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Title: MS Polls Post by: Queen Mum Inks.LWC on October 15, 2007, 02:45:47 AM Are they planning on doing any before the election? Has anybody heard rumors?
Title: Re: MS Polls Post by: Tender Branson on October 15, 2007, 07:37:32 AM I havenīt seen any poll from MS either. Even in 2004 and 2006 there were hardly any polls from that state ... :P
Title: Re: MS Polls Post by: Queen Mum Inks.LWC on October 15, 2007, 03:16:26 PM I havenīt seen any poll from MS either. Even in 2004 and 2006 there were hardly any polls from that state ... :P Well, I know who I'm calling as the winner, but w/o even one poll, it's hard to make a percentage. Title: Re: MS Polls Post by: Small Business Owner of Any Repute on October 15, 2007, 04:20:41 PM I havenīt seen any poll from MS either. Even in 2004 and 2006 there were hardly any polls from that state ... :P Well, I know who I'm calling as the winner, but w/o even one poll, it's hard to make a percentage. Well, you'll just have to start at the Bush/Kerry numbers, and adjust based on changes in the perceived African American turnout (I'd guess that moves the needle towards Barbour) and Eaves' conservatism (which may be a plus OR a negative, depending on how you look at things). I'm expecting a very similar result to Bush/Kerry. Title: Re: MS Polls Post by: 7,052,770 on October 15, 2007, 06:20:41 PM Barbour 53, Eaves 47 would be my estimate.
The Clarion-Ledger did a Musgrove/Barbour poll near the last week of the '03 election, so we may get one in a couple weeks. Title: Re: MS Polls Post by: Small Business Owner of Any Repute on October 15, 2007, 07:26:52 PM I'd expect a current poll to read something like...
Barbour: Low fifties Eaves: Low thirties Undecided: Mid teens Title: Re: MS Polls Post by: 7,052,770 on October 15, 2007, 10:55:35 PM I'd expect a current poll to read something like... Barbour: Low fifties Eaves: Low thirties Undecided: Mid teens You're misunderestimating a few things: --Kerry was a terrible candidate for Mississippi. Eaves will do much better among whites in Mississippi than Kerry did. --There is a black candidate, Gary Anderson, running for Insurance Commissioner who has a legit chance of winning. He would be the first African-American to ever hold statewide office in Mississippi. He's done a great job campaigning and ought to keep black turnout high, and could end up having some (small) coattails on the rest of the ticket. --Barbour promised the fundies he'd never let casinos move onto land and then he did. They have not forgiven him for that and many are buying into Eaves's pro-Jesus pro-family stances. Eaves is putting together a bizarre coalition of liberals, blacks, and fundamentalist Christians that may not win, but will at least surprise some people across the country. Title: Re: MS Polls Post by: HardRCafé on October 16, 2007, 02:56:46 AM Barbour 58%
Eaves 42% Assuming a straight two-way race. Title: Re: MS Polls Post by: Tender Branson on October 16, 2007, 08:49:15 AM My prediction (slightly different than on my 2007 prediction page):
Barbour: 56-58% Eaves: 42-44% Title: Re: MS Polls Post by: Mr.Phips on October 26, 2007, 05:20:25 PM I think its gonna be Barbour by 54%-45%.
Title: Re: MS Polls Post by: Gabu on October 26, 2007, 06:09:59 PM I've currently got it at Barbour >50% on my prediction map, and that's as specific as I'm going to get. :P
Title: Re: MS Polls Post by: Hash on October 26, 2007, 08:50:28 PM I've currently got it at Barbour >50% on my prediction map, and that's as specific as I'm going to get. :P Title: Re: MS Polls Post by: Jake on October 30, 2007, 01:23:20 PM Eaves 52, Barbour 48
Title: Re: MS Polls Post by: minionofmidas on November 03, 2007, 08:29:32 AM Hoping that Jake's right... but I predict Barbour 54.9%.
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