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Title: Predict when the Twin Cities suburbs go 60% DFL and Greater MN goes 60% GOP Post by: LiberalDem19 on May 21, 2019, 10:37:40 PM 2018 Walz vs. Johnson:
Suburbs: Walz 54-42 Greater MN: Johnson 52-45 I'm thinking the DFL hits 60% in 2028 in the suburbs with growth and increased diversity, although if the GOP moderates post-2020 election, that could change. I'm not sure about the GOP in Greater MN because of Rochester/Mankato growth. Duluth proper used to be losing population seems to have stopped the bleeding. DFLers seem to be leaving the Iron Range in droves. Gonna say 2030 Title: Re: Predict when the Twin Cities suburbs go 60% DFL and Greater MN goes 60% GOP Post by: Grassroots on May 22, 2019, 06:11:52 PM It won't get that polarized. Eventually the republicans are going to moderate, or the democrats are going to either get AOC-ized or become more populistic.
Title: Re: Predict when the Twin Cities suburbs go 60% DFL and Greater MN goes 60% GOP Post by: ElectionsGuy on May 23, 2019, 07:21:10 PM Taking just two party vote share, and defining 'Metro' as Hennepin, Ramsey, Dakota, Washington, Anoka, Carver, and Scott counties.
Metro Clinton: 910,214 (60.7%) Trump: 589,299 (39.3%) Total: 1,499,513 Outstate Trump: 733,933 (61.6%) Clinton: 457,611 (38.4%) Total: 1,191,544 Greater Minnesota already is going about 60% Republican on average. Whether the suburbs go 60% Dem? doubtful, even though the urban and suburban area combined is already at 60%. Title: Re: Predict when the Twin Cities suburbs go 60% DFL and Greater MN goes 60% GOP Post by: LAKISYLVANIA on May 24, 2019, 01:15:40 PM It already sort of is, but I expect a large growth for the GOP in Greater MN cancelling out the effect the more Democratic metro areas.
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