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Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion => Election Predictions => Topic started by: 🗣️ Einstein Was a Socialist 🗣️ on March 08, 2019, 01:06:24 pm



Title: Predict the margin of victory in the following states in 2020
Post by: 🗣️ Einstein Was a Socialist 🗣️ on March 08, 2019, 01:06:24 pm
- California
- Oregon
- New Mexico
- Wyoming
- West Virginia
- Rhode Island
- Connecticut
- Delaware
- Oklahoma
- North Dakota
- South Dakota
- Utah

All safe states where Trump or Clinton really overperformed/underperformed in 2016.

Bonus: which one will swing the hardest in the other direction compared to the 2016 results?


Title: Re: Predict the margin of victory in the following states in 2020
Post by: Filinovich on March 08, 2019, 05:33:14 pm
NM: D+12
UT: R+14
OR: D+15
DE: D+15
CT: D+17
RI: D+19
SD: R+26
ND: R+32
OK: R+33
CA: D+34
WV: R+38
WY: R+43

I imagine the state that will swing the hardest in the opposite direction that it did from 2016 will be the state that swung the most from 2012 to 2016. My guess would be Utah assuming that another McMullin figure doesn't run.

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