Atlas Forum

Election Archive => 2008 Elections => Topic started by: Rob on June 06, 2009, 01:27:05 pm



Title: Obama vs. Clinton
Post by: Rob on June 06, 2009, 01:27:05 pm
How do you think Hillary's general-election performance would have compared to Obama's, state by state, had she won the nomination? It goes without saying that we have no way of knowing how the campaign would have gone differently; but we can make some educated guesses. Mine:

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Blue = higher percentage for Clinton, red = higher percentage for Obama


Title: Re: Obama vs. Clinton
Post by: Boris on June 06, 2009, 01:54:35 pm
Hillary would have done a lot better in the Pittsburgh metro than Obama...


Title: Re: Obama vs. Clinton
Post by: Rob on June 06, 2009, 02:08:04 pm
Hillary would have done a lot better in the Pittsburgh metro than Obama...

and worse in the more-populous southeast


Title: Re: Obama vs. Clinton
Post by: bgwah on June 06, 2009, 03:50:31 pm
I mostly agree with your map. I would definitely change New Jersey though. I would strongly consider changing Pennsylvania as well.

I also find the one CD in Maine to be mildly curious, but I don't know a lot about it.


Title: Re: Obama vs. Clinton
Post by: Boris on June 06, 2009, 03:55:00 pm
Hillary would have done a lot better in the Pittsburgh metro than Obama...

and worse in the more-populous southeast

meh, they would have done about the same in SE PA, IMO. But I don't really have anything to back that up other than my gut instinct so you may be right


Title: Re: Obama vs. Clinton
Post by: Nym90 on June 06, 2009, 03:55:52 pm
ME-02 is a rural, very white, more communitarian (i.e. some degree of social conservativsm) leaning district that would've probably preferred Clinton to Obama.


Title: Re: Obama vs. Clinton
Post by: Stranger in a strange land on June 11, 2009, 01:19:27 pm
Probably something like this (using the color scheme from the primaries):

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