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Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion => Gubernatorial/State Elections => Topic started by: LoneStarDem on April 26, 2019, 02:45:28 pm



Title: MI State Legislature
Post by: LoneStarDem on April 26, 2019, 02:45:28 pm
What are the odds of the MI Dems regaining control of both chambers of the MI State Legislature ?


Title: Re: MI State Legislature
Post by: Politician on April 26, 2019, 02:49:36 pm
The House is a tossup while the Senate is Lean/Likely R (I'm pretty sure only the redrawn seats would be up).


Title: Re: MI State Legislature
Post by: #Kavanaugh For Prison on April 26, 2019, 03:31:19 pm
Any location in Michigan that Dana Nessell won is an automatic Democratic gain.


Title: Re: MI State Legislature
Post by: Deluded retread Vice Chair LFROMNJ on April 26, 2019, 03:35:59 pm
Any location in Michigan that Dana Nessell won is an automatic Democratic gain.

Clearly Gogebic county is Safe D in 2020 /s Even for you thats a far take.


Title: Re: MI State Legislature
Post by: #Kavanaugh For Prison on April 26, 2019, 03:45:51 pm
Any location in Michigan that Dana Nessell won is an automatic Democratic gain.

Clearly Gogebic county is Safe D in 2020 /s Even for you thats a far take.

It is. Honestly, the 2016 result in Gogebic County seems like it was nothing more than 1 of the biggest flukes in political history.

Rick Snyder even lost it in his 18 point statewide romp in 2010.


Title: Re: MI State Legislature
Post by: Frenchrepublican on April 26, 2019, 05:21:31 pm
Any location in Michigan that Dana Nessell won is an automatic Democratic gain.

Clearly Gogebic county is Safe D in 2020 /s Even for you thats a far take.

It is. Honestly, the 2016 result in Gogebic County seems like it was nothing more than 1 of the biggest flukes in political history.

Rick Snyder even lost it in his 18 point statewide romp in 2010.

Yeah, and WV will vote for Sanders. Lol


Title: Re: MI State Legislature
Post by: #Kavanaugh For Prison on April 26, 2019, 05:31:12 pm
Any location in Michigan that Dana Nessell won is an automatic Democratic gain.

Clearly Gogebic county is Safe D in 2020 /s Even for you thats a far take.

It is. Honestly, the 2016 result in Gogebic County seems like it was nothing more than 1 of the biggest flukes in political history.

Rick Snyder even lost it in his 18 point statewide romp in 2010.

Yeah, and WV will vote for Sanders. Lol

I never said anything about WV voting Democratic in 2020 in any way. In fact, I fully expect it to be Trumps strongest state in 2020 regardless of who his opponent is.


Title: Re: MI State Legislature
Post by: Frenchrepublican on April 26, 2019, 05:51:36 pm
Any location in Michigan that Dana Nessell won is an automatic Democratic gain.

Clearly Gogebic county is Safe D in 2020 /s Even for you thats a far take.

It is. Honestly, the 2016 result in Gogebic County seems like it was nothing more than 1 of the biggest flukes in political history.

Rick Snyder even lost it in his 18 point statewide romp in 2010.

Yeah, and WV will vote for Sanders. Lol

I never said anything about WV voting Democratic in 2020 in any way. In fact, I fully expect it to be Trumps strongest state in 2020 regardless of who his opponent is.

Saying that Trump victory in Gogebic county is a fluke is really stupid. Itís like pretending that WV or Elliot county would flip back to democrats


Title: Re: MI State Legislature
Post by: #Kavanaugh For Prison on April 26, 2019, 06:53:11 pm
Any location in Michigan that Dana Nessell won is an automatic Democratic gain.

Clearly Gogebic county is Safe D in 2020 /s Even for you thats a far take.

It is. Honestly, the 2016 result in Gogebic County seems like it was nothing more than 1 of the biggest flukes in political history.

Rick Snyder even lost it in his 18 point statewide romp in 2010.

Yeah, and WV will vote for Sanders. Lol

I never said anything about WV voting Democratic in 2020 in any way. In fact, I fully expect it to be Trumps strongest state in 2020 regardless of who his opponent is.

Saying that Trump victory in Gogebic county is a fluke is really stupid. Itís like pretending that WV or Elliot county would flip back to democrats

No its not. Gogebic County in 2016 President has clearly shown itself to be a fluke when looking at numerous election results before, during, and after 2016, none of which show a similar situation. West Virginia electing Shelley Moore Capito to the US House in 2000 and re-electing her in 2002, electing a Republican Governor in 1996, among other things have shown West Virginia to not be a fluke basically immediately. Harold Hal Rogers winning Elliott County by virtue of running unopposed in 2016, then winning it against an actual opponent in 2018, Republicans managing to field an opponent to then-State House Speaker Rocky Adkins in 2016 after letting him run unopposed 10 times in a row from 1996-2014, and the fact that the overall sharp trajectory of the County to the right had already existed by 2008 have shown Elliott County to not be a fluke. Its not an Apples to Apples situation. Its Apples to Oranges to compare Gogebic County to West Virginia or Elliott County.