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Title: Demographic Maps (for election night) Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on November 04, 2008, 12:50:21 PM Thought this might be a good idea.
Poverty]https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=gallery;sa=view;id=790]Poverty (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=gallery;sa=view;id=790) With Degree]https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=gallery;sa=view;id=732]With Degree (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=gallery;sa=view;id=732) Men in Managerial Occupations]https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=gallery;sa=view;id=713]Men in Managerial Occupations (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=gallery;sa=view;id=713) Blacks]https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=gallery;sa=view;id=683]Blacks (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=gallery;sa=view;id=683) Manufacturing Employment]https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=gallery;sa=view;id=673]Manufacturing Employment (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=gallery;sa=view;id=673) Various stuff done for the primaries: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=gallery;sa=view;id=268 https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=gallery;sa=view;id=257 https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=gallery;sa=view;id=334 https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=gallery;sa=view;id=434 And a link to one of the best websites there is on this subject: http://www.valpo.edu/geomet/geo/courses/geo200/HomePage.html I'll also add a link to my two-thirds-done attempt at county-classification when I've made the colours easier to read and so on. Title: Re: Demographic Maps (for election night) Post by: Serenity Now on November 04, 2008, 01:01:05 PM Yay!!!
Title: Re: Demographic Maps (for election night) Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on November 04, 2008, 01:48:16 PM No, I think I need some sleep now actually. So here it is, confusing colours and all:
() It's mostly based around employment patterns of one sort of another, although that's obviously not the case in the South. Shame I didn't get to finish it before the election, but the general patterns are obvious enough anyway, I hope. Nos da Title: Re: Demographic Maps (for election night) Post by: Democratic Hawk on November 04, 2008, 03:17:25 PM In an election guide, The Times tells me to pay close attention to Vigo County, IN to see if Obama is scoring with the white working class
I won't be online to watch though :(. I'm off to an Election Night Bash ;D within moments Dave Title: Re: Demographic Maps (for election night) Post by: TheGlobalizer on November 04, 2008, 04:02:59 PM Not sure exactly what the colors means, but to describe MD demographics to anyone who cares:
Western MD = Appalachia Central MD = DC/Philly-style Mid-Atlantic upper-middle class; DC suburbs skew a bit more socially liberal than the rest of the state Baltimore = >50% black, poor city Eastern Shore / Southern MD = similar to rural/agricultural upper south (tobacco/corn); think NC/VA, not SC/GA. Border counties: Western/Central = Frederick + Carroll; Central/Southern = Charles + Calvert; Central/ES = Queen Anne's, Harford. Outliers: Prince Georges = high black demos; Montgomery = skews affluent + liberal. Typically Democratic: Baltimore City; Prince Georges; Montgomery (urban + inner suburbs) Swing: Baltimore County; Howard; Anne Arundel; Charles; Harford (I-95 corridor) Typically Republican: everywhere else (west, east, south) Projection: Obama +18 (58/40) Title: Re: Demographic Maps (for election night) Post by: Sam Spade on November 04, 2008, 04:20:07 PM Thank you, Al.
Title: Re: Demographic Maps (for election night) Post by: J. J. on November 05, 2008, 09:05:45 AM 18-29 year old voters looks like they were same percentage of the vote as 2004.
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/polls.main/ Title: Re: Demographic Maps (for election night) Post by: Verily on November 05, 2008, 01:12:50 PM 18-29 year old voters looks like they were same percentage of the vote as 2004. http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/polls.main/ Only if by "the same" you mean "increased from 17% to 18% in exit polls which are a dubious measure anyway." http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/US/P/00/epolls.0.html Title: Re: Demographic Maps (for election night) Post by: Sbane on November 05, 2008, 01:54:47 PM 18-29 year old voters looks like they were same percentage of the vote as 2004. http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/polls.main/ The difference being the huge margin young voters gave Obama. Turnout overall seems to have fallen though, at least here in California. Or maybe there are just that many early votes out still. Title: Re: Demographic Maps (for election night) Post by: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on November 05, 2008, 04:58:18 PM 18-29 year old voters looks like they were same percentage of the vote as 2004. http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/polls.main/ The difference being the huge margin young voters gave Obama. Turnout overall seems to have fallen though, at least here in California. Or maybe there are just that many early votes out still. Every 4 years people talk about how Californian turnout has fallen, and then every 4 years it turns out that there are actually another couple of million provisional and absentee ballots. Title: Re: Demographic Maps (for election night) Post by: J. J. on November 05, 2008, 05:04:10 PM 18-29 year old voters looks like they were same percentage of the vote as 2004. http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/polls.main/ Only if by "the same" you mean "increased from 17% to 18% in exit polls which are a dubious measure anyway." http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/US/P/00/epolls.0.html No, I was using Pew's prior numbers: http://www.pewtrusts.org/news_room_detail.aspx?id=17696 Title: Re: Demographic Maps (for election night) Post by: J. J. on November 05, 2008, 05:20:28 PM 18-29 year old voters looks like they were same percentage of the vote as 2004. http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/polls.main/ The difference being the huge margin young voters gave Obama. Turnout overall seems to have fallen though, at least here in California. Or maybe there are just that many early votes out still. Every 4 years people talk about how Californian turnout has fallen, and then every 4 years it turns out that there are actually another couple of million provisional and absentee ballots. It was from exit polls, and it doesn't look like there was a great change this year (possibly a drop due to rounding, but a fractional point). The one state where we have data, NC, it actually dropped as percentage of the total vote at least in early voting. 2004 was an uptick year in the 18-29 voters. Title: Re: Demographic Maps (for election night) Post by: Moooooo on November 05, 2008, 08:29:06 PM Not sure exactly what the colors means, but to describe MD demographics to anyone who cares: Western MD = Appalachia Central MD = DC/Philly-style Mid-Atlantic upper-middle class; DC suburbs skew a bit more socially liberal than the rest of the state Baltimore = >50% black, poor city Eastern Shore / Southern MD = similar to rural/agricultural upper south (tobacco/corn); think NC/VA, not SC/GA. Border counties: Western/Central = Frederick + Carroll; Central/Southern = Charles + Calvert; Central/ES = Queen Anne's, Harford. Outliers: Prince Georges = high black demos; Montgomery = skews affluent + liberal. Typically Democratic: Baltimore City; Prince Georges; Montgomery (urban + inner suburbs) Swing: Baltimore County; Howard; Anne Arundel; Charles; Harford (I-95 corridor) Typically Republican: everywhere else (west, east, south) Projection: Obama +18 (58/40) Very nice and I agree with the exception of Anne Arundel and Harford. D's still have a party registration advantage in both, but neither are swing counties. I'd place Hardford and Anne Arundel in the Typically Republican column. |