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March 22, 2019, 03:14:53 pm
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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will AA turnout be up or down with Bernie as the nominee? on: March 10, 2019, 12:27:54 am
Posters are underestimating how machine-driven AA turnout is.
2  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Eric Holder says Dems should pack SCOTUS on: March 10, 2019, 12:21:19 am
The Supreme Court is a partisan body that shouldn't exist.
3  General Politics / Individual Politics / Opinion of Terence Powderly? on: March 01, 2019, 11:07:00 pm
Interesting figure.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Why did Obama do better with the WWC (white working class)? on: March 01, 2019, 10:59:11 pm
Still quite a lot of WWII Democrats even in 2008. I sometimes think the Republican swing in the senior vote between 2008-2012 was just the last New Dealers passing away.
5  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Did mainstream feminists discredit themselves when they supported Bill Clinton? on: March 01, 2019, 10:49:21 pm
Third-wave feminism did.
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If the DNC really wants to stop Bernie... on: February 23, 2019, 07:37:01 pm
They don't need to do anything. Super Tuesday Deplorables aren't voting for Slave Shipping Sanders. He gives them a lot of racial anxiety. Smiley
7  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: another smirking white guy in a MAGA with a "punchable face" on: February 23, 2019, 07:27:26 pm
It's amusing that the right simultaneously thinks that leftists are ultra-feminine soyboy cucks but also violent, aggressive thugs who have conservatives living in fear. Guess it depends on whatever narrative they feel like pushing at any given time
That's not the problem. The problem is political violence becoming normalized.

It is normal. Has been for millennia. No more sitcom views of how history was.
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Bernie Sanders 2020 announcement megathread on: February 17, 2019, 07:55:49 pm
Sanders is doomed because the Super Tuesday Deplorables don't like that he's a Jew- descendant of slave traders. Pretending otherwise is delusional.
9  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: The Crisis of American Democracy Distilled on: February 17, 2019, 07:30:40 pm
The "polarization threatens liberty" argument ignores a very key fact - the centrists are the ones who disdain democratic rule, not the "extreme" ideologues.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/05/23/opinion/international-world/centrists-democracy.html

Just look at the small House vote against the Patriot Act in 2001 for a good example. It was almost exclusively from the most left-wing Democrats and the most right-wing Republicans.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: How does the GOP rebrand and reinvent nationally as a party? on: February 16, 2019, 07:56:32 pm
Truth be told Drumpf coalition would probably be quite salient it if wasn't for his sleaze and Russiagate. We see that increasingly in Europe. It's a question of the messenger, not the message.

I will also add they will eventually have no choice but to counter Democrats over-the-top female identity politics by playing over-the-top male identity politics. It's the only way they will start peeling off a good chunk of non-whites votes.
11  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: Was there anything liberal about the 1990s? on: February 16, 2019, 07:50:54 pm
Well, there was S-CHIP. Imagine a GOP senator co-sponsoring any kind of federal health program today.
12  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: Which Party Do You Trust More on National Security? on: February 16, 2019, 07:45:28 pm
National security is a misleading buzzword in this day and age. Both parties are responsible for the "war on terror", and while the GOP started it, the Democrats expanded it beyond comprehension. A real attack on this country is virtually impossible in the nuclear age and we should be grateful for that instead of playing endless chess.
13  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Amazon pulls out of NYC on: February 16, 2019, 07:24:10 pm
No same person wants an Amazon in their community. How do I know? They are rapidly destroying mine and I live over an hour outside Seattle.
14  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Virginia megathread on: February 09, 2019, 07:35:38 pm
The same people who didn't care about Clinton in 1998 also didn't care about Franken in 2017, and now don't care about Northam or Fairfax in 2019.

Our Duty To The Party.
15  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Virginia megathread on: February 09, 2019, 07:00:28 pm
Well, it is Bill Clinton's party.
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Past Election What-ifs (US) / Re: 1964 if Goldwater supported the Civil Rights Act of 1964 on: February 06, 2019, 08:04:52 pm
There's a lot wrong with the map posted above, but I'll focus on the West. Goldwater's vote against civil rights actually helped him a lot in southern Idaho. See here for a full explanation. The only reason he lost that state is he was wiped out in the Panhandle. Montana in 1964 was very unionized (37.4%) because of mining, so I can't see him winning that state either way. Wyoming is a strong possibility, but even that wasn't a sure thing because of his opposition to agricultural subsidies.  Utah depends on who the LDS leaders throw their support towards.
17  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: yearbook photo emerges of VA gov northam posing in kkk/blackface on: February 06, 2019, 06:12:20 pm
It's weird how a few posters are speaking of 1984 like it was some barely post-antebellum period.
18  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Has the fall of the USSR made American politics better or worse? on: February 06, 2019, 06:04:58 pm
It would be even worse it was still happening. Just look at the sort of things that were rammed through without opposition because "StOp ThE CoMmUnIsTs!!!!!!!111"
19  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: New Hampshire vs. Virginia on: February 06, 2019, 05:52:06 pm
Angry Women > Yuppies and Hee-Haws.
20  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Sunbelt or Midwest? on: February 06, 2019, 05:48:50 pm
The Sunbelt is a terrible place and always has been.
21  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: is it ok to wear clothing belonging to a different ethnic group than you? on: February 06, 2019, 05:44:06 pm
Cultures don't exist.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Past Election What-ifs (US) / Re: 1996: Pete Wilson the Republican nomiee on: February 06, 2019, 12:57:08 am


Clinton/Gore 359
Wilson/Kemp 179

Wilson wouldn't win California.

http://ucdata.berkeley.edu/pubs/CalPolls/1750.pdf

http://ucdata.berkeley.edu/pubs/CalPolls/1744.pdf

http://ucdata.berkeley.edu/pubs/CalPolls/1772.pdf
23  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Why would a white male NASCAR fan vote Democrat? on: February 04, 2019, 08:54:29 pm
NASCAR fans only supported Romney by seven points in 2012. Of course, things have changed much since then.

https://www.sbnation.com/nascar/2012/10/10/3484804/nascar-fans-mitt-romney-barack-obama-2012
24  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: How would you have voted in the 1964 US presidential election? on: February 04, 2019, 08:47:52 pm
Knowing what we know today? I wouldn't have voted. At the time, I probably would have been "half the way with LBJ" like many future anti-Vietnam activists were.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: The next Republican president on: January 29, 2019, 07:35:36 pm
Whoever it is you'll hate them more than Drumpf.
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