Talk Elections

Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion => U.S. Presidential Election Results => Topic started by: America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS on June 13, 2019, 12:02:00 AM



Title: Describe a 1940-2012 Republican / 2016 Democratic Voter Demographic
Post by: America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS on June 13, 2019, 12:02:00 AM
Orange County, California transitioned like this, but what type of Voter Demographic was switching like this to cause it to happen.

Edit: made changes to the thread question to make it sensible.


Title: Re: Describe a 1940-2012 Republican / 2016 Democratic Voter
Post by: Some of My Best Friends Are Gay on June 13, 2019, 12:09:49 AM
Almost no one voted like this, since the vast majority of people who were old enough to vote in 1940 would have been dead by 2016.

If I had to describe someone, I'd say a 97 year old walking corpse from Vermont who's been senile for the past 15 years and accidentally checked the box for Hillary before dropping dead in the voting booth.


Title: Re: Describe a 1940-2012 Republican / 2016 Democratic Voter
Post by: America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS on June 13, 2019, 12:19:24 AM
Almost no one voted like this, since the vast majority of people who were old enough to vote in 1940 would have been dead by 2016.

If I had to describe someone, I'd say a 97 year old walking corpse from Vermont who's been senile for the past 15 years and accidentally checked the box for Hillary before dropping dead in the voting booth.

Well, describe a voter demographic like this; not necessarily an individual voter.


Title: Re: Describe a 1940-2012 Republican / 2016 Democratic Voter
Post by: Some of My Best Friends Are Gay on June 13, 2019, 12:24:02 AM
Almost no one voted like this, since the vast majority of people who were old enough to vote in 1940 would have been dead by 2016.

If I had to describe someone, I'd say a 97 year old walking corpse from Vermont who's been senile for the past 15 years and accidentally checked the box for Hillary before dropping dead in the voting booth.

Well, describe a voter demographic like this; not necessarily an individual voter.

Possibly ancestral Republicans in wealthy New England towns?


Title: Re: Describe a 1940-2012 Republican / 2016 Democratic Voter Demographic
Post by: America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS on June 13, 2019, 11:27:26 AM
Almost no one voted like this, since the vast majority of people who were old enough to vote in 1940 would have been dead by 2016.

If I had to describe someone, I'd say a 97 year old walking corpse from Vermont who's been senile for the past 15 years and accidentally checked the box for Hillary before dropping dead in the voting booth.

Well, describe a voter demographic like this; not necessarily an individual voter.

Possibly ancestral Republicans in wealthy New England towns?

Orange County, California is not New England. What Voter Demographic defection in Orange County, California caused the County to vote like this?


Title: Re: Describe a 1940-2012 Republican / 2016 Democratic Voter Demographic
Post by: Some of My Best Friends Are Gay on June 13, 2019, 12:27:42 PM
Almost no one voted like this, since the vast majority of people who were old enough to vote in 1940 would have been dead by 2016.

If I had to describe someone, I'd say a 97 year old walking corpse from Vermont who's been senile for the past 15 years and accidentally checked the box for Hillary before dropping dead in the voting booth.

Well, describe a voter demographic like this; not necessarily fan individual voter.

Possibly ancestral Republicans in wealthy New England towns?

Orange County, California is not New England. What Voter Demographic defection in Orange County, California caused the County to vote like this?

Well, clearly a decent amount of college educated whites defected to Hillary, but the bigger reason that it's becoming much more Democratic is because it's rapidly diversifying.


Title: Re: Describe a 1940-2012 Republican / 2016 Democratic Voter Demographic
Post by: Del Tachi on June 13, 2019, 01:35:51 PM
Almost no one voted like this, since the vast majority of people who were old enough to vote in 1940 would have been dead by 2016.

If I had to describe someone, I'd say a 97 year old walking corpse from Vermont who's been senile for the past 15 years and accidentally checked the box for Hillary before dropping dead in the voting booth.

Well, describe a voter demographic like this; not necessarily an individual voter.

Possibly ancestral Republicans in wealthy New England towns?

Orange County, California is not New England. What Voter Demographic defection in Orange County, California caused the County to vote like this?

It didn't.  Orange County demographics in 2016 are nothing like they were in 1940.


Title: Re: Describe a 1940-2012 Republican / 2016 Democratic Voter Demographic
Post by: RINO Tom on June 13, 2019, 02:43:12 PM
Almost no one voted like this, since the vast majority of people who were old enough to vote in 1940 would have been dead by 2016.

If I had to describe someone, I'd say a 97 year old walking corpse from Vermont who's been senile for the past 15 years and accidentally checked the box for Hillary before dropping dead in the voting booth.

Well, describe a voter demographic like this; not necessarily fan individual voter.

Possibly ancestral Republicans in wealthy New England towns?

Orange County, California is not New England. What Voter Demographic defection in Orange County, California caused the County to vote like this?

Well, clearly a decent amount of college educated whites defected to Hillary, but the bigger reason that it's becoming much more Democratic is because it's rapidly diversifying.

Additionally, the guy who was a young, educated professional with a good job back in the 1970s in Orange County is likely one of the staunchest Republicans in the area, haha.  "This isn't MY Orange County," if you will.


Title: Re: Describe a 1940-2012 Republican / 2016 Democratic Voter Demographic
Post by: Bidenworth2020 on June 15, 2019, 04:24:36 PM
Almost no one voted like this, since the vast majority of people who were old enough to vote in 1940 would have been dead by 2016.

If I had to describe someone, I'd say a 97 year old walking corpse from Vermont who's been senile for the past 15 years and accidentally checked the box for Hillary before dropping dead in the voting booth.

Well, describe a voter demographic like this; not necessarily fan individual voter.

Possibly ancestral Republicans in wealthy New England towns?

Orange County, California is not New England. What Voter Demographic defection in Orange County, California caused the County to vote like this?

Well, clearly a decent amount of college educated whites defected to Hillary, but the bigger reason that it's becoming much more Democratic is because it's rapidly diversifying.

Additionally, the guy who was a young, educated professional with a good job back in the 1970s in Orange County is likely one of the staunchest Republicans in the area, haha.  "This isn't MY Orange County," if you will.
On the other hand though, a 13% swing in 4 years, especially in such a populated county, can not be solely explained away by "demographics".


Title: Re: Describe a 1940-2012 Republican / 2016 Democratic Voter Demographic
Post by: darklordoftech on June 15, 2019, 06:34:03 PM
Rich people who became aware of dog whistles as a result of Trump’s campaign and/or their kids or grandkids telling them. Also, people who turned 18 in between the 2012 and 2016 elections and vote differently than one or both of their parents.


Title: Re: Describe a 1940-2012 Republican / 2016 Democratic Voter Demographic
Post by: RINO Tom on June 21, 2019, 09:28:35 AM
Almost no one voted like this, since the vast majority of people who were old enough to vote in 1940 would have been dead by 2016.

If I had to describe someone, I'd say a 97 year old walking corpse from Vermont who's been senile for the past 15 years and accidentally checked the box for Hillary before dropping dead in the voting booth.

Well, describe a voter demographic like this; not necessarily fan individual voter.

Possibly ancestral Republicans in wealthy New England towns?

Orange County, California is not New England. What Voter Demographic defection in Orange County, California caused the County to vote like this?

Well, clearly a decent amount of college educated whites defected to Hillary, but the bigger reason that it's becoming much more Democratic is because it's rapidly diversifying.

Additionally, the guy who was a young, educated professional with a good job back in the 1970s in Orange County is likely one of the staunchest Republicans in the area, haha.  "This isn't MY Orange County," if you will.
On the other hand though, a 13% swing in 4 years, especially in such a populated county, can not be solely explained away by "demographics".

I didn't say it was.  I do, obviously, think people like "Elliot County Populist" or whatever like to specifically focus almost entirely on the non-demographics components, as it is simpler, neater and creates a more black and white political climate where his posts and stereotyping of entire voter bases are easier to defend.