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Title: Berkeley IGS-CA: Warren 29, Biden 20, Sanders 19, Harris 8, Buttigieg 6, Beto 3 Post by: Gass3268 on September 25, 2019, 07:33:42 AM ()
Source (https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2019-09-24/2020-democrats-elizabeth-warren-leads-california-poll) Title: Re: Berkeley IGS-CA: Warren 29, Biden 22, Sanders 19, Harris 8, Buttigieg 6, Beto 3 Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on September 25, 2019, 07:36:39 AM Great poll for Warren
Title: Re: Berkeley IGS-CA: Warren 29, Biden 22, Sanders 19, Harris 8, Buttigieg 6, Beto 3 Post by: Dr. Arch on September 25, 2019, 08:32:17 AM Warren is surging everywhere after having built gradual support over months. This is a great sign for her.
Title: Re: Berkeley IGS-CA: Warren 29, Biden 22, Sanders 19, Harris 8, Buttigieg 6, Beto 3 Post by: Bakersfield Uber Alles on September 25, 2019, 08:42:34 AM Reading the article, it sounds like Biden is at 20, not 22. That explains why his trendline is negative even though the numbers on the chart didn’t appear to change.
Amazing number for Warren. Title: Re: Berkeley IGS-CA: Warren 29, Biden 22, Sanders 19, Harris 8, Buttigieg 6, Beto 3 Post by: Eraserhead on September 25, 2019, 08:45:48 AM Reading the article, it sounds like Biden is at 20, not 22. That explains why his trendline is negative even though the numbers on the chart didn’t appear to change. Amazing number for Warren. Correct. Biden is actually only at 20%. Title: Re: Berkeley IGS-CA: Warren 29, Biden 22, Sanders 19, Harris 8, Buttigieg 6, Beto 3 Post by: OneJ on September 25, 2019, 09:34:30 AM Wow, Harris is doing poorly here.
Title: Re: Berkeley IGS-CA: Warren 29, Biden 22, Sanders 19, Harris 8, Buttigieg 6, Beto 3 Post by: Sir Mohamed on September 25, 2019, 09:53:50 AM I know it's early, but I think Warren will win CA by a fair margin. After that, she will definitely be the frontrunner. (if not sooner)
Title: Re: Berkeley IGS-CA: Warren 29, Biden 22, Sanders 19, Harris 8, Buttigieg 6, Beto 3 Post by: Xing on September 25, 2019, 10:54:05 AM Liz!!! Winning CA by single digits obviously won't guarantee her the nomination if she loses badly in the South, but I'm really starting to believe she might just win this thing.
Title: Re: Berkeley IGS-CA: Warren 29, Biden 22, Sanders 19, Harris 8, Buttigieg 6, Beto 3 Post by: McGovernForPrez on September 25, 2019, 11:30:38 AM Harris should just drop out at this point. If polls don't show her winning or at least doing well in her home state then there's no way she's gonna magically be doing better in Iowa.
Title: Re: Berkeley IGS-CA: Warren 29, Biden 22, Sanders 19, Harris 8, Buttigieg 6, Beto 3 Post by: Alben Barkley on September 25, 2019, 04:39:31 PM Liz!!! Winning CA by single digits obviously won't guarantee her the nomination if she loses badly in the South, but I'm really starting to believe she might just win this thing. She’s also improving fast with black voters though — enough that she can maybe be at least competitive in the South, more than Bernie was. If she wins big states like CA and does well elsewhere, she can definitely win. Also yeah Harris campaign is pretty much dead now. Title: Re: Berkeley IGS-CA: Warren 29, Biden 20, Sanders 19, Harris 8, Buttigieg 6, Beto 3 Post by: Interlocutor is just not there yet on September 26, 2019, 02:08:35 PM I'll just repeat what I've been saying about Harris in these CA polls:
California is a huge state & Harris' CA strength lies entirely in San Francisco Bay. Unless you're an 20+ year statewide institution like Feinstein, you can't expect home-state advantage to mount a successful presidential [primary] campaign in California. The same thing will occur if/when Newsom runs for President. Title: Re: Berkeley IGS-CA: Warren 29, Biden 20, Sanders 19, Harris 8, Buttigieg 6, Beto 3 Post by: Interlocutor is just not there yet on September 26, 2019, 02:19:28 PM Regional poll numbers
Other Northern CA Warren: 30% Sanders: 22% Harris: 13% Biden: 12% San Francisco Bay Area Warren: 35% Biden: 16% Sanders: 14% Harris: 13% Central Valley Sanders: 27% Warren: 24% Biden: 20% Harris: 8% LA County Warren: 27% Biden: 21% Sanders: 20% Harris: 7% Other Southern CA (Inland Empire + Imperial?) Biden: 28% Warren: 23% Sanders: 17% Harris: 6% Orange/San Diego Warren: 32% Biden: 18% Sanders: 17% Harris: 4% Title: Re: Berkeley IGS-CA: Warren 29, Biden 20, Sanders 19, Harris 8, Buttigieg 6, Beto 3 Post by: Holmes on September 26, 2019, 02:35:07 PM Biden's not winning OK, KY or WV like some people think if those northern CA numbers are anything to go by.
Title: Re: Berkeley IGS-CA: Warren 29, Biden 20, Sanders 19, Harris 8, Buttigieg 6, Beto 3 Post by: henster on September 27, 2019, 11:53:02 AM Klobuchar is struggling in her home state and she has consistently won her elections in landslides. This year there just doesn't seem to be much of a favorite son/daughter boost even among established pols in their states. Even Warren in polls has been trailing in MA.
Title: Re: Berkeley IGS-CA: Warren 29, Biden 20, Sanders 19, Harris 8, Buttigieg 6, Beto 3 Post by: Matty on September 27, 2019, 02:46:51 PM Regional poll numbers Other Northern CA Warren: 30% Sanders: 22% Harris: 13% Biden: 12% San Francisco Bay Area Warren: 35% Biden: 16% Sanders: 14% Harris: 13% Central Valley Sanders: 27% Warren: 24% Biden: 20% Harris: 8% LA County Warren: 27% Biden: 21% Sanders: 20% Harris: 7% Other Southern CA (Inland Empire + Imperial?) Biden: 28% Warren: 23% Sanders: 17% Harris: 6% Orange/San Diego Warren: 32% Biden: 18% Sanders: 17% Harris: 4% It’s extremely interesting to me that sanders and warren combine for half the vote in OC OC and SD are high income areas with professional class liberals. Interesting that labor-style, economically left wing candidates are doing well there Title: Re: Berkeley IGS-CA: Warren 29, Biden 20, Sanders 19, Harris 8, Buttigieg 6, Beto 3 Post by: Gass3268 on September 27, 2019, 03:14:56 PM Regional poll numbers Other Northern CA Warren: 30% Sanders: 22% Harris: 13% Biden: 12% San Francisco Bay Area Warren: 35% Biden: 16% Sanders: 14% Harris: 13% Central Valley Sanders: 27% Warren: 24% Biden: 20% Harris: 8% LA County Warren: 27% Biden: 21% Sanders: 20% Harris: 7% Other Southern CA (Inland Empire + Imperial?) Biden: 28% Warren: 23% Sanders: 17% Harris: 6% Orange/San Diego Warren: 32% Biden: 18% Sanders: 17% Harris: 4% It’s extremely interesting to me that sanders and warren combine for half the vote in OC OC and SD are high income areas with professional class liberals. Interesting that labor-style, economically left wing candidates are doing well there Polling across the county suggest that Warren is the candidate of well to do college educated liberals. Title: Re: Berkeley IGS-CA: Warren 29, Biden 20, Sanders 19, Harris 8, Buttigieg 6, Beto 3 Post by: MT Treasurer on September 27, 2019, 07:00:05 PM This is the kind of poll which should worry the Biden camp, not their IA/NH numbers.
Title: Re: Berkeley IGS-CA: Warren 29, Biden 20, Sanders 19, Harris 8, Buttigieg 6, Beto 3 Post by: Mr. Smith on September 29, 2019, 09:29:51 AM Regional poll numbers Other Northern CA Warren: 30% Sanders: 22% Harris: 13% Biden: 12% San Francisco Bay Area Warren: 35% Biden: 16% Sanders: 14% Harris: 13% Central Valley Sanders: 27% Warren: 24% Biden: 20% Harris: 8% LA County Warren: 27% Biden: 21% Sanders: 20% Harris: 7% Other Southern CA (Inland Empire + Imperial?) Biden: 28% Warren: 23% Sanders: 17% Harris: 6% Orange/San Diego Warren: 32% Biden: 18% Sanders: 17% Harris: 4% It’s extremely interesting to me that sanders and warren combine for half the vote in OC OC and SD are high income areas with professional class liberals. Interesting that labor-style, economically left wing candidates are doing well there Two things 1. No they aren't, except for Warren. 2. A lot of these professional class jobs are unionizing anyway. Gives a bit more reason to need those sorts of pro-labor laws. More interesting is that Bernie isn't running away with "Other NorCal", when that was his stronghold last time. |