Talk Elections

Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion => 2012 U.S. Presidential Election Results => Topic started by: darklordoftech on March 19, 2019, 09:44:12 AM



Title: Did prejudice against Mormons help Obama?
Post by: darklordoftech on March 19, 2019, 09:44:12 AM
Did anyone vote for Obama or stay home because they weren't willing to vote for a Mormon?


Title: Re: Did prejudice against Mormons help Obama?
Post by: Some of My Best Friends Are Gay on March 19, 2019, 11:18:31 AM
No, the number of voters who would have otherwise voted for a Republican but refused to vote for Romney because of his religion was almost definitely too small to have any real impact on the election.


Title: Re: Did prejudice against Mormons help Obama?
Post by: CatoMinor on March 19, 2019, 11:55:42 AM
Probably with some, but not enough to be statistically significant.


Title: Re: Did prejudice against Mormons help Obama?
Post by: Some of My Best Friends Are Gay on March 20, 2019, 11:47:16 AM
Probably with some, but not enough to be statistically significant.

I can't see too many people who would be uncomfortable voting for a Mormon being comfortable voting for a black man.


Title: Re: Did prejudice against Mormons help Obama?
Post by: CatoMinor on March 20, 2019, 12:16:06 PM
Probably with some, but not enough to be statistically significant.

I can't see too many people who would be uncomfortable voting for a Mormon being comfortable voting for a black man.

A centrist evangelical christian (yes they exist)


Title: Re: Did prejudice against Mormons help Obama?
Post by: Obama-Biden Democrat on March 20, 2019, 03:38:01 PM
Probably with some, but not enough to be statistically significant.

I can't see too many people who would be uncomfortable voting for a Mormon being comfortable voting for a black man.

Most would have the attitude of ' better a Mormon than a black guy'.


Title: Re: Did prejudice against Mormons help Obama?
Post by: TDAS04 on March 20, 2019, 03:49:13 PM
Imagine telling someone in the heart of rural Georgia back the 1950s, that someday, they would cast a vote for a Yankee Mormon Republican--and that they would have to, to stop a black guy!


Title: Re: Did prejudice against Mormons help Obama?
Post by: MASHED POTATOES. VOTE! on March 21, 2019, 07:02:38 AM
Atlas Democrats surely loved to play that card back in 2012.


Title: Re: Did prejudice against Mormons help Obama?
Post by: DabbingSanta on March 21, 2019, 01:28:03 PM
Imagine telling someone in the heart of rural Georgia back the 1950s, that someday, they would cast a vote for a Yankee Mormon Republican--and that they would have to, to stop a black guy!

Or that they'd be voting for a Republican billionaire from New York four years later. Man, times have changed


Title: Re: Did prejudice against Mormons help Obama?
Post by: DINGO Joe on March 22, 2019, 01:51:03 PM
Imagine telling someone in the heart of rural Georgia back the 1950s, that someday, they would cast a vote for a Yankee Mormon Republican--and that they would have to, to stop a black guy!

Makes you wish you had a time machine.


Title: Re: Did prejudice against Mormons help Obama?
Post by: RINO Tom on March 22, 2019, 04:15:59 PM
"Anyone who wouldn't vote for a _____ because he/she is a _____ wouldn't vote Democrat anyway!!!!!!!!!"


Title: Re: Did prejudice against Mormons help Obama?
Post by: Del Tachi on March 22, 2019, 04:41:49 PM
There were swings in the Bible Belt toward Obama in 2012, Mississippi and Louisiana swung to the left in 2012.


Title: Re: Did prejudice against Mormons help Obama?
Post by: Some of My Best Friends Are Gay on March 22, 2019, 05:03:09 PM
There were swings in the Bible Belt toward Obama in 2012, Mississippi and Louisiana swung to the left in 2012.

This came entirely from black voters, who would never have voted for a Republican regardless of their religion.

Deep South whites certainly didn't swing towards Obama in 2012.


Title: Re: Did prejudice against Mormons help Obama?
Post by: darklordoftech on March 22, 2019, 05:08:54 PM
There were swings in the Bible Belt toward Obama in 2012, Mississippi and Louisiana swung to the left in 2012.

This came entirely from black voters, who would never have voted for a Republican regardless of their religion.
Where were those black voters in 2008?


Title: Re: Did prejudice against Mormons help Obama?
Post by: Some of My Best Friends Are Gay on March 23, 2019, 01:06:00 AM
There were swings in the Bible Belt toward Obama in 2012, Mississippi and Louisiana swung to the left in 2012.

This came entirely from black voters, who would never have voted for a Republican regardless of their religion.
Where were those black voters in 2008?

I assume that black turnout was actually higher in those states in 2012, because if you look at exit polls, Obama did worse with whites in them compared to 2008.


Title: Re: Did prejudice against Mormons help Obama?
Post by: beaver2.0 on March 23, 2019, 08:53:28 AM
Maybe a little bit.  Maybe a few people voted for Obama for that reason but I doubt it swung any counties, let alone states.


Title: Re: Did prejudice against Mormons help Obama?
Post by: darklordoftech on March 23, 2019, 09:22:33 AM
Would prejudice against Mormoms have been a factor if the Democratic candidate was a Clinton, Biden, etc.?


Title: Re: Did prejudice against Mormons help Obama?
Post by: brucejoel99 on July 30, 2019, 03:35:45 AM
No way it mattered in a statistically significant manner, no.


Title: Re: Did prejudice against Mormons help Obama?
Post by: morgankingsley on September 27, 2019, 10:25:53 PM
Maybe enough to where Romney would have gotten 48 percent, but not much more


Title: Re: Did prejudice against Mormons help Obama?
Post by: DINGO Joe on October 11, 2019, 09:20:20 AM
Imagine telling someone in the heart of rural Georgia back the 1950s, that someday, they would cast a vote for a Yankee Mormon Republican--and that they would have to, to stop a black guy!

Makes you wish you had a time machine.

On second thought, why the hell would I want to be in rural Georgia in the 50s?


Title: Re: Did prejudice against Mormons help Obama?
Post by: Motorcity on January 22, 2021, 02:28:43 PM
1. Most Americans did not know he was a Mormon

2. Most Americans do not know much about Mormonism outside of Utah. If they do, all they know is that they used to allow multiple wives. Romney clearly had one wife so it didn't matter

3. No one cares. Its 2012, most white Americans are just lumped together. No one cares if you are Irish or German or Baptist or Catholic. The amount of people who do are too small to affect an election.


Romney lost because Obama was a popular incumbent who had a strong coalition. The economy was improving and Obama was very strong in the Midwest for saving the auto industry. Plus Republicans were still blamed for the recession. The idea that Romney lost because of his faith is just silly