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Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion => Congressional Elections => Topic started by: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on November 19, 2006, 11:38:52 PM



Title: Senators up in 2008: Their approval ratings
Post by: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on November 19, 2006, 11:38:52 PM
Sorted by Net approval from Oct 2006 SUSA


Republicans:
Collins ME 48
Craig ID 33
Cochran MS 33
Stevens AK 32
Domenici NM 31
Warner VA 31
Hagel NE 28
Enzi WY 27
Dole NC 20
Sessions AL 19
McConnell KY 12
Sununu NH 11
Smith  OR  11
Graham SC 10
Chambliss GA 7
Roberts KS 6
Coleman MN 5
Alexander TN 3
Cornyn TX -3
Allard CO -4
Inhofe OK -9

Democrats:
Johnson SD 46
Reed RI 38
Rockefeller WV 34
Baucus MT 31
Pryor AR 24
Biden DE 19
Kerry MA 14
Durbin IL 13
Landreiu LA 10
Harkin IA 7
Levin MI 6
Lautenberg NJ -12

Republicans
Vulnerable: NH, OR, MN, TN, TX, CO, OK
Maybe vulnerable: NC, GA
Vulnerable if they retire / or right candidate: VA, ME, KS, NM

Democrats
Vulnerable: LA, NJ
Maybe vulnerable:IA, MI
Vulnerable if they retire / or right candidate: MT, SD

Of course most of the vulnerable seats I mentioned will have no party change in the 2008 election.


Title: Re: Senators up in 2008: Their approval ratings
Post by: Defarge on November 20, 2006, 12:11:37 AM
Where did this year's class of senators stand in terms of approval two years ago?


Title: Re: Senators up in 2008: Their approval ratings
Post by: opebo on November 20, 2006, 02:54:11 AM
Very realistic, jfern, except for listing TX as 'vulnerable'.


Title: Re: Senators up in 2008: Their approval ratings
Post by: Democratic Hawk on November 20, 2006, 08:44:27 PM
Well, I hope Lautenberg retires. BTW, what has he done to deserve such low approvals?

Dave


Title: Re: Senators up in 2008: Their approval ratings
Post by: Keystone Phil on November 20, 2006, 08:50:02 PM
BTW, what has he done to deserve such low approvals?


Get elected in New Jersey. That answer also applies to the question, "Why will he get re-elected with such low approvals?"


Title: Re: Senators up in 2008: Their approval ratings
Post by: Conan on November 20, 2006, 09:44:10 PM
BTW, what has he done to deserve such low approvals?


Get elected in New Jersey. That answer also applies to the question, "Why will he get re-elected with such low approvals?"
He has good approvals according to every single other publication. I have provided them before so I won't do it again.


Title: Re: Senators up in 2008: Their approval ratings
Post by: Gustaf on November 21, 2006, 05:47:20 AM
At the starting gate, all Senate Races are competitive.

Lol, no.


Title: Re: Senators up in 2008: Their approval ratings
Post by: Rococo4 on November 22, 2006, 12:53:17 AM
Well, I hope Lautenberg retires. BTW, what has he done to deserve such low approvals?

Dave

I hope Lautenberg goes out too, but I am not going to pin anymore hopes on Republicans in NJ.


Title: Re: Senators up in 2008: Their approval ratings
Post by: DownWithTheLeft on November 22, 2006, 05:26:41 PM
BTW, what has he done to deserve such low approvals?


Get elected in New Jersey. That answer also applies to the question, "Why will he get re-elected with such low approvals?"
He has good approvals according to every single other publication. I have provided them before so I won't do it again.

What publication?  The Conan Times?

According to a recent poll of Conan and his multiple personalities, Frank Lautenberg has a 75% apporval rating (+-4.5% MOE)


Title: Re: Senators up in 2008: Their approval ratings
Post by: DownWithTheLeft on November 22, 2006, 05:29:38 PM
BTW, what has he done to deserve such low approvals?


Get elected in New Jersey. That answer also applies to the question, "Why will he get re-elected with such low approvals?"
He has good approvals according to every single other publication. I have provided them before so I won't do it again.

What publication?  The Conan Times?

According to a recent poll of Conan and his multiple personalities, Frank Lautenberg has a 75% apporval rating (+-4.5% MOE)

Where is the Conan times url? Can't find it on google

Please tell me that was saracasm :)


Title: Re: Senators up in 2008: Their approval ratings
Post by: merseysider on November 22, 2006, 06:06:25 PM
Why are Inhofe and Allard unpopular?

Generally what strikes me is how few people have negative ratings; then again, I suppose that as a Senator you don't ever have to take personal responsibility for really unpopular policies, unlike a Governor who may have to increase taxes or cut services and gets personally blamed.


Title: Re: Senators up in 2008: Their approval ratings
Post by: Keystone Phil on November 22, 2006, 06:09:18 PM
Why are Inhofe and Allard unpopular?

Generally what strikes me is how few people have negative ratings; then again, I suppose that as a Senator you don't ever have to take personal responsibility for really unpopular policies, unlike a Governor who may have to increase taxes or cut services and gets personally blamed.

Allard has always been controversial. He is a very conservative Senator in a state that was never very conservative and moving pretty quickly to the other side.

The whole situation with Inhofe is odd. I thought he was popular.


Title: Re: Senators up in 2008: Their approval ratings
Post by: I spent the winter writing songs about getting better on November 22, 2006, 06:09:30 PM

Because they're really extreme right wing morons.


Title: Re: Senators up in 2008: Their approval ratings
Post by: DownWithTheLeft on November 22, 2006, 06:10:04 PM

Because they're really extreme right wing morons.

What have they ever done that qualifies as mornoic?


Title: Re: Senators up in 2008: Their approval ratings
Post by: DownWithTheLeft on November 22, 2006, 06:13:34 PM
My rationale is this:

Oklahomans see Brad Henry and many Democrats in the state doing a good job, then they see Jim Inofe who hasn't particullarly done anything for the state, and they are probably ready for a change in their delegation.\

I'd hardly call Brad Henry your typical Democrat, he is much closer to James Inhofe than he is to most of the Democratic party


Title: Re: Senators up in 2008: Their approval ratings
Post by: DownWithTheLeft on November 22, 2006, 06:18:16 PM
My rationale is this:

Oklahomans see Brad Henry and many Democrats in the state doing a good job, then they see Jim Inofe who hasn't particullarly done anything for the state, and they are probably ready for a change in their delegation.\

I'd hardly call Brad Henry your typical Democrat, he is much closer to James Inhofe than he is to most of the Democratic party

It is obviously that quite a few statewide oklahoma democrats are quite liberal... but they have done a good job for the state, and they never have to vote on anything.

Still my point remains no liberal and probably no moderate Democrat (just conservative ones) will be elected in OK anytime soon