Talk Elections

RKM Research & Communications / Boston Herald / Franklin Pierce University poll of New Hampshire, conducted Oct. 9-13:

https://www.scribd.com/document/430262063/Franklin-Pierce-University-Boston-Herald-Oct-2019-poll-data-tables

Dem. primary:
Warren 25%
Biden 24%
Sanders 22%
Buttigieg 9%
Harris 5%
Booker 2%
Klobuchar 2%
Gabbard 1%
Steyer 1%
Yang 1%
Castro, O’Rourke, Williamson 0%

Dem. primary if Michelle Obama were running:
Obama 26%
Biden 20%
Warren 20%
Sanders 15%
Buttigieg 5%
Harris 3%
Booker 2%
Klobuchar 2%
Steyer 1%
Yang 1%
Castro, Gabbard, O’Rourke, Williamson  0%

GOP primary:
Trump 71%
Weld 14%
Walsh 5%
Sanford 1%

>*polls Michelle Obama*

What is this, 2018?

Somehow I doubt Obama running would hurt Sanders even more than Warren and Biden but okay.

The candidate filing deadline for NH is November 15.

So, if she wants to run, she still has one month to file there ...

Only a poll after Nov. 15 that includes her would make no sense ...

A majority of GOP primary voters have an opinion of each of the GOP candidates, and all of them are at least barely in positive territority on favorability among Republican voters…

fav/unfav % among GOP primary voters:
Trump 81/17% for +64%
Weld 45/30% for +15%
Walsh 35/27% for +8%
Sanford 29/26% for +3%

I guess there’s a non-zero chance Michelle is chosen as a unity candidate in the event of a contested convention. I wouldn’t bet on it, but these numbers certainly show she would likely be doing well if she had run.

on the GOP side, interesting that fewer Republicans said they would support Romney if he entered (12%) than currently support Weld (14%).

Why is it so hard for some people to understand that Michelle Obama doesn't want to be president?

I understand it. But there are a sh**t-ton of people who would kill to be in a position where they could be the instant frontrunner for the job. Including some current lower tier candidates so desperate to be president they are blowing all their own money, ahem Delaney and Steyer. It’s just a little ironic how the person who would perhaps have the easiest path to the job wants it least and vice versa.

If Michelle runs, she would be torpedoed by the conservative media just like they did Hilary; as a result, Chicago machine politics isnt good right now. Illinois have gone thru three Govs since 2010 and Obama's friend Rahm Emanuel had to resign as mayor.

This is the very reason why Harris is doing poorly, she did media blitz on Talk Shows; as a result, she didn't hold 1 town hall with Newsome. She was afraid of facing public Spectacle of homelessness

How the mighty have fallen.

Yang is the only person who could conceivably get us out of this mess. Especially with the help of Tulsi, which almost every single Democrat truly hate, while most Republicans love her as if she was one of them, despite her whole-heartedly supporting Bernie and leaving DNC because of their unfair treatment of him only four years ago.

A Yang/Tulsi ticket would undoubtedly be the single most healing action this country could take now that two of the great icons of our time, McCain and Cummings are both gone. They both propose bipartisan solutions to the biggest problems of our time, both domestic and in foreign relations. The grassroots of both parties agree that the rich have too much power and that the poor should get a substantial economic lift. The grassroots of both parties agree that the US military should scale down its foreign military operations and finally put America first, especially from a budgetary standpoint where it's no longer okey to use billions of dollars from your budget deficit in order to fund wars on foreign soil which leads to 1000s of American lives and 100,000s if not millions of foreign lives.

The only sane solution to all the problems right now is to put Yang and Tulsi - the best of the best of friends as Tulsi revealed in Tuesday's debate - on top of the ticket.

Or shes just a weak candidate who refuses to define herself. You're always harping on Harris regarding homelessness/talk shows/town halls when, as her past AG & Senate campaigns displayed, shes very wishy-washy on most other hot-button issues affecting California (EX: Death penalty, cannabis, body cameras). Homelessness is just one of many, but not the end-all for her campaign.

If anything, that shes falling without homelessness being an issue in the primaries is pretty indicative of her weakness as a national campaigner. And even if she were to hold statewide town hall meetings, I bet close to 50% of CA voters would still forget shes their senator (Rather than the 2/3 it's probably at now)

Not to mention, besides Biden, every other 1/2 tier candidate has gone through the Talk Show blitz this year. Sanders & Buttigieg have each made 7 guest appearances (At least). Buttigieg's blitz is probably more egregious given the Eric Logan shooting, an issue he had more bearing on than homelessness does on any California politician in the House/Senate.

To put it simply, no one knows who she is or where she stands on anything. Shes always been like that, homelessness be damned.

Why? A lot of Sanders support are non-tuned in people who aren't interested in politics (people who aren't "losers" as your buddy HockeyDude put it). That they'd switch to a candidate with higher name recognition makes sense. That's what they did when Biden entered.