Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2008 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Tender Branson on December 19, 2008, 03:17:11 PM



Title: CO-PPP: Democrats likely to retain Senate seat in 2010
Post by: Tender Branson on December 19, 2008, 03:17:11 PM
John Hickenlooper (D) - 54%
Bill Owens (R) - 40%

John Hickenlooper (D) - 54%
Tom Tancredo (R) - 37%

John Salazar (D) - 52%
Bill Owens (R) - 43%

John Salazar (D) - 53%
Tom Tancredo (R) - 40%

In each of the four possible contests the Democrat has at least a 19 point edge among
independents, and wins 16% or more of the Republican vote.

PPP surveyed 712 Colorado voters on December 16th and 17th. The survey’s margin of
error is +/-3.7%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may
introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Colorado_1219.pdf


Title: Re: CO-PPP: Democrats likely to retain Senate seat in 2010
Post by: Ronnie on December 19, 2008, 06:26:38 PM
Colorado = blue state


Title: Re: CO-PPP: Democrats likely to retain Senate seat in 2010
Post by: JohnnyLongtorso on December 19, 2008, 08:33:31 PM
Wow, I was not expecting Owens to poll that badly.


Title: Re: CO-PPP: Democrats likely to retain Senate seat in 2010
Post by: Lief 🗽 on December 20, 2008, 03:56:21 AM
Wow. Colorado is awesome.

Also, I hope this helps put to bed the "Salazar would be more electable because he's a DINO" nonsense.


Title: Re: CO-PPP: Democrats likely to retain Senate seat in 2010
Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on December 20, 2008, 07:55:39 AM
Utterly meaningless this far out.


Title: Re: CO-PPP: Democrats likely to retain Senate seat in 2010
Post by: TheresNoMoney on December 20, 2008, 12:23:34 PM
I hope Ritter doesn't appoint Salazar.


Title: Re: CO-PPP: Democrats likely to retain Senate seat in 2010
Post by: Kaine for Senate '18 on December 20, 2008, 12:26:18 PM


Title: Re: CO-PPP: Democrats likely to retain Senate seat in 2010
Post by: Flying Dog on December 20, 2008, 12:42:59 PM
Hickenlooper is obviously the best choice, by far.


Title: Re: CO-PPP: Democrats likely to retain Senate seat in 2010
Post by: JohnnyLongtorso on December 20, 2008, 02:30:38 PM

Doubtful, as Salazar the Elder got a seat on the Appropriations Committee.


Title: Re: CO-PPP: Democrats likely to retain Senate seat in 2010
Post by: Alcon on December 20, 2008, 02:44:01 PM

Although a pretty impressive reflection in political change there, since races in Colorado seem a lot more likely to drift from R to D than vice-versa.


Title: Re: CO-PPP: Democrats likely to retain Senate seat in 2010
Post by: Lunar on December 20, 2008, 02:46:13 PM

DISAGREE

SAFE DEM

()
GOP - these aren't the d......


Title: Re: CO-PPP: Democrats likely to retain Senate seat in 2010
Post by: Torie on December 20, 2008, 05:16:10 PM
Owens and Tancredo are weak candidates for the GOP.  Maybe a better prospect will appear from over the horizon.


Title: Re: CO-PPP: Democrats likely to retain Senate seat in 2010
Post by: Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee on December 21, 2008, 04:10:15 PM
Owens and Tancredo are weak candidates for the GOP.  Maybe a better prospect will appear from over the horizon.

Tancredo is weak but Owens I think us being underated by this poll. But yes maybe someone less known like a Scott McInnis would be better.


Title: Re: CO-PPP: Democrats likely to retain Senate seat in 2010
Post by: Aizen on December 21, 2008, 04:39:08 PM
Owens is not a strong candidate. He also won't be running so the point is moot anyway.


Title: Re: CO-PPP: Democrats likely to retain Senate seat in 2010
Post by: justfollowingtheelections on December 21, 2008, 04:52:48 PM
According to this poll, both Hickenlooper and John Salazar are outperforming Ken Salazar against GOP potential nominees.

Federico Pena (Clinton's secretary of Transportation, Denver mayor and member of Obama's transition team) withdrew his name from consideration.

Finally, according to a poll by ProgressNowAction, these are the people's favorites for Salazar's seat:


. Andrew Romanoff
2. Diana DeGette
3. John Hickenlooper
4. Ed Perlmutter
5. John Salazar
6. Federico Peña
7. Alice Madden
8. Mike Miles *
9. Joan Fitz-Gerald *
10. Peter Groff
11. Bernie Buescher
12. Tom Strickland
13. Bill Ritter
14. Cary Kennedy
15. Michael Bennet
16. Bob Schaffer *
17. Jared Polis *
18. Ken Gordon *



Title: Re: CO-PPP: Democrats likely to retain Senate seat in 2010
Post by: Small Business Owner of Any Repute on December 31, 2008, 02:12:17 AM
Winning in Colorado is all about turnout and not so much about playing to the indies.  The GOP is in decent shape to win here if they can nominate someone credible.  (Big "if.")


Title: Re: CO-PPP: Democrats likely to retain Senate seat in 2010
Post by: Lunar on December 31, 2008, 02:18:53 AM
I was typing up a reply but I figure I'll just post a thread so everyone knows what's going on for the GOP side of Colorado at the moment


Title: Re: CO-PPP: Democrats likely to retain Senate seat in 2010
Post by: Aizen on January 01, 2009, 04:45:44 PM
Winning in Colorado is all about turnout and not so much about playing to the indies.  The GOP is in decent shape to win here if they can nominate someone credible.  (Big "if.")


That was true in 2002 but it doesn't really hold water anymore. Colorado is looking to go the way of Washington and Oregon with Republican registration advantage shrinking at a significant rate. In fact, Independents have already surpassed Republicans. That means Indies ARE important and a moderate Republican is needed to win. Fundies cannot win here anymore. Those days are over in Colorado. The problem is that the Republicans in Colorado will probably not nominate a moderate. Whatever. It's their funeral.


Title: Re: CO-PPP: Democrats likely to retain Senate seat in 2010
Post by: Small Business Owner of Any Repute on January 06, 2009, 12:59:12 PM
Winning in Colorado is all about turnout and not so much about playing to the indies.  The GOP is in decent shape to win here if they can nominate someone credible.  (Big "if.")


That was true in 2002 but it doesn't really hold water anymore. Colorado is looking to go the way of Washington and Oregon with Republican registration advantage shrinking at a significant rate. In fact, Independents have already surpassed Republicans. That means Indies ARE important and a moderate Republican is needed to win. Fundies cannot win here anymore. Those days are over in Colorado. The problem is that the Republicans in Colorado will probably not nominate a moderate. Whatever. It's their funeral.

I do not yet see evidence that the boost in Democratic registration reflects a permanent boost in Democratic self-identification (we need more than one data point), and further, a solid number of those new registrants wouldn't be caught dead wasting their time voting in a midterm election.