Talk Elections

Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion => U.S. Presidential Election Results => Topic started by: ak482 on November 04, 2019, 05:56:01 PM



Title: Divisive Primaries impacting General Election? (1976 & 1980)
Post by: ak482 on November 04, 2019, 05:56:01 PM
I was wondering if there was any good statistical data on the impact of the divisive primaries of the GOP in 1976 & the Democrats in 1980.  In particular, was there a decent enough chunk of the Reagan '76 vote that hated Ford so much that they crossed over to Carter in the general?  And in 1980, how much of the Kennedy vote that hated Carter either voted Anderson or stayed home (maybe some voted for Reagan?)


Title: Re: Divisive Primaries impacting General Election? (1976 & 1980)
Post by: darklordoftech on November 04, 2019, 08:15:28 PM
If an incumbent is primaried, they’re usually already weak. I’m not sure if there were any Reagan-Carter, Kennedy-Reagan, or Kennedy-Anderson voters, but I’m sure there were plenty of Buchanan-Perot voters in 1992.