Title: My prediction for the Dem primary
Post by: SPC on December 27, 2006, 02:52:40 PM
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D>30% Edwards
D>40% Richardson
D>60% Obama
D>70% Biden
D>90% Clinton
Tossup Tossup
D>30% Edwards
D>40% Richardson
D>60% Obama
D>70% Biden
D>90% Clinton
Tossup Tossup
Title: Re: My prediction for the Dem primary
Post by: Bay Ridge, Bklyn! Born and Bred on December 27, 2006, 03:20:04 PM
I'm still going out on a limb here and predicting that Tom Vilsack will eventually become the Dem nominee.
The others--Edwards, Hillary, and Obama, have peaked WAY too early
The others--Edwards, Hillary, and Obama, have peaked WAY too early
Title: Re: My prediction for the Dem primary
Post by: Padfoot on December 27, 2006, 03:49:28 PM
I'm not so sure Edwards would dominate the South. I think Obama would be very competitive there.
Title: Re: My prediction for the Dem primary
Post by: AndrewTX on December 27, 2006, 03:54:52 PM
^ I agree, I think Obama will do better in the south than Edwards will.
Title: Re: My prediction for the Dem primary
Post by: Padfoot on December 27, 2006, 03:59:09 PM
Edwards will win the peripheral South where there are less African Americans. Also, why didn't you call most of the West or New England? Just curious.
Title: Re: My prediction for the Dem primary
Post by: TheresNoMoney on December 27, 2006, 04:47:35 PM
I'm still going out on a limb here and predicting that Tom Vilsack will eventually become the Dem nominee.
Wow. Before this comment I was about 50% sure you were a troll, now I'm about 95% sure.
Title: Re: My prediction for the Dem primary
Post by: Verily on December 27, 2006, 05:12:08 PM
It is highly unlikely that more than three candidates will win any states at all, and one candidate will almost certainly win all of the late states. Unless they start performing significantly better, Richardson and Biden won't even win their home states, which come late in the game. Vilsack has already been shown to be struggling in Iowa, and it would be a miracle if he placed second there. Clinton will probably win a couple of states (especially New York and Arkansas), but she'll drop off the radar in most late states. Which of Edwards and Obama will actually win the nomination is as-yet unclear, but it will almost definitely be one of those two.
My personal prediction
Obama: Red
Edwards: Blue
Clinton: Green
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My personal prediction
Obama: Red
Edwards: Blue
Clinton: Green
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Title: Re: My prediction for the Dem primary
Post by: Reignman on December 27, 2006, 07:35:20 PM
I'm still going out on a limb here and predicting that Tom Vilsack will eventually become the Dem nominee.
Wow. Before this comment I was about 50% sure you were a troll, now I'm about 95% sure.