Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: ON Progressive on November 20, 2019, 12:12:37 AM



Title: GA-SurveyUSA: Biden +4, Sanders +3, Warren +1, Bloomberg -2, Harris -3, Pete -4
Post by: ON Progressive on November 20, 2019, 12:12:37 AM
Biden 47
Trump 43

Sanders 47
Trump 44

Warren 46
Trump 45

Trump 44
Bloomberg 42

Trump 46
Harris 43

Trump 45
Buttigieg 41

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=128c319e-4d47-4e41-827c-c67900e8414b


Title: Re: GA-SurveyUSA: Biden +4, Sanders +3, Warren +1, Bloomberg -2, Harris -3, Pete -4
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on November 20, 2019, 12:14:56 AM
Biden leads Trump is GOP turf


Title: Re: GA-SurveyUSA: Biden +4, Sanders +3, Warren +1, Bloomberg -2, Harris -3, Pete -4
Post by: Xing on November 20, 2019, 12:17:18 AM
Another day, another poll showing that GA is competitive. But I'm sure we'll keep hearing that these polls in particular can't be trusted, and that we should instead totally believe polls showing that NV and OH are simultaneously Toss-Ups.


Title: Re: GA-SurveyUSA: Biden +4, Sanders +3, Warren +1, Bloomberg -2, Harris -3, Pete -4
Post by: Sir Mohamed on November 20, 2019, 03:31:27 AM
Poll #3 that has Trump struggling in GA. Tilt R at very best. Definitely a good sign for the senate races coming up. If Dems could win them both, we would have 50 seats with CO and AZ (and losing AL).


Title: Re: GA-SurveyUSA: Biden +4, Sanders +3, Warren +1, Bloomberg -2, Harris -3, Pete -4
Post by: LAKISYLVANIA on November 20, 2019, 01:49:34 PM
GA is a swing state in 2020, but those polls are too D-friendly right now at the ment, and GA is still leaning R. We need a good candidate for suburbs, young people and minority voters in GA. Biden and Sanders both fit that well. Maybe Sanders is stronger in GA than i've thought.


Title: Re: GA-SurveyUSA: Biden +4, Sanders +3, Warren +1, Bloomberg -2, Harris -3, Pete -4
Post by: Landslide Lyndon on November 20, 2019, 04:31:43 PM
But I thought Democrats were DOOMED after that Marquette poll.


Title: Re: GA-SurveyUSA: Biden +4, Sanders +3, Warren +1, Bloomberg -2, Harris -3, Pete -4
Post by: skbl17 on November 20, 2019, 04:35:54 PM
Yet another poll that suggests Georgia will be competitive next year. Not that it will flip, but that it will be fought over very hard (and it should, especially considering both Senate seats are up and there are two competitive House seats).

As for their record:

SurveyUSA conducted one presidential poll here in October 2016: Trump was ahead over Clinton, 49-42, in that poll. The final result was 50.6-45.9, so not too far off.

They did two polls for the gubernatorial race last year, one in July (Kemp 46-Abrams 44) and one in October (Kemp 47-Abrams 45). The final result was 50.2-48.9, so the margin was almost dead on.


Title: Re: GA-SurveyUSA: Biden +4, Sanders +3, Warren +1, Bloomberg -2, Harris -3, Pete -4
Post by: TrendsareUsuallyReal on November 20, 2019, 07:19:38 PM
What!? A fourth poll yet again rigged to show Trump losing Georgia? How can that be


Title: Re: GA-SurveyUSA: Biden +4, Sanders +3, Warren +1, Bloomberg -2, Harris -3, Pete -4
Post by: DabbingSanta on November 20, 2019, 07:30:39 PM
Georgia is actually in the "slight D" column on the Atlas polling page, and is currently to the left of Florida. Wild!

https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2020/polls.php


Title: Re: GA-SurveyUSA: Biden +4, Sanders +3, Warren +1, Bloomberg -2, Harris -3, Pete -4
Post by: MT Treasurer on November 20, 2019, 08:08:04 PM
If four polls showing the Democratic frontrunners beating Trump (and in some cases handily at that), the fact that a liberal black woman came within 1% of winning the most important and highly contested statewide race, and actual election results showing the state trending and even swinging consistently to the left since 2012 aren’t going to convince you that GA isn’t Lean or Likely R, you’re not going to be convinced by anything until the state actually flips (and even then, considering that many people are still in denial about VA being a solid Democratic state, who knows).


Title: Re: GA-SurveyUSA: Biden +4, Sanders +3, Warren +1, Bloomberg -2, Harris -3, Pete -4
Post by: MT Treasurer on November 20, 2019, 08:10:13 PM
What!? A fourth poll yet again rigged to show Trump losing Georgia? How can that be

I just unskewed the numbers by factoring in inelasticity, and the actual results are 50.2% Trump, 48.8% Biden.


Title: Re: GA-SurveyUSA: Biden +4, Sanders +3, Warren +1, Bloomberg -2, Harris -3, Pete -4
Post by: TrendsareUsuallyReal on November 20, 2019, 08:18:28 PM
If four polls showing the Democratic frontrunners beating Trump (and in some cases handily at that), the fact that a liberal black woman came within 1% of winning the most important and highly contested statewide race, and actual election results showing the state trending and even swinging consistently to the left since 2012 aren’t going to convince you that GA isn’t Lean or Likely R, you’re not going to be convinced by anything until the state actually flips (and even then, considering that many people are still in denial about VA being a solid Democratic state, who knows).

I think this could easily be the year the dam breaks in Georgia. Stacey Abrams might be kicking herself come this time next year that she didn’t run for Senate


Title: Re: GA-SurveyUSA: Biden +4, Sanders +3, Warren +1, Bloomberg -2, Harris -3, Pete -4
Post by: TrendsareUsuallyReal on November 20, 2019, 08:31:22 PM

Yes we all know you think Trump is likelier to win Bexar County than Elliott County because of 2004