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11026  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Environmental Policy Bill of 2007 on: October 28, 2007, 11:38:47 pm
Aye.  I agree with Verily here: Snowmobiles should be considered in a separate bill.  It seems out of place in this one.
11027  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Minimum Wage Revision Bill on: October 28, 2007, 11:37:30 pm
I have an amendment for this bill that I'll be filing tomorrow.  I want to see the Senate pass a minimum wage law applying to all of Atlasia, so we can challenge the status quo in the Supreme Court and give them something to do.
11028  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: For New Jersey residents or people that lived there... on: October 28, 2007, 11:25:00 pm
New Jersey has one of the lowest gas tax rates in the country.
11029  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: NJ Elections : Poll - Dems have edge going into election --- More on Elections on: October 28, 2007, 11:19:55 pm
Some more polling bits and pieces today, from assorted sources:

Why Codey pulling his financial backing out of District 39:
Quote from: NorthJersey.com

In the District 2 Assembly races, Republicans are slightly favored to win both seats.  The district is currently split 1D, 1R; both are open seats.
Quote from: PoliticsNJ.com
11030  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: NJ Elections : Poll - Dems have edge going into election --- More on Electi on: October 28, 2007, 10:20:42 pm
I think I've read everything politifax said on PNJ except about Beck being up by 3. I don't buy that. She's a terrible campaigner.

It is clearly a Republican leaning district on most levels.  Further, Beck has a very strong base in Red Bank, a town Democrats could have otherwise hoped to win with landslide levels in.  For someone who won so convincingly over a pair of incumbents in 2005, you simply can NOT write her off as a terrible campaigner.

Because terrible campaigners don't win races like that after being outspent by infinity-to-one.
That has nothing to do with her campaign. She really isnt that great of a politician or campaigner. If she does win, she will win because we have a legislature that does for the most part deserve to be kicked out.

It's funny you're deriding Beck as a poor campaigner, since the universal complaint about Ellen Karcher is what a piss poor campaign she's been waging!  PoliticsNJ has moved the race out of the toss-up category and into the "leans Republican" category.

She won because of ethics in 2003, and may wind up losing, in part, because she wasn't as squeaky clean as voters thought she'd be.  The Asbury Park Press elected her, and four years later, it's working to throw her out.
Ellen Karcher's campaign has nothing to do with the quality of Beck's. I never said Karcher was running a good, bad, or bland campaign. We all know how she first won the seat, too. It was a great coup.  If Beck wins, it's because of a piss-poor campaign by Karcher in an already GOP district in what should have been an anti-Dem mood statewide.

I'm somewhat curious: What about Jen Beck's campaign seems to strike you as "poor"?
11031  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: A question for those who dislike blight on: October 28, 2007, 05:14:29 am
No company would want to set up shop their so the poverty just continues in a vicious cycle until gay people decide to move in and renovate all the old houses.

You can't see it but I am having a most fervent bout of eye rolling right now.

Roll if you want, but it's true. Gays are frequently at the forefront of gentrification. Even here in Memphis, we have a neighborhood (Cooper-Young) that has been salvaged by the gays and is now a very mainstream area for pubs, clubs, and such.

Its most definitely true in Columbus where I live as well.

We are indeed an industrious people.  Who, uh...love living in restored victorian houses or something.
11032  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: NJ Elections : Poll - Dems have edge going into election --- More on Elections on: October 28, 2007, 05:10:21 am
For those interested, PoliticsNJ updated their Prall Report a couple days back.

http://www.politicsnj.com/files/prall102507.pdf

They're calling the Senate at 22D, 17R, 1 toss-up (currently 22D, 18R).  In the State Assembly, it's 45D, 29R, with 6 toss-ups (currently 50D, 30R).

They're calling for three takeovers so far: In the State Senate, Sen. Ellen Karcher (D-12) and Sen. Nick Asselta (R-01) are in undeniable trouble; Republicans are favored to pick up the open seat in Assembly 08 vacated by party-switcher Fran Bodine (R-turned-D).
11033  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: NJ Elections : Poll - Dems have edge going into election --- More on Electi on: October 28, 2007, 04:42:58 am
I think I've read everything politifax said on PNJ except about Beck being up by 3. I don't buy that. She's a terrible campaigner.

It is clearly a Republican leaning district on most levels.  Further, Beck has a very strong base in Red Bank, a town Democrats could have otherwise hoped to win with landslide levels in.  For someone who won so convincingly over a pair of incumbents in 2005, you simply can NOT write her off as a terrible campaigner.

Because terrible campaigners don't win races like that after being outspent by infinity-to-one.
That has nothing to do with her campaign. She really isnt that great of a politician or campaigner. If she does win, she will win because we have a legislature that does for the most part deserve to be kicked out.

It's funny you're deriding Beck as a poor campaigner, since the universal complaint about Ellen Karcher is what a piss poor campaign she's been waging!  PoliticsNJ has moved the race out of the toss-up category and into the "leans Republican" category.

She won because of ethics in 2003, and may wind up losing, in part, because she wasn't as squeaky clean as voters thought she'd be.  The Asbury Park Press elected her, and four years later, it's working to throw her out.
11034  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: New Tradesports rankings on: October 28, 2007, 03:01:21 am
Wow to Huckabee at 6.9.  Nice gain, but I'm starting to think he may be getting unrealistically high.  Ditto for Thompson at 10.0: wow.  The folks with the money are finally beginning to understand what we knew all along.

11035  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Ban on dry municipalities? on: October 28, 2007, 02:52:57 am
I'd imagine most of New Jersey would wind up being "moist," especially with the shore counties.  In fact, a number of towns actually split apart 100 years ago because of disagreements over being wet or dry.

Personally, I think my municipality should be "wet," but I think communities should be able to make their own decisions on whether or not alcohol may be sold within them.
11036  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Matthew Shepard case and capital punishment on: October 28, 2007, 02:47:27 am
I do support the death penalty, and applying it in this case seems to be a no brainer.  A brutal, conscience shattering crime.
11037  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Office of Mideast Governor HappyWarrior on: October 28, 2007, 02:42:41 am
FTR, I strongly support Inks for Lieutant Governor here.  He's very strong when it comes to the "important" stuff, namely drumming up voters for regional elections and making sure booths get opened and closed on time.

Mideasterners already have a strong progressive in the Governor's office.  They shouldn't need to worry about Inks' positions on the issues—what's important is that he's competently able to do the job.
11038  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Georgia Senate 2008: Chambliss over 50% against all four Democratic challengers on: October 28, 2007, 02:36:17 am
Is there no rich democrat who can reinvent the party and buy any seat in Georgia?

Sorry, they don't run things in Georgia like they do in New Jersey. Tongue
I dont think it applies to NJ. The dems were in great shape here anyway. Corzine wasn't some random dem who needed to save the party from electoral blockout. But yea, I know your joke wasn't meant in this way. hahaha

I'm not sure if the joke applies to Corzine, but it could certainly apply in places like District 2, 4 (2003), 8, 12, and 38 (2003) where Democrats wouldn't have stood a shot in hell without first outspending their Republican opponents into the ground.
11039  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: SoEA Confirmation Hearing: Al [Confirmed] on: October 27, 2007, 10:33:02 pm
Aye FTR.
11040  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Office of Mideast Governor HappyWarrior on: October 27, 2007, 10:26:14 pm
Distinguished? I seem to recall him making a ham-fisted attempt at rigging a referendum.

Which one?  If this is true, I will defintly withdraw the nomination.
End to Districts. He PM'd people telling them to consciously go back in the booth and invalidate their vote to end districts.

But is that really "rigging"?
11041  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Cleland Would Make a Race in Georgia on: October 27, 2007, 09:32:57 pm
BREAKING: A DEMOCRAT POLLING AT 24% IN GEORGIA NOW A SIGN OF STRENGTH
11042  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: VA Sen: Report says Davis (R) likely to drop out on: October 27, 2007, 09:29:58 pm
The September 2007 poll for Devolites-Davis is here, though be warned:

(1) It is an internal Democratic poll,
(2) We don't know what kind of leading questions may have been asked before the poll question.

For those too lazy to look, it's Davis 36, Petersen 46.
11043  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: So much for running a competitive campaign in North Carolina on: October 27, 2007, 09:12:50 pm
What a retard. Why didn't he just stay closeted? Doesn't he care about Gays and himself to realize that he needs to be in Congress in order to make an impact.

And you're a Democrat.  Wonderful.
11044  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Georgia Senate 2008: Chambliss over 50% against all four Democratic challengers on: October 27, 2007, 09:11:12 pm
Is there no rich democrat who can reinvent the party and buy any seat in Georgia?

No.
11045  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: NJ Elections : Poll - Dems have edge going into election --- More on Electi on: October 27, 2007, 08:51:05 pm
If the voters of New Jersey are stupid enough to increase the Democratic legislative majority, they will pay a very serious price; both monetary and in their quality of life.

New Jersey had a decade of all-Republican government and is only mid-way through a comparable amount of time with the Democrats. Property taxes went up under both administrations, and I defy anyone to explain how a Republican Trenton is going to improve quality of life in New Jersey, which seems driven by traffic, high housing costs, and continued development in a state that is already the most densely populated in the country. They can't, because these problems don't have easy solutions.

Perhaps in another few years Republicans can count on a "throw the bums out" election that gives them a chance to feed at the trough without resolving any of these problems and piling up more debt than usual because of tax cuts without any changes in spending, but in the Bush era, New Jersey seems comfortable with the Democratic bums.

Trust me, New Jersey is not "comfortable with the Democratic bums."  New Jersey is very unhappy with its government (look at the numbers).  Problem for Republicans is that New Jersey is even less comfortable with Republicans.  (Fortunately for Republicans this cycle, all the battlegrounds are on GOP turf.)

Personally, I'd just like to see enough New Jersey Republicans in either house to put at least some kind of check on an all-Democratic government.  The State Senate is the logical place, where the GOP would have a say on judges and contracts.

The only thing I worry about is that Republicans and Democrats might actually work together as a team, and instead of 22 Senators working as a team to pass sweetheart contracts, we'd have 40 Senators working as a team.
11046  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: NJ Elections : Poll - Dems have edge going into election --- More on Elections on: October 26, 2007, 08:55:51 am
Actually, according to PoliticsNJ today, Jen Beck is solidly in the lead.

Quote from: PoliticsNJ.com
This week, Karcher is in trouble in her re-election bid, with some polls showing her six to nine points behind Republican Assemblywoman Jennifer Beck. Despite the Karcher campaign's efforts to drag Beck's numbers down with New York market attack ads the campaign has run since October 15th, Beck's campaign isn't crumbling, or showing any signs of fissure.

I'm moving this out of my own personal "toss-up" category to "lean Republican."  Probably means Panter is sweating a bit, too.

I anticipate Republicans will be going in to the next session with a 23-17 deficit in the State Senate, and a 48-32 deficit in the State Assembly.  This election cycle so far has not been going as well for Democrats as I expected—especially considering how poorly Republicans did in the recruiting game.
11047  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Environmental Policy Bill of 2007 on: October 26, 2007, 07:31:54 am
I would like to motion for the adopting of an amendment striking Section 2 from this legislation as a friendly amendment.

Senators shall have 24 hours to object to the adoption of this amendment.

I support removing it, but I doubt you'll be able to get it accepted as friendly.
11048  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Estate Tax Reform Bill on: October 26, 2007, 07:29:32 am
Could someone enlighten me as to the current levels of the Estate Tax?
11049  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: NJ Elections : Poll - Dems have edge going into election --- More on Electi on: October 26, 2007, 07:22:18 am
I think I've read everything politifax said on PNJ except about Beck being up by 3. I don't buy that. She's a terrible campaigner.

It is clearly a Republican leaning district on most levels.  Further, Beck has a very strong base in Red Bank, a town Democrats could have otherwise hoped to win with landslide levels in.  For someone who won so convincingly over a pair of incumbents in 2005, you simply can NOT write her off as a terrible campaigner.

Because terrible campaigners don't win races like that after being outspent by infinity-to-one.
11050  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: VA Sen: Report says Davis (R) likely to drop out on: October 26, 2007, 07:16:05 am
Why is his wife so likely to lose?

Because polls have shown it likely to be so?

Also, how many Republicans do you know are so eager to admit they're only 'Republicans in name only'?

Quote from: Times Dispatch
On the campaign trail, Devolites Davis describes herself as an independent, a moderate who can best represent a centrist constituency. At a forum Thursday night before Equality Fairfax, a gay-rights organization, she called herself a "RINO" -- Republican in Name Only -- a derogatory term used by members of the GOP's conservative wing.

http://www.inrich.com/cva/ric/news.apx.-content-articles-RTD-2007-09-30-0169.html
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