Talk Elections

Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion => Election Predictions => Topic started by: ElectionAtlas on April 18, 2006, 10:26:02 AM



Title: 2006 Senate Predictions
Post by: ElectionAtlas on April 18, 2006, 10:26:02 AM
The 2006 Senate Predictions (https://uselectionatlas.org/PRED/SENATE/2006/pred.php) are now open!  Please let me know whether you find any issues.  Also, please send feedback on feature-set!
Thanks,
Dave


Title: Re: 2006 Senate Predictions
Post by: Gabu on April 18, 2006, 08:10:47 PM
The 2006 Senate Predictions (https://uselectionatlas.org/PRED/SENATE/2006/pred.php) are now open!  Please let me know whether you find any issues.  Also, please send feedback on feature-set!
Thanks,
Dave

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Title: Re: 2006 Senate Predictions
Post by: Yates on April 18, 2006, 09:07:01 PM
Thank you, Mr. Leip.


Title: Re: 2006 Senate Predictions
Post by: ian on April 18, 2006, 11:49:39 PM
OMG.  I am so excited right now.


Title: Re: 2006 Senate Predictions
Post by: minionofmidas on April 19, 2006, 08:39:47 AM


Title: Re: 2006 Senate Predictions
Post by: minionofmidas on April 19, 2006, 08:42:45 AM
One minor hitch... I clicked your link, was asked to login, successfully logged in and was redirected to a page that didn't link to Senate predictions (it did to Governor predictions, and to 2004, and...) I was still able to make a prediction though, I just had to return to the forum and click the link again.


Title: Re: 2006 Senate Predictions
Post by: ElectionAtlas on April 19, 2006, 08:50:39 AM
Thanks - That link has been added.


Title: Re: 2006 Senate Predictions
Post by: Gustaf on April 19, 2006, 08:54:50 AM
One minor hitch... I clicked your link, was asked to login, successfully logged in and was redirected to a page that didn't link to Senate predictions (it did to Governor predictions, and to 2004, and...) I was still able to make a prediction though, I just had to return to the forum and click the link again.

I had the same problem. But it worked out for me too. I don't get one thing about the polls though. Some states seem to be listed as leans even though they have only one poll. And there are too few states overall I think?


Title: Re: 2006 Senate Predictions
Post by: Ben. on April 19, 2006, 11:44:43 AM

I love it! Now I think about it I do need a new suite!


Title: Re: 2006 Senate Predictions
Post by: DarthKosh on April 19, 2006, 04:26:11 PM
I wonder if there will be a house version.


Title: Re: 2006 Senate Predictions
Post by: Smash255 on April 20, 2006, 11:41:16 PM
One minor hitch... I clicked your link, was asked to login, successfully logged in and was redirected to a page that didn't link to Senate predictions (it did to Governor predictions, and to 2004, and...) I was still able to make a prediction though, I just had to return to the forum and click the link again.

I had the same problem. But it worked out for me too. I don't get one thing about the polls though. Some states seem to be listed as leans even though they have only one poll. And there are too few states overall I think?

I'm pretty sure the default settings are based off the 2000 race.  So a race which is expected to be a blowout this year may only be listed as a tossup or lean because it was fairly close in 2000.  And a race which is expected to be real close this year may be listed as a lean or even strong depending in the 2000 results.


Title: Re: 2006 Senate Predictions
Post by: Gabu on April 21, 2006, 12:10:19 AM
I wonder if there will be a house version.

That would probably be much more difficult, as Dave wouldn't be able to easily use the mapmaking functionality on the site (given that you couldn't simply shade a state a single percentage).

Plus, there are 435 races there.  I don't think many people have the time to make 435 predictions.


Title: Re: 2006 Senate Predictions
Post by: jerusalemcar5 on August 10, 2006, 06:34:38 PM
I wonder if there will be a house version.

That would probably be much more difficult, as Dave wouldn't be able to easily use the mapmaking functionality on the site (given that you couldn't simply shade a state a single percentage).

Plus, there are 435 races there.  I don't think many people have the time to make 435 predictions.

The vast majority of those 435 are not seriously contested.  I wonder if dave could set up maybe a 50 seat one.


Title: Re: 2006 Senate Predictions
Post by: ElectionAtlas on November 08, 2006, 11:03:41 PM
The scores have been tabulated for the 2006 Senatorial Predictions.  These are preliminary ans subject to change.  No perfect scores - Top overall to thepolitic (I-CT) and snowguy716 (D-MN) each with a score of 57.


Title: Re: 2006 Senate Predictions
Post by: True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자) on November 09, 2006, 12:00:21 AM
Something's wrong with your score calaculator: It's showing my final prediction (https://uselectionatlas.org/PRED/SENATE/2006/pred.php?action=indpred&id=2266) as having a score of 0.  I'm not certain about the percentages but I got all 33 states correct as to who won.  It appears that only people who made a single prediction got their scores tabulated.


Title: Re: 2006 Senate Predictions
Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on November 09, 2006, 04:20:50 PM
If I'd been more optimistic over Virginia, I'd have got all winners right. Sigh.