Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
February 17, 2019, 04:44:32 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Be sure to enable your "Ultimate Profile" for even more goodies on your profile page!

  Show Posts
Pages: [1] 2 3 4
1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who will win the Iowa Democratic Primary in 2020? on: November 25, 2016, 05:55:07 pm
Elizabeth Warren

My favorite candidate is Al Franken, but the candidate with the best chance of winning would probably be Sherrod Brown.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democrats: Would you vote for Ron Wyden/Henry Cuellar? on: November 20, 2016, 07:03:01 pm
They're not my ideal ticket, but I'll be desperate to get rid of Trump at that point.
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Could Uncle Joe Biden have beaten Trump? on: November 18, 2016, 07:57:30 pm
Biden would have absolutely won.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How did your precinct vote? on: November 18, 2016, 07:37:51 pm
My diverse NJ suburb:

Hillary Clinton - 57.4%
Donald Trump - 37.9%
Others - 3.7%
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Dark horse Democrats for 2020? on: November 18, 2016, 06:58:23 pm
Al Franken.

He's a progressive. He can win back the Midwest. He's uniquely fit to take on Trump in that he's a former entertainer and he doesn't always talk like a typical politican.
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is it possible for Democrats to win back Catholics and Union midwest voters? on: November 18, 2016, 06:33:15 pm
The Democrats need to scrap their neoliberal economic agenda in favor of Bernie Sanders-esque stances on trade and welfare.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Generation of the 2020 Democratic nominee on: November 17, 2016, 07:31:12 pm
Gen X or Boomer
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread on: November 17, 2016, 07:20:22 pm
Any rumblings about Cruz? The rumor I heard early on in the summer was that he was preparing to coral potential donors in preparation for a 2020 run regardless of who wins.
That's assuming he doesn't get primaried in 2018.
Yeh. Right. Tell us another funny story. Ted's a hero in Texas. Also, no one comes close to his level of organization and effort.

Given the vigor with which he pursued this primary season, 2020 is a real possibility for Cruz. I do not see the Donald running twice. The one major exception is if he gets tapped for SCOTUS.
Cruz has a negative approval rating in Texas (though still positive, but relatively bad, among Republicans), and polls show that Rick Perry would beat him by nine points if he ran in the primary.  I would still bet my money on Cruz surviving a primary challenge, but stranger things have happened (like the election we just had).
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Did Hillary's campaign know they were headed for a loss?? on: November 15, 2016, 09:30:15 pm
They certainly didn't expect a loss, but they knew it was a good possibility.
10  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: New Register Thread on: November 15, 2016, 07:07:36 pm
Sedona
Labor
New Jersey
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: I'd say this election is most comparable to 1960 on: November 15, 2016, 06:34:32 pm
A good comparison on the Nixon/Clinton front, not so much on the Kennedy/Trump front.
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread on: November 15, 2016, 06:32:15 pm
Any rumblings about Cruz? The rumor I heard early on in the summer was that he was preparing to coral potential donors in preparation for a 2020 run regardless of who wins.
That's assuming he doesn't get primaried in 2018.
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Al Franken 2020 on: November 15, 2016, 06:20:19 pm
Al Franken was occasionally mentioned as a possible running mate for Hillary Clinton, but was never considered too seriously, most likely because the campaign wanted to come across as serious to contrast with Trump's antics.

Pros:
- Palatable to both progressives and the establishment (progressive voting record, but also an early Clinton backer)
- Popular in his home state of Minnesota, a battleground state in the increasingly important Rust Belt
- Charismatic
- Excellent debater
- Large war chest

Cons:
- May face "traitor" allegations from Bernie or Bust people
- His past as a comedian could be damaging with values voters
- May have trouble connecting with voters
- He would be the first Jewish major party nominee, which has the potential to be a problem
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Presidential Poll for Democrats on: November 15, 2016, 05:53:58 pm
Sanders because younger people will show up to vote for him. My brother refused to vote at all because the primary was "stolen" from Bernie, and my sister voted for Trump but said she would have voted for Sanders.

Please tell me there's something special about Harris other than being Latino? The identity politics has to cease immediately.
Just a note, Harris is half black, half Asian, not Latino.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What is the appeal of Cory Booker? on: November 15, 2016, 04:57:20 pm
Young, black, good speaker, socially liberal, appeals to moderates, one of the few clean politicians here in Jersey, etc.

Just because you don't think he's progressive enough (I agree) doesn't mean he doesn't have any appeal.
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What is most important for the Democratic nominee? on: November 15, 2016, 04:31:01 pm
Good character.  If this election has shown us anything, it's that voters don't really care all too much about policy.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Chance the democrats go full corbyn in 2020 on: November 15, 2016, 04:28:34 pm
There are no elected national politicians that are ideologically anything similar to Corbyn; even Sanders is miles to the right of him.
^This

Sanders isn't really comparable to Corbyn ideologically.  They are both anti-establishment, and are to the left of their parties, but what Sanders stands for is much closer to Miliband than Corbyn.  The only people far-left enough to resemble Corbyn can be found in the Green Party.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Presidential Poll for Democrats on: November 15, 2016, 04:12:40 pm
Sanders is my favorite, but realistically he will be too old in 2020.  I voted for Warren, but Harris would be excellent as well.
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Could Trump pull off this map if he makes ALL promises in 2020? on: November 13, 2016, 04:07:58 pm
You lost me at Washington, Oregon, and New Mexico.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Maine's 2nd congressional district on: November 07, 2016, 08:50:09 pm
Clinton, but there really hasn't been enough polling to say so with confidence.  Still more than NE-2 I suppose.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Does Stein or McMullin win more votes? on: November 07, 2016, 08:41:13 pm
Stein obviously.

Clinton > Trump > Johnson > Stein > McMullin > Castle.
What about Rocky De La Fuente?  I could honestly see him getting more votes than Castle.  More people recognize the Reform Party than the Constitution Party.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will Clinton get over or under 90% in DC? on: November 07, 2016, 08:39:00 pm
Decreased black turnout and increased third party votes will leave Clinton slightly below 90%.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Final poll: who wins the big 5? on: November 07, 2016, 08:36:01 pm
Clinton wins all but Iowa.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Why Ross Perot was so popular in Maine? on: November 07, 2016, 05:24:58 pm
Maine has an anti-establishment streak.  That's part of why it has an independent Senator.  The same is true for Alaska, the other state where Perot did particularly well.  Alaska currently has an independent Governor.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Suppose Trump is elected and Christie is appointed AG on: November 06, 2016, 10:35:22 am
Christie won't make it through confirmation - I guarantee it. But yeah, marijuana legalization is probably dead in a Trump administration regardless of Trump's own position on the issue.

With a GOP senate?
A lot of conservatives already despise Christie for being too "moderate", which they mainly think because he hugged Obama.  I think that and the entire Bridgegate scandal would make it very difficult to confirm him even if the GOP maintains control.
Pages: [1] 2 3 4


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines