Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2020 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls => Topic started by: Sorenroy on October 29, 2019, 12:39:33 PM



Title: AZ-Emerson College: Biden leads Warren, Sanders, and Buttigieg 28-21-21-12
Post by: Sorenroy on October 29, 2019, 12:39:33 PM
Sample size of 339 likely voters, conducted October 25th to 28th.

Biden — 28%
Warren — 21%
Sanders — 21%
Buttigieg — 12%
Yang — 5%
Harris — 4%
Gabbard — 2%
Klobuchar — 2%
O'Rourke — 2%
Sestak — 1%
Bennet — 0%
Bullock — 0%
Steyer — 0%
Booker — 0%
Castro — 0%
Delaney — 0%
Williamson — 0%

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/arizona-2020-toss-ups-in-presidential-and-senate-races


Title: Re: AZ-Emerson College: Biden leads Warren, Sanders, and Buttigieg 28-21-21-12
Post by: eric82oslo on October 29, 2019, 12:42:42 PM
Booker's campaign is struggling. Probably won't make it to December debate.


Title: Re: AZ-Emerson College: Biden leads Warren, Sanders, and Buttigieg 28-21-21-12
Post by: Shadows on October 29, 2019, 12:45:34 PM
Looking into racial breakdowns, Warren leads among white voters with 29%, followed by Biden with 22%, Sanders with 18% and Buttigieg with 16%. Among non-white voters, Biden leads with 38%, followed by Sanders with 26%, Warren with 9% and Yang with 8%.


Warren has to do better with Hispanic voters.. She is 7% ahead of Biden & 11% ahead of Sanders among White voters but is tied with Sanders & down 7% to Biden among all voters.

This is also going to hurt Warren in Nevada as well & maybe California. She is doing very well among White Voters but is completely collapsing among Hispanics & is doing bad with other minority groups.


Title: Re: AZ-Emerson College: Biden leads Warren, Sanders, and Buttigieg 28-21-21-12
Post by: Mr. Morden on October 29, 2019, 01:00:09 PM
GOP #s:
Trump 88%
Sanford 5%
Weld 4%
Walsh 3%


Title: Re: AZ-Emerson College: Biden leads Warren, Sanders, and Buttigieg 28-21-21-12
Post by: President Johnson on October 29, 2019, 01:51:25 PM
Strong poll for Mayor Pete.

Anybody but Biden, Bernie, Liz, Kamala, Pete and Yang should just drop out now.


Title: Re: AZ-Emerson College: Biden leads Warren, Sanders, and Buttigieg 28-21-21-12
Post by: RussFeingoldWasRobbed on October 29, 2019, 10:24:58 PM
LOL Harris below Yang


Title: Re: AZ-Emerson College: Biden leads Warren, Sanders, and Buttigieg 28-21-21-12
Post by: bilaps on October 30, 2019, 06:15:24 AM
Strong poll for Mayor Pete.

Anybody but Biden, Bernie, Liz, Kamala, Pete and Yang should just drop out now.

So tired of people saying who should be dropping out after every poll.


Title: Re: AZ-Emerson College: Biden leads Warren, Sanders, and Buttigieg 28-21-21-12
Post by: ProudModerate2 on October 30, 2019, 01:03:52 PM
This poll makes me think that the Calif polls showing Biden leading there, are probably correct (versus the ones showing Warren leading).
Not sure though, but maybe?


Title: Re: AZ-Emerson College: Biden leads Warren, Sanders, and Buttigieg 28-21-21-12
Post by: John Dule on October 30, 2019, 04:36:29 PM
This poll makes me think that the Calif polls showing Biden leading there, are probably correct (versus the ones showing Warren leading).
Not sure though, but maybe?

I would not make that extrapolation. California has a lot of densely populated far-left areas that make its electorate significantly different from Arizona's. AZ may be trending left, but culturally it really can't be compared to places like SF or Berkeley. Whatever happens in the Phoenix suburbs this cycle, it won't be very indicative of what to expect in the Bay.


Title: Re: AZ-Emerson College: Biden leads Warren, Sanders, and Buttigieg 28-21-21-12
Post by: Kylar on November 12, 2019, 01:51:01 PM
Booker's campaign is struggling. Probably won't make it to December debate.
He and Kamala should both drop out before Christmas in my opinion. In my opinion as well, I think Warren still has a play for Arizona here.