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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: Emerson-Iowa: Biden and Sanders lead the field with...Buttigieg in 3rd... on: March 24, 2019, 02:00:13 pm
Man, this is gonna create some headlines...

BTW, did I miss something with Buttigieg?

He has had consistent and strong momentum the past two weeks.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which candidate is the bottom of the barrel? on: March 23, 2019, 09:49:53 pm
Messam is as serious a candidate as Buttigieg (mayor of a larger, more diverse city from a state with more Democratic donors than South Bend).

So the answer is obviously Williamson

Messam is from a city where the city manager does all the governing. He’s not as serious as Buttigieg.
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Uncomfortable question: if Pete Buttigieg were straight? on: March 22, 2019, 11:49:14 am
It would take away from his story a little bit, but he's still very well thought out on all of the issues. I forget he's gay sometimes
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Congressional Special Election Thread (NC-9 5/14 primary, 9/10 runoff or gen) on: March 19, 2019, 06:10:01 pm
Pittenger just endorsed former Mecklenburg county commissioner, Matt Ridenhour. Accuses Bishop of knowing what McCrae Dowless was up to.

https://amp.charlotteobserver.com/news/politics-government/election/article228141089.html#click=https://t.co/PzDsQ8QJjd
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Pete Buttigieg Megathread on: March 19, 2019, 04:11:20 pm
I’m very impressed with him. One of my top picks. Originally I was reluctant to support him fully because he’s gay but once I saw him in the town hall talk about his husband I was really identified with him and said “screw it” and jumped on the bandwagon.

What about his gayness was problematic to you?

Because to a lot of people it is. Not everyone is the accepting and tolerant angel you are.

Obviously I get that, but homophobia might not be the only reason someone wouldn’t want to support a gay man. Fears about electability, for example, would be a perfectly rational response to Buttigieg.
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Emerson National: Biden 26, Sanders 26, Harris 12, O’Rourke 11, Warren 8 on: March 19, 2019, 04:05:50 pm
https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/national-poll-sanders-tied-with-biden-o-rourke-gets-post-announcement-bump

After Warren:
Someone Else 5
Buttigieg 3 (!!!)
Booker 3
Castro 1
Yang 1
Klobuchar 1
Gabbard 1
Inslee 1
Hickenlooper 1
Gillibrand 0
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Pete Buttigieg Megathread on: March 19, 2019, 09:05:47 am
I’m very impressed with him. One of my top picks. Originally I was reluctant to support him fully because he’s gay but once I saw him in the town hall talk about his husband I was really identified with him and said “screw it” and jumped on the bandwagon.

What about his gayness was problematic to you?
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: In the Democratic Primary, who won the week?-Vol. 2 on: March 18, 2019, 06:19:58 am
Buttigieg and Yang both really broke out, and Beto is up there too, given his fundraising haul.
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Pete Buttigieg Megathread on: March 17, 2019, 08:42:37 pm
He’s also gone viral three times this weekend, once because he can speak 8 languages - Dari, Arabic, Norwegian, Italian, Maltese, French, Spanish and English - conversationally! Once because of his message to the South Bend Muslim community after the Christchurch massacre. And once because he gave up the first class seat Fox booked him to Los Angeles to a stranger so he could sit with hus husband.

He made the DNC’s 65k donor threshold Saturday morning, has doubled his Twitter following since the CNN Town Hall, is starting to regularly poll at 1%, and his book is headed towards the top 10 overall list on Amazon’s best-seller list.

He really is the “dark horse” of this race, at least right now. He’s human, is running a values-based campaign, and is incredibly charismatic.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Gillibrand formally announces candidacy on: March 17, 2019, 09:02:00 am
The premise of the video is good, though I hate how she’s focusing on Trump so much. She’s announcing at Trump International, for christ’s sake!
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2020 Democratic nomination, my assessment at this time on: March 16, 2019, 08:05:46 am
Buttigieg only gets more popular every time his name rec increases. He may not be a factor now but if he can make it to the debates, he will become the dark horse pick for the nomination.
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: CO-SEN Megathread: Cory In The House on: March 16, 2019, 06:57:21 am
McSally, even if AZ votes GOP could lose and Gardner is gone, need 2 more either from KY(Amy Graff) or TX or IA

You don't think that Georgia, Maine, or North Carolina are better targets?

Amy Graff
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NC-SEN 2020: Tar Heel Tillis on: March 16, 2019, 06:56:18 am
My connections’ connections say Jackson has totally ruled it out as well. There’s an account on Twitter to draft state rep. and Lt. Gov. candidate Chaz Beasley, and it’s getting a little attention.
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / O’ROURKE is an ex-member of Cult of the Dead Cow on: March 15, 2019, 11:51:20 am
https://www.reuters.com/investigates/special-report/usa-politics-beto-orourke/
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: 2020 MT-sen Bullock explicitly not running on: March 15, 2019, 07:29:09 am
Bullock is not the end of the bench in Montana, though he would have a much easier lift than anyone else. If he is held to this, watch former Lieutenant Governor Angela McLean, or former Secretary of State Linda McCulloch. Kathleen Williams would be another good choice.
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Gillum has set an announcement on: March 12, 2019, 10:10:40 am
He's running for Senate in 2022. I'm sure that's what it is.
Could be, buy why announce now? He's probably going to challenge Al Lawson - arguably the most pro-Trump black Democrat - if anything, but I suspect he's running for the big job.

Keep in mind, the reason we're seeing loser candidates suddenly making moves towards the Presidency is based not in politics but rather profit. Running a campaign pays great. You loan yourself some money, you write a book, you collect donations and then basically travel the country while collecting the interest on the initial loan. The rest is cycled through a network of consultants with greased hands who get hired at rates that more often than not well above that of the market and basically help launder the money. Ben Carson was a pro at this. I knew Ben Carson was doing exactly this, but I still paid $30 to buy his book so he can sign it Tongue

If Gillum was going to challenge Lawson, why on earth would he be announcing that campaign in Miami?
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread, Part 3 on: March 11, 2019, 01:06:44 pm
Biden:

https://www.axios.com/joe-biden-2020-presidential-election-imminent-4e9500d1-6873-45b8-9a89-7f1afe2c4121.html

Quote
Advisers to former Vice President Biden say it will be apparent within days whether he has decided to activate a presidential campaign that would likely launch by early April.

Between the lines: A Biden insider tells me the "final, final" decision is now "imminent."

Biden, 76, returns this week from a family vacation in the Virgin Islands, where he was expected to make a final decision on whether to make one more big run after more than four decades of public service.

The Smart Brevity from Bidenworld: The former vice president is highly likely — but not absolutely certain — to announce soon (by early April).

We're told the weekend in St. Croix was to run through the toll that a campaign would take on the family, and everyone is on board.

If Biden decides to go for it, he'll start pressing political allies and potential staff members for firm commitments to join him.

That will be the true "tell," advisers say, and will quickly become widely known.

Biden has been “announcing soon” for the past 3 months.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: CNN to do back-to-back-to-back town halls for Delaney, Gabbard, and Buttigieg on: March 10, 2019, 06:53:06 pm
Delaney is laughably boring and sounds like a high schooler trying to run out the word requirement on his essay.
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: TX-SEN 2020 Megathread - Cornyn: Unbeatable Titan John Cornyn at 43% approval on: March 08, 2019, 05:29:31 pm
if i'm Chuck Schumer - i'd be calling up henry cuellar to ask him to run

Putting aside his qualities or lack thereof as a potential statewide candidate, he voted with Trump 68.8% of the time in the 115th Congress despite representing a Safe D seat. I can only imagine what it would be if he went on to represent the entire state of Texas in the Senate.

Cuellar is a lloyd bentsen democrat. That's kind of what you need to win statewide. I mean if O'Rourke can win Williamson and Tarrant and still lose the state - that Texas is a tougher nut to crack than previously thought.

Texas Democrats aren't anywhere near done talking to typical non-voters, who the Beto campaign relied on. With higher Hispanic turnout in the Presidential year, continued suburban drift, and sustaining the turnout from young people that O'Rourke blew up, I think a liberal candidate will continue to be the best way to win Texas. Cuellar would probably hurt Democrats.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If the candidates fall into an A-tier, B-tier, and C-tier - who goes where? on: March 06, 2019, 09:52:22 pm
A: Sanders, Harris, Biden, O’Rourke
B: Buttigieg, Booker, Klobuchar, Inslee, Brown, (Abrams but she’s a big if)
C: Yang, Castro, Hickenlooper, Bullock, McAuliffe, Bennet
D: Williamson, Swalwell, Gabbard, Delaney, Ryan, Moulton, de Blasio
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / The Hick files to run on: March 04, 2019, 06:26:15 am
http://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/313/201903049145600313/201903049145600313.pdf
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: TX-SEN 2020 Megathread - Cornyn: Unbeatable Titan John Cornyn at 43% approval on: February 27, 2019, 07:54:17 pm
Wasted Potential. Hopefully MJ Hegar shows Cornyn the door.

ba dum tsss
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will the Krassenstein brothers make am endorsement in the primary? on: February 20, 2019, 06:38:05 pm
No, they will not make a Democratic primary endorsement, instead they will come out in support of presumptive Citizen’s Freedom party nominee Mark B Graham
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: Post a hypothetical election result, and the next poster says who it's about on: February 19, 2019, 07:45:35 pm
Tom Wolf / Tom Vilsack vs. Phil Scott / Rick Scott




This is a fairly competitive 5 way election between Donald Trump,Bernie Sanders, Kamala Harris, Jeb!, and a more intelligent and effortful Gary Johnson.

25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Bernie Sanders is running: the megathread on: February 19, 2019, 06:33:38 am
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