Talk Elections

In 2006 the Allen was ahead like Dole, then the closer the election got, the closer the race became. In the end Webb beat Allen by .39%. Could NC turn out just like VA did in 2006? 

Not unless Dole makes a racist comment then is revealed to have a history of racist comments.

Wake me when Hagen starts polling regularly above 45%, ok?

You do realize that George Allen lost because he blasted the fact he was Jewish, called an opposing intern a "macaca", held stock in a company that made abortion pills, and a bunch of other gaffes.

The answer is NO

When Hagan starts getting (even close) to a majority of the vote, we'll talk.  I expect it to be Dole by 5-7 points.

It's tempting to look at North Carolina, Minnesota, Mississippi and even a few other states where the R incumbent isn't polling above 50 to get excited.  But these things usually level off.  I expect Republicans to hold all the close ones, while losing New Hampshire, Virginia, New Mexico, Colorado, and Alaska.  They'll hold Louisiana and South Dakota, while Republicans will hold North Carolina, Georgia, Kentucky, Texas, Mississippi, Maine and Oregon.

Well, I don't think Webb had cracked 45 percent at this point two years ago either, but obviously Dole is no Allen.

     Webb had also just begun to be competitive as Allen had just said Macaca at this point.

He had in an 8-18 Survey USA (48-45 Allen). A few days earlier a Rasmussen had it at 47-42.

No.  Dole is no Allen; Allen lost because of a long string of gaffes, and Dole won't make those same mistakes.  Plus, NC isn't as Democratic as Virginia is, yet.`

Dole isn't an Allen but she will try to screw this up!

     Dole is a mole working for the Democrats. That explains her inexplicable "strategy" in 2006. :P

VA is more Democratic the NC at the national level, but at the local level NC is more Democratic.

It almost happened in Kentucky in 2004, too.

Of course that's no guarantee of another repeat. And it wouldn't have to be NC, either. (Fingers crossed for that ass Cornyn to screw up everything he can between now and election day)

     Fortunately for Dole that Senate races are federal in that case. ;)

Only problem is that North Carolina is not Kentucky.  Doesn't mean that it can't happen, but Bunning has always been a weaker candidate in reality than he appears on paper (kind of the opposite of McConnell).  Who knows about Dole?

And Texas certainly isn't Kentucky.  :)  Besides, Noriega has to get money to be able to run a campaign first and foremost. 

I know :P...  I just don't think Dole will be able to keep up, money wise with the DSCC + what Hagan gets. Also Dole will not get the black voters like she needs to keep Hagan down in the polls. And as long as Hagan stayes with in 5% of Dole the DSCC will give Hagan money. Unlike the RNC who are trying to states like CO, MN, OR, ME, LA ect close.

Did Mongiardo have money?

Bunning raised/spent about $6.5 million.  Mongiardo raised/spent about $2.9 million.

At present, Cornyn has raised about $16.4 million, with about $9.4 million CoH.  Noriega has raised about $2.4 million, with about $900K CoH.

Okay, so the answer is "yes". :)

I know, I know.  But I thought a detailed description of both situations might help a bit.  :)

Yeah, it did. :)

It's short for "Let's Give Up and Listen to Shitty Bands", which is from a song but which the Forum Censor won't let me use.

Its going to be closer than most people though a feew months ago, as of now I will say Dole by 3 or so, but Dole could blow it.

No, Hagan will win by a significantly larger margin.