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March 19, 2019, 09:50:01 pm
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1  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Demographics of the alt-right on: March 18, 2019, 12:38:08 pm
Rather similar to the demographic makeup of Ron Paul's fanbase if I had to guess. Young, white, male, middle class, single.
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Manchin V Morrisey 2016 instead of 2018. Would Manchin have done better? on: March 17, 2019, 01:06:35 pm
It's worth remembering that Jim Justice won by a decent margin in 2016 as a Democrat. Perhaps Manchin would have been able to do the same. I can't see him being as vocally for Clinton if he was up in 2016.
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: UT: 2018 Initiative General Election Result on: March 16, 2019, 06:03:50 pm
#populist Carbon County returning to its Democrat roots by voting with the big city Democrats once again.

Seriously though why did it? IIRC correctly it was the only county in Utah that Swung R in 2016.

Something I've noticed in referendums is that formerly Democratic counties swinging to the Republicans will often still vote for the "left" position on ballot issues for years after they've flipped electorally. On Question 790 in Oklahoma, Coal County was the strongest "no" voting county, more so than even Cleveland County. The 2014 Illinois miminum wage increased fared especially well in placed like Calhoun County that are formerly Dem. Virginia's RTW vote also showed this trend. 
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election: April 9, 2019 on: March 13, 2019, 08:19:17 pm
Why didn't Gesher and Kulanu merge? It's my hunch that Levy would fit in well with Kulanu and their moderate-right-on-security, economically populist positioning.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Sherrod Brown Will NOT Run for President on: March 07, 2019, 01:06:35 pm
This is the first one that's actually surprised me.
With his whole tour and the relatively positive reception he got, this does surprise me. Maybe Biden really is running and Sherrod wants to clear the way? Or he realized his voters are likely split between Bernie and Klobuchar and his lane is small as is?
6  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Israel General Election (2019)- finalized parties on: March 03, 2019, 10:51:54 pm
Doing this by tiers. Tier one are parties I could definitely vote for and feel good about. Tier two are parties I could in theory vote for although I probably wouldn't. Tier three are parties I wouldn't vote for. Tier four are parties I strongly dislike.

1. Blue and White
2. Labor
3. Meretz

4. Gesher
5. Kulanu

6. Likud
7. Hadash-Ta'al
8. Zehut

9. Yisrael Beiteinu
10. New Right
11. UTJ
12. Shas
13. Tzomet
14. Ra'am-Balad
15. Union of Right-Wing Parties
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: So lets discuss which Democratic Representatives need to be primaried in 2020 on: March 01, 2019, 03:22:39 pm
Gabbard, Tlaib, and Omar
8  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Labor Party Primary (Winter 2019 Convention - New Orleans, LA) on: March 01, 2019, 03:19:30 pm
Labor Party Leadership Election Ballot
The elections for leadership will last for 48 hours.

For Chair of the Labor Party
[X] Jimmy7812
[ ] JGibson

For Vice Chair of the Labor Party
[X] Zaybay
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: You Are The NRCC, How To Take Back The House? on: February 19, 2019, 05:42:58 pm
It won't happen in 2020, so the strategy has to be geared more for 2022 or 2024.

1.) Target the historically Dem, GOP-trending districts. This would be like CT-05, MA-09, MI-05, IA-02, WI-03

2.) Take back some of the losses from 2018, maybe even in 2020, like NY-22, UT-04, NY-19, ME-02, NM-02, OK-05.

3.) Play defense in marginal suburban seats like PA-01, NE-02, NY-01, NY-02 and start to defend some of the suburban seats that are trending Dem over time like IN-05, WI-06, NC-13, NC-02
10  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: Fremont Voting Booth: February 2019 Election on: February 15, 2019, 10:48:13 pm
For Senate (Class I)
[ 1  ] Ontario Progressive of Montana
Fianna Frémont - Labor
[   ] politicalmasta73 of Montana
Independent - Federalist
[   ] Write in
Should MP RFA09 of California be recalled?
[ X  ] Yes
[   ] No
11  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: February 2019 Federal Election on: February 15, 2019, 10:47:51 pm
PRESIDENT AND VICE PRESIDENT OF ATLASIA

[  ] MB298/KoopaDaQuick
Hoxhaist Party

[  ] Tmthforu94/LumineVonReuental
Federalist/Montfortian Party

[ 1 ] YE/Jimmy7812
Peace/Labor Party

[  ] Write-in:______________________________
-__________________

[  ] None of the above

HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES - NINE SEATS

[ 8 ] CMB222 of Kansas
Federalist Party

[ 1 ] HenryWallaceVP of Iowa
Labor Party

[ 2 ] JGibson of Illinois
Labor Party

[ 5 ] LibertarianRepublican/#TheShadowyAbyss of Florida
Labor Party

[ 6 ] LouisvilleThunder of Indiana
Federalist Party

[  ] matthew27 of Oregon
Independent Federalist Party

[ 9 ] Ninja0428 of Washington
Montfortian Party

[  ] Pericles of Minnesota
Independent

[ 7 ] razze of Florida
Peace Party

[  ] Tea Party Hater of California
Federalist Party

[  ] vern1988 of North Carolina
Federalist Party

[ 3 ] Zaybay of Massachusetts
Labor Party

[  ] Write-in:______________________________
-__________________

[  ] None of the above
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Congressman Walter Jones passes away, age 76 on: February 12, 2019, 09:18:48 am
Wrote a tribute to him that I think electionatlas folks might like to read!
https://www.mironline.ca/a-tribute-to-former-congressman-walter-jones-jr-a-voice-in-the-wilderness/?fbclid=IwAR08vAsDh6JcHiUb62zVS-JxYNHsDOlFIlEgaZ1GnsGg2cy_X8e9qInCZts
13  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Remaining right-wing American suburbs on: February 05, 2019, 03:26:30 pm
The exurban fringes of suburbs often tend to be more conservative that inner ring suburbs. Usually less diverse too. And then you have Southern suburbs like Shelby County that remain far more conservative and religious-right.
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rate Trumbull County, Ohio on: February 02, 2019, 12:31:22 pm
Lean R
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election: April 9, 2019 on: February 01, 2019, 04:06:24 pm
I've read quite a bit about Israeli politics and recently spent time in Israel but still have this question: What do the Arab parties differ on? Like I know Hadash is broadly a "joint Jewish-Arab" Communist party, but what makes the others different? Is one less extreme than the others?
16  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Labor Party Primary (Winter 2019 Convention - New Orleans, LA) on: February 01, 2019, 04:01:41 pm
[X] OntarioProgressive

[X] Razze
17  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Portuguese elections 1975 on: January 27, 2019, 07:26:22 pm
Definitely PS!
18  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Your Parents' Political Views on: January 22, 2019, 08:38:58 am
Dad: Generally left-leaning but not left-wing. Pretty moderate on economics and generally liberal on social issues.

Mom: Left-wing on economics and most social issues, while being pro-life.
19  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: Fremont Voting Booth : January 2019 Parliamentary Election on: January 19, 2019, 10:48:10 pm
For First Minister
[ x ] Scott of Wyoming
Meadowlark - Peace
[   ] Write in

For Parliament
[  5  ] Galaxie of Hawaii
 Meadowlark - Peace
[  6   ] iBizzBee of Oregon
Unaffiliated - Peace
[  4  ] JacksonHitchcock of California
Unaffiliated - Labor
[  7  ] KoopaDaQuick of Iowa
Meadowlark - Federalist
[  1  ] ON Progressive of Montana
Fianna Frémont - Labor
[  2  ] RFA09 of California
Independent - Labor
[  3  ] RoyCooper2020 of Alaska
 Alaskan Socialist Party - Labor
[   ] Write in
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian by-elections, 2018 (next: Leeds-Grenville-etc., federal, Dec 3) on: January 15, 2019, 10:13:20 pm
Looks like leftist former NDP MP Svend Robinson is returning to politics, running for the NDP against incumbent Liberal MP Terry Beech in Burnaby North-Seymour. Robinson is known for being vociferously anti-American and anti-Israel.
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/svend-robinson-political-comeback-1.4979022
21  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Collin Peterson v Walter Jones Jr on: January 15, 2019, 10:41:08 am
Two of my favorite members of Congress, but I'd pick Peterson.
22  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Post 2000 Gubernatorial elections when you would have voted for opposition party on: January 13, 2019, 04:40:54 pm
2008:
Huntsman

2010:
Chafee

2013:
Christie

2014:
Kasich
Sandoval
Haslam

2016:
Burgum
23  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Post 2000 Senate elections, when you voted for opposition party nominee on: January 13, 2019, 04:26:57 pm
2000:
Jeffords
Snowe

2002:
Hagel
Stevens

2006:
Snowe
Lieberman

2014:
Collins

2016:
Murkowski
24  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: International Endorsements for 2019 on: January 13, 2019, 03:28:45 pm
Belgium: Parti Socialiste
Canada: Liberal Party
Denmark: Social Democrats
Estonia: Social Democratic Party
Finland: Social Democratic Party of Finland
Greece: Movement for Change
Israel: Hantuah or Benny Gantz's party or maybe even Yesh Atid (depending on what the hell happens to the Israeli left)
Switzerland: Christian Democratic People's Party of Switzerland
25  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Chinese Americans vs. Chinese Canadians on: January 13, 2019, 02:22:15 pm
What's interesting is that heavily Chinese-Canadian areas voted for SoCons like Trost during the CPC leadership race. I don't know exactly how Chinese-American precincts voted in the GOP primary but it might be interesting to compare.
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