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326  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: Who will win? (Sept 1st Edition) on: September 02, 2008, 02:17:46 pm
I think McCain.
327  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: The Big Questions of the Week...Including: Will Palin Become The Next Eagleton? on: September 02, 2008, 02:14:18 pm
I think McCain would survive replacing her and still win. I still give him an edge.

It is so important that the VP pick help not hurt the candidate. And this is not helping.

She should be out, immediately.
328  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: McCain wanted to choose Ridge or Lieberman. on: September 02, 2008, 01:04:41 pm
Ridge would have been a better pick.
329  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: Sarah Palin's daughter IS pregnant, actually on: September 01, 2008, 12:29:35 pm
Well, whether this is irrelevant or not, it will still be all over the news. The public is barely getting to know her and she will obviously be somewhat defined by the news that come out.

What has been discussed all over the news:

1. She's a woman, history.
2. Relative inexperienced
3. Commander-In-Chief question
4. Son has Down syndrome
5.Governor of Alaska, mayor of 8,000 people
6. Unmmarried daughter is pregnant

All I know is that trivial issues do take an impact on people who don't follow politics as usual. My mother who votes and dont follow politics at all is slightly Republican. She heard the news and said, "she can't even run her own house." My sister said "she should be home taking care of that stuff."

And these are women saying this. Not very smart but you know...

We'll see what happens. I don't think McCain should replace her that would look really bad on his part. If there is a hit to be taken, he should take it. I think there were more qualified people for this position and I think he made the wrong choice.
330  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: Interesting DailyKos article about Palin on: August 30, 2008, 06:23:13 pm
I think that if she is in fact the mother, this could be easily refutable. The Dems should be careful with this. I don't think anyone should be accusing her without having more evidence than just pictures, odd details, and assumptions. However, if the DNC is able to verify that this is in fact true, then they should go after her, not the Obama campaign. I don't believe that she'll be this stupid to take the VP position and hoping that no one would find out. But again, some politicians are so stupid to do things and later get caught...eg. Edwards, Foley, etc.

If this is true, her credibility would just go down the drain. Compassion for a liar? Ok. I'll leave that to the Republicans and their talking points.
331  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: Is Sarah Palin qualified to be President of the United States? on: August 30, 2008, 05:54:47 pm
I don't trust her to be Commander-in-Chief. period. Poor judgment on McCain's part.
332  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: Paul Begala is deathly afraid of Palin. on: August 30, 2008, 12:36:02 am
I agree with Begala. I would not feel secure with Palin as commander in chief. Her lack of experience is alarming. Somehow, I have a general feeling of security with Obama, although he lacks the experience needed. but he's got Joe Biden by his side. McCain said he would put country first and in my opinion, he put political calculations ahead of the security of this countr... if something were to happen to him. I expected better of his judgement. We'll see how this political calculation unfolds in the following days.
333  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: McCain ad: "Job well done" to Obama on: August 28, 2008, 05:27:32 pm
Yea, I felt it was a bit sarcastic.
334  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: "official" Vice President leaks, tips, and speculation thread (GOP edition) on: August 28, 2008, 02:10:52 pm
I think it's Romney...ewww!
335  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: Obama's VP Notification on: August 22, 2008, 04:14:32 pm
How does the texting work? I already signed up via the website for the email.
336  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: OFFICIAL Vice President leaks, tips, and speculation thread on: August 22, 2008, 03:10:07 pm
I think we're just gonna have to wait till tomorrow.
337  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: Hillary was NEVER vetted for VP spot on: August 22, 2008, 03:01:42 pm
I'm really upset over this.  At this point, I don't really care if Obama loses.
338  Election Archive / 2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Michigan poll: Obama leads McCain 46-39% on: August 21, 2008, 11:06:49 pm
Detroit Free Press-Local 4 Michigan Poll


600 likely voters. Twelve percent are undecided and 3% support third-party candidates.

Obama 46%
McCain 39%
Undecided 12%
Other 3%

This is the first Free Press/Local 4 Michigan Poll on the presidential race since the candidates became the presumptive nominees. It was conducted Sunday through Wednesday and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. It also shows:

Obama leads 80%-13% among Detroit voters.

Obama leads 45%-41% among voters in suburban Oakland and Macomb counties.

McCain leads among white voters statewide, 46%-38%.

Obama gets 92% of African Americans.

McCain holds a 13-point lead among Catholic voters; Protestants are evenly split, although evangelicals favor McCain by 2-1.

Among non-Christians, Obama leads 66%-13%.

Third-party candidates Bob Barr and Ralph Nader have a negligible impact on the race, if anything hurting McCain more than Obama.

Among first-time voters, Obama has a 2-1 edge.

Recent polling in other battleground states has not shown any clear trends. The averages of recent polls in Ohio, Florida, Virginia and Colorado show McCain with thin leads and Obama with the lead in Minnesota. Four polls taken in Michigan since mid-July show Obama with an average lead of 3.2 percentage points, according to the Web site Real Clear Politics.
339  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: name a wild card pick on: August 20, 2008, 10:48:00 pm
Chet Edwards
Mark Warner
Jim Webb
Brian Schwietzer
340  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: OFFICIAL Vice President leaks, tips, and speculation thread on: August 20, 2008, 10:42:32 pm
Hillary will be in California this weekend...this may suggest that she's really out of the running....I know it has been said all along...but I still had some hope.


341  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: hillary clinton on: August 19, 2008, 06:01:56 pm
I still think she has a chance. I mean, 25% of her supporters are not yet sold on Obama. I don't think Obama can do much to convince them to support him. Only Hillary can do this. I really hope he picks her. I don't think the message will be undermined, both of them represent change. The convention is already pretty much an Obama-Clinton-Clinton-Obama, he might as well just pick her.
342  Election Archive / 2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Indiana: McCain leads 50-44 Survey USA on: August 19, 2008, 05:33:37 pm
I'm going to vote for Obama. But I don't think that he'll win Indiana.
343  Election Archive / 2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Indiana: McCain leads 50-44 Survey USA on: August 19, 2008, 05:30:45 pm

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Indiana adults 08/16/08 through 08/18/08. Of them, 779 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 645 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election. Indiana has 11 Electoral College votes. George W. Bush carried Indiana by 21 points in 2004 and by 16 points in 2000. Obama is from the neighboring state of Illinois. Residents of Northern Indiana see Chicago television. Evan Bayh, the Democratic junior United States Senator from Indiana, is a possible Obama running mate. At this hour, no running mate has been named, though within 48 hours that will almost certainly change.
344  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: The Official FINAL Predict-a-VP Thread (Obama Edition) on: August 19, 2008, 05:16:33 pm
Hillary Clinton : )
345  Election Archive / 2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / IOWA: Obama leads McCain 50-43 UI Hawkeye Poll on: August 19, 2008, 05:03:05 pm
The Hawkeye Poll was conducted by phone Aug. 4-13. The sample size is 709 registered voters, (margin of error 3.7 percent) and 617 likely voters (margin of error 3.9 percent). Likely voters are defined as registered voters who say they are "absolutely certain" to vote. Reported results are weighted to match the sex, age and race of the registered Iowa voter population.


346  Election Archive / 2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: NV: Rasmussen: Arrogant Obama arrogantly takes the lead in Nevada on: July 17, 2008, 04:35:23 pm
Thanks for responding. Well, I think polls are just polls. But, I don't think anyone can deny the fact that Nevada has been very competitive in the last two presidential elections.  Bush won the state by ~21,000 votes in 2004. Democrats now have a 50,000 advantage in voter registration. Republicans had a 1% edge in 2004, now Democrats have a ~5-6% edge. That is very dramatic. Of course, this does not account for the fact that we have months to go and turnout will be very important. The hispanic population is overwhelmingly democratic in Nevada and the higher they turnout, the higher chances Obama has of winning the state. There are organizations in the state actively registering Latinos. We'll see what happens.
347  Election Archive / 2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: NV: Rasmussen: Arrogant Obama arrogantly takes the lead in Nevada on: July 17, 2008, 04:18:14 pm
Inside joke?
348  Election Archive / 2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: CA-Field Poll: Obama buries McCain on: July 16, 2008, 11:53:58 am
well, I disagree.
349  Election Archive / 2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: CA-Field Poll: Obama buries McCain on: July 16, 2008, 10:41:48 am
I really think this election will come down to New Mexico, Iowa and Nevada. I don't think that Obama will take Colorado. If Obama takes those three, and everything else remains the same as 2004, then we have an electoral tie.
350  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: Atlas Poll (Mid July 2008) on: July 16, 2008, 10:39:11 am
Obama...may move to Nevada by the end of this month (have to change my registration). My family just got a house there.
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