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Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion => 2012 U.S. Presidential Election Results => Topic started by: bagelman on April 07, 2019, 06:35:47 am



Title: Most surprising single county of 2012?
Post by: bagelman on April 07, 2019, 06:35:47 am
Were there any surprising county results in 2012?


Title: Re: Most surprising single county of 2012?
Post by: You're Still Going to Vote for Biden on June 19, 2019, 07:45:58 pm
In hindsight, it is pretty surprising that Elliott stuck with Obama even as the rest of Appalachia fell to Romney.


Title: Re: Most surprising single county of 2012?
Post by: MT Treasurer on June 19, 2019, 08:27:49 pm
Lake and Peninsula Borough, AK (and the number of McCain 2008/Obama 2012 boroughs in AK in general)


Title: Re: Most surprising single county of 2012?
Post by: gracile on June 19, 2019, 08:40:30 pm
At the time I remember being surprised that Obama managed to carry several of the big suburban Bush - Obama '08 counties against Romney (Loudoun, DuPage, Ventura, Jefferson, CO).

In hindsight though, it is a bit shocking that Obama did so well in Ohio given what happened in 2016. So because of that, I'll say Trumbull, OH because it swung toward Obama and then promptly shifted heavily toward Trump.


Title: Re: Most surprising single county of 2012?
Post by: marty on June 20, 2019, 10:44:14 pm
Not a single county, but Obama's performance in southern and south east ohio. He improved on his 2008 margins all over the region.


Title: Re: Most surprising single county of 2012?
Post by: Skye on June 21, 2019, 06:29:09 am
Miami-Dade, how it swung so heavily towards Obama.


Title: Re: Most surprising single county of 2012?
Post by: Landslide Warren on June 21, 2019, 03:39:52 pm
Not a single county, but Obama's performance in southern and south east ohio. He improved on his 2008 margins all over the region.
Given how strongly Appalachia swung against him, why did this particular region swing towards him? Ross County swung 6 points towards him.


Title: Re: Most surprising single county of 2012?
Post by: brucejoel99 on July 30, 2019, 03:37:02 am
Miami-Dade, how it swung so heavily towards Obama.

This. I remember MDC turnout was surprisingly massive in 2012.


Title: Re: Most surprising single county of 2012?
Post by: #Split California In 4 on July 30, 2019, 07:35:41 pm
The general fact that Ohio had a huge cluster of D trending Counties in the South-Central area of the state that just entirely stopped at the Kentucky border, and then Kentucky also had a huge cluster of D trending Counties in the North-Central area of the state that just entirely stopped at the Indiana border.