Talk Elections

Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion => Presidential Election Trends => Topic started by: StateBoiler on April 17, 2008, 11:01:21 PM



Title: Republican and Democratic Party Membership Continues to Decline
Post by: StateBoiler on April 17, 2008, 11:01:21 PM
http://www.ballot-access.org/2008/030108.html#1

Quote
26.5% OF VOTERS ARE NOT REGISTERED DEMS OR REPS

Four years ago, B.A.N. noted that for the first time in 75 years, more than one-fourth of all voters are registered outside the two major parties. At that time, in the 30 states in which people register by party, 23.15% of the voters were independents, and 1.87% were minor party members.

The trend continues. Although minor parties have declined to 1.63%, independents have grown to 24.82%. See the chart on page four for a state-by-state breakdown. All data in that chart is from early 2008, or late 2007. The sole exception is Maine, which has not done a tally since November 2006.

What is most surprising is that both Democratic registration, and Republican registration, is a lower percentage than it was four years ago, despite the fact that the interest in this year’s presidential primaries is so high. States in which one or both major party presidential primaries are closed to independents are Arizona, California, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Nebraska, New Mexico, New York, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South Dakota, and West Virginia. One would have expected the independent share to decline, as people switched to major parties to vote in their presidential primaries.

Here are the percentages for each major party for the past 16 years:

Nov. 1992
Democrat: 47.76%
Republican: 32.97%
Independent/Minor Parties: 19.27%
 
Nov. 1994
Democrat: 47.13%
Republican: 33.55%
Independent/Minor Parties: 19.32%

Nov. 1996
Democrat: 45.69%
Republican: 33.78%
Independent/Minor Parties: 20.53%

Nov. 1998
Democrat: 44.94%
Republican: 33.26%
Independent/Minor Parties: 21.80%
 
Nov. 2000
Democrat: 43.84%
Republican: 32.78%
Independent/Minor Parties: 23.38%

Nov. 2002
Democrat: 42.68%
Republican: 32.55%
Independent/Minor Parties: 24.77%

Nov. 2004
Democrat: 41.87%
Republican: 32.32%
Independent: 23.15%
Minor Parties: 1.87%
 
Nov. 2006
Democrat: 41.64%
Republican: 32.39%
Independent/Minor Parties: 25.97%
 
Feb. 2008
Democrat: 41.66%
Republican: 31.89%
Independent: 24.82%
Minor Parties: 1.63%

http://www.ballot-access.org/2008/030108.html#11

Here's the state-by-state registration figures for the states that do them at the link above.

Democrat: 41.66%
Republican: 31.89%
Independent: 24.82%
Reform/Independence Party: 0.42%
Constitution: 0.41%
Green: 0.28%
Libertarian: 0.24%
Other: 0.29%

States with Democrats having largest membership: California, Delaware, D.C., Florida, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Nevada, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, West Virginia

States with Republicans having largest membership: Arizona, Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska, South Dakota, Wyoming

States with Independents having largest membership: Alaska, Connecticut, Iowa, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Rhode Island, Utah


Title: Re: Republican and Democratic Party Membership Continues to Decline
Post by: Person Man on April 18, 2008, 01:12:28 PM
...and Colorado should be in the Indy list soon.


Title: Re: Republican and Democratic Party Membership Continues to Decline
Post by: Reaganfan on April 20, 2008, 12:40:38 PM
I'm not registered with any party either. It doesn't always mean people don't consider themselves a DEM or REP.


Title: Re: Republican and Democratic Party Membership Continues to Decline
Post by: Sasquatch on April 20, 2008, 02:13:11 PM
I'm done voting for major parties. I voted Democrat in 2004 and 2006 and boy do I feel like a fool.


Title: Re: Republican and Democratic Party Membership Continues to Decline
Post by: frihetsivrare on April 27, 2008, 10:32:45 PM
I'm done voting for major parties. I voted Democrat in 2004 and 2006 and boy do I feel like a fool.

I couldn't vote in 2006 but I feel like a fool just for giving the Democrats the benefit of the doubt.


Title: Re: Republican and Democratic Party Membership Continues to Decline
Post by: Joe Biden 2020 on April 28, 2008, 09:43:42 PM
I voted for the Republicans in 2000 and 2002 and the Democrats in 2004 and 2006 and I will still vote for the major parties for some time to come.  I'm on the fence as to who I will support for president right now.  I'm slowly getting turned off by Obama.  I'm liking Hillary more and more, but I don't think she has much of a shot.  I am starting to grow fond of John McCain and, in a way, returning to my Republican roots where I started my voting life in 2000.  Mind you, then, I was a staunch, hardcore conservative Republican and thought Gore was horrible.  I won't get that far to the right, but I just don't know where I'll be come November 4, 2008.


Title: Re: Republican and Democratic Party Membership Continues to Decline
Post by: The Man From G.O.P. on April 29, 2008, 12:53:50 PM
I think they're all going to be voting RonPaul right?


Title: Re: Republican and Democratic Party Membership Continues to Decline
Post by: Beet on May 02, 2008, 12:51:32 PM
I'm done voting for major parties. I voted Democrat in 2004 and 2006 and boy do I feel like a fool.

I couldn't vote in 2006 but I feel like a fool just for giving the Democrats the benefit of the doubt.

What do you guys think the Democrats should have done? Cut off funding for the Iraq war?


Title: Re: Republican and Democratic Party Membership Continues to Decline
Post by: Joe Biden 2020 on May 02, 2008, 10:06:33 PM
I'm done voting for major parties. I voted Democrat in 2004 and 2006 and boy do I feel like a fool.

I couldn't vote in 2006 but I feel like a fool just for giving the Democrats the benefit of the doubt.

What do you guys think the Democrats should have done? Cut off funding for the Iraq war?

Oh, heavens no.  To me, that would be telling the troops "I don't give a crap about you, I just hate this president and everything he stands for."

The Democrats are too patriotic and too loyal to our troops (for the most part) to do that.


Title: Re: Republican and Democratic Party Membership Continues to Decline
Post by: TeePee4Prez on May 06, 2008, 09:57:48 PM
Ehh, my independent streak is showing again.  I really don't care much for the Democratic party at this point.  Their organization sucks and I don't know how they'd be with spending.  Hey, they generally supported the war and didn't bother to read the PATRIOT Act plus the blacktivists such as Sharpton, McKinney, etc. will never go away.  Where's my home?


Title: Re: Republican and Democratic Party Membership Continues to Decline
Post by: AkSaber on May 08, 2008, 05:53:43 AM
I'm done voting for major parties. I voted Democrat in 2004 and 2006 and boy do I feel like a fool.

I couldn't vote in 2006 but I feel like a fool just for giving the Democrats the benefit of the doubt.

What do you guys think the Democrats should have done? Cut off funding for the Iraq war?

Oh, heavens no.  To me, that would be telling the troops "I don't give a crap about you, I just hate this president and everything he stands for."

The Democrats are too patriotic and too loyal to our troops (for the most part) to do that.

Well, during '06 the Democrats heavily touted their anti-war beliefs, didn't they? Then, when they won Congress, they shut up very quickly. Come to find out, the Democrats in office are making lots of money off the Iraq War, just like Cheney and his friends. I wonder if that is where a lot of this anger is coming from. For me that's where it's coming from. :)


Title: Re: Republican and Democratic Party Membership Continues to Decline
Post by: RouterJockey on May 19, 2008, 11:26:44 PM
Is there any indication that the loss of Democratic or Republican voters (registered voters that is) is translating into higher numbers of registered 3rd party voters?  Or are they just turning Independent/Undeclared?

I know I've read recently that the Libertarian Party has increased membership by something like 25% in the last year.  But 25% of a small number is still a small number....


Title: Re: Republican and Democratic Party Membership Continues to Decline
Post by: Хahar 🤔 on May 20, 2008, 12:20:28 AM
Is there any indication that the loss of Democratic or Republican voters (registered voters that is) is translating into higher numbers of registered 3rd party voters?  Or are they just turning Independent/Undeclared?

I know I've read recently that the Libertarian Party has increased membership by something like 25% in the last year.  But 25% of a small number is still a small number....

Mostly indy.