Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: Tender Branson on October 28, 2008, 02:04:36 PM



Title: MS-Rasmussen: McCain+8
Post by: Tender Branson on October 28, 2008, 02:04:36 PM
McCain - 53
Obama - 45

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports October 27, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/mississippi/election_2008_mississippi_presidential_election


Title: Re: MS-Rasmussen: McCain+8
Post by: Tender Branson on October 28, 2008, 02:06:05 PM
Too bad: Musgrove is a lost cause.


Title: Re: MS-Rasmussen: McCain+8
Post by: Eraserhead on October 28, 2008, 02:06:54 PM
45% is probably as good as Obama can do.


Title: Re: MS-Rasmussen: McCain+8
Post by: Sam Spade on October 28, 2008, 02:07:58 PM
Unfortunately for Dems, Musgrove has collapsed and I know why...


Title: Re: MS-Rasmussen: McCain+8
Post by: Franzl on October 28, 2008, 02:08:10 PM
45% is probably as good as Obama can do.

^^^^^^

this


Title: Re: MS-Rasmussen: McCain+8
Post by: Tender Branson on October 28, 2008, 02:08:48 PM
Unfortunately for Dems, Musgrove has collapsed and I know why...

Because of the gay ad. It has scared Conservatives in MS to death ...


Title: Re: MS-Rasmussen: McCain+8
Post by: Sam Spade on October 28, 2008, 02:12:02 PM
Unfortunately for Dems, Musgrove has collapsed and I know why...

Because of the gay ad. It has scared White people in MS to death ...

Nah.  Wicker had one of the best debate performances I've witnessed this year in their recent debate.  Also, Wicker is running radio ads in the black community lambasting Musgrove for not being able to mention that he supports *Barack Obama*.  Intelligent advertising, imho.

The crosstabs quite accurately note that Wicker is getting 12% of blacks, while McCain is getting 1%


Title: Re: MS-Rasmussen: McCain+8
Post by: Franzl on October 28, 2008, 02:13:19 PM
Sam, could you also say how many whites are supporting Obama?


Title: Re: MS-Rasmussen: McCain+8
Post by: Tender Branson on October 28, 2008, 02:14:04 PM
Sam, could you also say how many whites are supporting Obama?

I wanted to ask the same. :)

15% ?


Title: Re: MS-Rasmussen: McCain+8
Post by: Sam Spade on October 28, 2008, 02:14:19 PM
Sam, could you also say how many whites are supporting Obama?

According to this poll - 15%.  82% support McCain.  3% are undecided/other, i.e. support McCain.


Title: Re: MS-Rasmussen: McCain+8
Post by: Eraserhead on October 28, 2008, 02:14:24 PM
Unfortunately for Dems, Musgrove has collapsed and I know why...

Because of the gay ad. It has scared White people in MS to death ...

Nah.  Wicker had one of the best debate performances I've witnessed this year in their recent debate.  Also, Wicker is running radio ads in the black community lambasting Musgrove for not being able to mention that he supports *Barack Obama*.  Intelligent advertising, imho.

The crosstabs quite accurately note that Wicker is getting 12% of blacks, while McCain is getting 1%

lol. I haven't followed that race much but I have to hand it to the guy for that. That's genius.


Title: Re: MS-Rasmussen: McCain+8
Post by: Tender Branson on October 28, 2008, 02:15:53 PM
Sam, could you also say how many whites are supporting Obama?

According to this poll - 15%.  82% support McCain.  3% are undecided/other, i.e. support McCain.

Thx, on Election Day it will be closer to 12% I think.


Title: Re: MS-Rasmussen: McCain+8
Post by: © tweed on October 28, 2008, 02:17:02 PM
Wicker running ahead of McCain seems hard to believe


Title: Re: MS-Rasmussen: McCain+8
Post by: Sam Spade on October 28, 2008, 02:18:06 PM
Wicker running ahead of McCain seems hard to believe

It's all about getting 12% of blacks, as opposed to 1%.  McCain runs 3%-4% ahead of Wicker among whites.


Title: Re: MS-Rasmussen: McCain+8
Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on October 28, 2008, 02:19:11 PM
Also, Wicker is running radio ads in the black community lambasting Musgrove for not being able to mention that he supports *Barack Obama*.  Intelligent advertising, imho.

The crosstabs quite accurately note that Wicker is getting 12% of blacks, while McCain is getting 1%

That trick is working is it. Interesting.


Title: Re: MS-Rasmussen: McCain+8
Post by: © tweed on October 28, 2008, 02:19:58 PM
Wicker running ahead of McCain seems hard to believe

It's all about getting 12% of blacks, as opposed to 1%.  McCain runs 3%-4% ahead of Wicker among whites.

which is information I don't have access to, as a poor.


Title: Re: MS-Rasmussen: McCain+8
Post by: Sam Spade on October 28, 2008, 02:29:43 PM
Also, Wicker is running radio ads in the black community lambasting Musgrove for not being able to mention that he supports *Barack Obama*.  Intelligent advertising, imho.

The crosstabs quite accurately note that Wicker is getting 12% of blacks, while McCain is getting 1%

That trick is working is it. Interesting.

Granted the poll could be an outlier (Prez race is similar, but still), but compare the results...

9/27/08
Wicker 48.78
Musgrove 46.67

                    White    Black
Wicker          73.58    2.24
Musgrove     21.09    96.54

10/27/08
Wicker 54.11
Musgrove 42.51

                     White    Black
Wicker          77.97    11.85
Musgrove     17.51     87.04