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Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion => Gubernatorial/State Elections => Topic started by: Thunder98 on June 12, 2019, 09:22:13 pm



Title: Tennessee Gov Election Results Map (2002-2018)
Post by: Thunder98 on June 12, 2019, 09:22:13 pm
TN Gov election results since 2002.


Bredesen +3%
()

Bredesen +38.9%
()

Haslem +31.9%
()

Haslem +47.5%
()

Lee +21.1%
()


Title: Re: Tennessee Gov Election Results Map (2002-2018)
Post by: Some of My Best Friends Are Gay on June 12, 2019, 09:46:41 pm
Why did Charlie Brown, the icon of Children's cartoons that he is, do so poorly in 2014?


Title: Re: Tennessee Gov Election Results Map (2002-2018)
Post by: diptheriadan on June 12, 2019, 10:07:57 pm
Why did Charlie Brown, the icon of Children's cartoons that he is, do so poorly in 2014?

He didn't really campaign. Also, IIRC, he came from the least Democratic region in TN, the East, instead of where most come from, either Middle TN or the West.

There's also the fact that Haslam was popular at the time to take into account.


Title: Re: Tennessee Gov Election Results Map (2002-2018)
Post by: TML on June 12, 2019, 10:09:12 pm
If you dig deeper, you will notice that up until 2006, there were a number of rural counties in Western and Middle TN which consistently voted Democratic, but from 2008 onward, these counties have been pretty solidly Republican.


Title: Re: Tennessee Gov Election Results Map (2002-2018)
Post by: Some of My Best Friends Are Gay on June 12, 2019, 11:40:01 pm
If you dig deeper, you will notice that up until 2006, there were a number of rural counties in Western and Middle TN which consistently voted Democratic, but from 2008 onward, these counties have been pretty solidly Republican.

I wonder what happened in 2008 that caused them to flip... 🤔


Title: Re: Tennessee Gov Election Results Map (2002-2018)
Post by: TML on June 13, 2019, 12:20:48 am
If you dig deeper, you will notice that up until 2006, there were a number of rural counties in Western and Middle TN which consistently voted Democratic, but from 2008 onward, these counties have been pretty solidly Republican.

I wonder what happened in 2008 that caused them to flip... 🤔

My best guess is that 2008 was around the time ancestral Democratic voters from the TVA-era finally diminished to the point that they could no longer keep those counties as Democratic strongholds.


Title: Re: Tennessee Gov Election Results Map (2002-2018)
Post by: LoneStarDem on June 13, 2019, 04:59:38 am
What percentage of African Americans & Latinos did Haslam get in 2010 & 2014 ?


Title: Re: Tennessee Gov Election Results Map (2002-2018)
Post by: ElectionsGuy on June 13, 2019, 08:14:06 am
Phil Bredesen will probably be the last Democratic governor there for a long time.


Title: Re: Tennessee Gov Election Results Map (2002-2018)
Post by: smoltchanov on June 13, 2019, 09:20:59 am
Phil Bredesen will probably be the last Democratic governor there for a long time.

Probably - yes. A number of states moved rather strongly Republican in 2008-2010 period, and it's one of them.


Title: Re: Tennessee Gov Election Results Map (2002-2018)
Post by: LoneStarDem on June 13, 2019, 09:51:21 am
Phil Bredesen will probably be the last Democratic governor there for a long time.

Probably - yes. A number of states moved rather strongly Republican in 2008-2010 period, and it's one of them.

You can blame Obama for that because Dems will never get Governorships like TN ever again in our lifetime.

Sad.


Title: Re: Tennessee Gov Election Results Map (2002-2018)
Post by: smoltchanov on June 13, 2019, 10:04:43 am
Phil Bredesen will probably be the last Democratic governor there for a long time.

Probably - yes. A number of states moved rather strongly Republican in 2008-2010 period, and it's one of them.

You can blame Obama for that because Dems will never get Governorships like TN ever again in our lifetime.

Sad.

In some areas - probably. Acadiana, for example, was  pro-Lyndon Johnson, not Barry Goldwater, in 1964 (besides New Orleans - almost only area of Louisiana to do so), and, with few exceptions, voted for Clinton in 1992 and 1996. It even voted mostly Democratic for state legislature in 2007 (some Democrats are still finishing their last term there). But after 2008 it moved heavily Republican, and most of it votes 65-80% Republican now. Somewhat similar processes - in Kentucky, West Virginia, Arkansas, slightly later - Missouri and Indiana...


Title: Re: Tennessee Gov Election Results Map (2002-2018)
Post by: LoneStarDem on June 13, 2019, 10:35:46 am
Phil Bredesen will probably be the last Democratic governor there for a long time.

Probably - yes. A number of states moved rather strongly Republican in 2008-2010 period, and it's one of them.

You can blame Obama for that because Dems will never get Governorships like TN ever again in our lifetime.

Sad.

In some areas - probably. Acadiana, for example, was  pro-Lyndon Johnson, not Barry Goldwater, in 1964 (besides New Orleans - almost only area of Louisiana to do so), and, with few exceptions, voted for Clinton in 1992 and 1996. It even voted mostly Democratic for state legislature in 2007 (some Democrats are still finishing their last term there). But after 2008 it moved heavily Republican, and most of it votes 65-80% Republican now. Somewhat similar processes - in Kentucky, West Virginia, Arkansas, slightly later - Missouri and Indiana...

Would the Dems have avoided all of this IF Obama hadn't showed up on the national scene ?