Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2006 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Sarnstrom on March 27, 2006, 07:55:18 PM



Title: Rasmussen: McCaskill 46%, Talent 43%
Post by: Sarnstrom on March 27, 2006, 07:55:18 PM
March 11, 2006--Our latest survey of the race for Missouri Senate shows State Auditor Claire McCaskill (D) leading Senator Jim Talent (R) 43% to 40%.

Beginning with this survey, Rasmussen Reports will release data for a three-poll rolling average on our state election polls. Used in conjunction with individual survey results, this tool will help determine whether shifting poll results are due to changes in the race or are merely statistical noise.

The Missouri race remains hotly competitive, with our three-poll rolling average showing a 43% to 43% tie. During those 3 polls, McCaskill and Talent each had one survey result above the average, one below the average, and one matching the average. The previous three-poll rolling average showed the candidates tied at 45%.

All indicators point to a race that may remain close right up to Election Day.

Senator Talent, who won his seat in 2002 by defeating appointed incumbent Senator Jean Carnahan in a special election, is viewed favorably by 56% of respondents, unfavorably by 37%.

McCaskill is viewed favorably by 57%, unfavorably by 36%. McCaskill won the Democratic nomination for governor two years ago by defeating the incumbent governor, but went on to lose the general election to the Republican, Matt Blunt.

Rasmussen (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/March%202006/Missouri%20Senate%20March.htm)


Title: Re: Rasmussen: McCaskill 46%, Talent 43%
Post by: Keystone Phil on March 27, 2006, 08:32:02 PM


Senator Talent, who won his seat in 2002 by defeating appointed incumbent Senator Jean Carnahan in a special election, is viewed favorably by 56% of respondents, unfavorably by 37%.

Ok so we now know that this isn't an Anti-Talent situation. I guess it's because of the problems with the national and state (because of Governor Blunt's unpopular status) parties.


Title: Re: Rasmussen: McCaskill 46%, Talent 43%
Post by: TeePee4Prez on March 27, 2006, 08:57:06 PM


Senator Talent, who won his seat in 2002 by defeating appointed incumbent Senator Jean Carnahan in a special election, is viewed favorably by 56% of respondents, unfavorably by 37%.

Ok so we now know that this isn't an Anti-Talent situation. I guess it's because of the problems with the national and state (because of Governor Blunt's unpopular status) parties.

Well this just proves a pro-choice candidate can and should win the Senate seat in PA.  MO is WAY more pro-life than PA.


Title: Re: Rasmussen: McCaskill 46%, Talent 43%
Post by: Keystone Phil on March 27, 2006, 08:59:55 PM


Well this just proves a pro-choice candidate can and should win the Senate seat in PA.  MO is WAY more pro-life than PA.

Uh, we've determined that a Pro Choice candidate can win a Senate seat in PA. Are you unaware that of the results of the 1980, 1986, 1992, 1998 and 2004 Senatorial elections here?


Title: Re: Rasmussen: McCaskill 46%, Talent 43%
Post by: TeePee4Prez on March 27, 2006, 09:01:09 PM


Well this just proves a pro-choice candidate can and should win the Senate seat in PA.  MO is WAY more pro-life than PA.

Uh, we've determined that a Pro Choice candidate can win a Senate seat in PA. Are you unaware that of the results of the 1980, 1986, 1992, 1998 and 2004 Senatorial elections here?

Though I mentioned it, maybe this should be taken to the PA Senate thread.


Title: Re: Rasmussen: McCaskill 46%, Talent 43%
Post by: Galactic Overlord on March 27, 2006, 09:11:50 PM
Actually, I don't know if McCaskill's abortion stance came up very much in the Governor's race.  It certainly could be a liability in the Senate race.


Title: Re: Rasmussen: McCaskill 46%, Talent 43%
Post by: Gustaf on March 28, 2006, 03:17:50 AM
The 3-point lead for McCaskill remains 100% consistent. :P