Effect.

That's just what happened.


Title: Re: FL: Trafalgar Group: DeSantis +3
Post by: Edgar Suit Larry on November 07, 2018, 12:55:03 am
According to RCP, he is still only winning if there is a 3 point Bradley Effect.

That's just what happened.

This was almost a 5 point Bradley Effect.