Atlas Forum

Election Archive => 2008 Elections => Topic started by: Rob on October 29, 2008, 03:47:48 am



Title: DuPage County, Illinois
Post by: Rob on October 29, 2008, 03:47:48 am
DuPage, as you probably know, is the ultimate Collar County and has been a GOP bastion since... well... the party's formation. The last Democratic presidential candidate to take it was Franklin Pierce. In 1852.

However, I am predicting an Obama win. Consider that Kerry ended up winning 45 percent of the county's vote; the best showing of any Democrat since the 1850s. Obama himself is quite popular in the area. And if the Tribune's endorsement will change a significant number of votes anywhere, it should be here.

Agree or disagree?


Title: Re: DuPage County, Illinois
Post by: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on October 29, 2008, 03:53:27 am
a close friend of mine lives there and believes Obama will JUST fall over the line.


Title: Re: DuPage County, Illinois
Post by: bgwah on October 29, 2008, 04:02:10 am
It'll be close... I'd give Obama a 45% chance of winning it.


Title: Re: DuPage County, Illinois
Post by: Tender Branson on October 29, 2008, 04:31:24 am
DuPage was one of McCain's best counties in IL's Super Tuesday primary. But Obama still managed to get more votes than McCain. I think Obama can only win the county by a very small margin, if he gets 62-65% in IL - which is unlikely.


Title: Re: DuPage County, Illinois
Post by: ill ind on October 29, 2008, 07:50:25 am
  I'm in DuPage and I think it will be pretty close.  I think that Obama will pull it out by 1 or 2 percentage points, but it will be extremely close.  Kerry did get 45% here, which capped a lengthy (since 1980 or so) period of Democrats consistently scoring a few points higher each presidential election.  If it wasn't Obama I'd say no--wait 4 more years.

Ill-Ind



Title: Re: DuPage County, Illinois
Post by: Boris on October 29, 2008, 07:29:16 pm
Given the (D) trend, Obama's home-state advantage, and what the overall national margin will likely be, yes. Which would be awesome, given that I've spent 17 of my 18 years living there. But I doubt he'll win my area of the county :(


Title: Re: DuPage County, Illinois
Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on October 29, 2008, 08:04:33 pm
That Obama winning that county is even possible is a nice little summary of everything that's wrong with him, and why he'll likely be a lousy President.


Title: Re: DuPage County, Illinois
Post by: Torie on October 29, 2008, 08:48:20 pm
I bet Obama carries it.


Title: Re: DuPage County, Illinois
Post by: Soaring Eagle on October 29, 2008, 08:50:47 pm
Yes. I am well-connected to DuPage County and I'd give it a good chance of going to Obama.


Title: Re: DuPage County, Illinois
Post by: Sbane on October 29, 2008, 08:51:20 pm
That Obama winning that county is even possible is a nice little summary of everything that's wrong with him, and why he'll likely be a lousy President.

So he is too conservative? Likes the upper middle class?


Title: Re: DuPage County, Illinois
Post by: Ronnie on October 29, 2008, 08:54:05 pm
Obama should win, but it'll probably be very close.  I'm kind of unsure of where the state stands right now, though -- if Obama stays in the 50s, McCain should be able to win.

I don't know if I'm the first person to say this, but who cares?


Title: Re: DuPage County, Illinois
Post by: Smash255 on October 29, 2008, 09:04:03 pm
In 04 it was 7.18% more GOP then the national average.  A 7.18% margin on the national level is easily possible.  The county was trending Democratic (even without Obama) and the added bonus of Obama's home state.  Yes he wins it.


Title: Re: DuPage County, Illinois
Post by: Landslide Lyndon on April 06, 2009, 03:54:14 pm
In the end it wasn't even close.
55-44 or 45.000 votes.

Fareed Zakaria said it best about the white suburbanites: after eight years of W, they feel that their money are safe with the Democrats but their values are threatened by the Republicans.