Talk Elections

https://morningconsult.com/governor-rankings/

It's hilarious how unpopular Bevin is yet he's still going to get re-elected easily. Otherwise good numbers for all governors up in 2019 and 2020. Oh, and Bullock is an idiot if he passes on a senate run with those numbers.

On the other hand, Morning Consult, so maybe best not to analyse too deeply.

Too bad no Dem governors rank higher. It's still so hilarious a GOP governor of the deepest blue state ranks first.

Ralph Northam is back in the positive range, lol. Also he'll probably still win, but Bevin's not in the best spot to start out his reelection campaign.

It seems like new governors tend to get the benefit of the doubt for their first few months and nobody except hardcore partisans tend to disapprove of non-controversial governors. So I don't think this is too meaningful. I am starting to think Bevin is a little vulnerable though. If Republicans don't take the race seriously I actually think he could lose.

How is Northam even remotely popular?

Its Virginia and he has the D next to his name.

53-32% for my man Wolf!

He kept his head down and name out of the news. People forget.

The VA Dems will still pressure McAuliffe to run for Governor in 2021.

10/10 most popular are Republicans

7/10 most unpopular are Democrats (and 4 of the bottom 5)

Looks like the Dems need to run Generic Democrat in more races.

It also seems that a lot of voters who wanted a check on Trump/are genuinely put off by the National GOP still are perfectly fine with their LOCAL Republicans running the show in many places.

Teflon Ralph!

Unbeatable Titan Charlie Baker! <3 This guy is so impressive. Also notable that Steve Bullock ranks on top of Democratic governors.

Lol at Ned Lamont, he's already unpopular.

It’s Morning Consult, but people are kidding themselves if they think Bullock wouldn’t make MT-SEN at least a Toss-up.

Bill Lee has a pretty incredible split, with simultaneously having the name recognition for a top 10 approval rating while also having only a 14% disapproval rating.

It wouldn't surprise me if he only gets token opposition in 2022, especially if Trump loses.  It's probably possible that he could match Haslam's 2014 county sweep.

Bevin may be unpopular, but that doesn't mean Republicans won't vote for him. Just ask Senator Grimes how easy it is to beat an unpopular Republican in Kentucky.

What absolutely gobsmacks me is Laura Kelly's approvals. As someone mentioned before me, it's Morning Consult, but hot damn.

Why is Kate Brown in the net negative?

Again, not a very good pollster, but no way KY-GOV is Safe R if Bevin’s approval is at 33/52. He’s even less popular than McConnell.

To be fair, exit polls on Election Day 2014 had Grimes as even more unpopular than McConnell (-17 vs. even). Grimes also made several tactical blunders during her campaign which contributed to the magnitude of the defeat.

McConnell was also running for Senate against an unpopular opponent in a Republican wave year.

I think you're right. I'd still prefer him to be the presidential nominee, but let's not kid ourselfes, this won't happen sadly. He should run for senate and help Democrats to gain the chamber back (in addition to Colorado, Arizona and North Carolina at least). Hope Chuck Schumer makes a call.

Maybe he changes his mind after that? I don't know what Montana filing deadlines for senate races are. Chuck Schumer and Jon Tester should convince him to do it.

Starting to wonder if unbeatable unstoppable Chucky Baker runs for a third term.

He will, the real question is if he wants to challenge Markey or Warren, Markey is very old and Baker os much stronger than Scott Brown, but polarization is a lot higher. If he did successfully pull it off, he would be DOA in 6 years, I could see him staying as Governor, moving to Nantucket and running for that district in a red wave, especially after Keating retires. I doubt, that he wants to be Governor for 30 years, but he can, if he wants, if he wants higher office, is really the real question

I wouldn't be surprised. However, I think someone like (then President) Joe Biden could appoint him to the cabinet or an ambassadorship.

Laura Kelly with a +23 approval rating overall and only down 3 with Reps. Clearly DOA in 2022 ::)

#AtlasHotTakes

I mean don't think she is DOA but this is Morning Consult

Bullock is an idiot if he does not run for senate. He might not win, but he would make it close and the GOP would realy have to fight to keep Daines. Meanwhile he provides no value by running for president.

Westerners love incumbents. Just look at Dave "90% Approvals" Freudenthal.

Also, I suspect that this is what happens when the previous governor makes a concerted effort to dump on everyone to the left of Mussolini.

I agree. The dude should run for senate rather than for prez, where he has zero chance to get the nod despite being a formidable candidate for the GE. If he can win Daines' seat, Dems have a reasonable path to 50+ senators.

Ask Senator Bill Weld how that went for him.