Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
October 17, 2017, 04:30:26 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Be sure to enable your "Ultimate Profile" for even more goodies on your profile page!

  Show Posts
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 802
1  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Which is the more socially progressive wing? on: October 16, 2017, 08:18:29 pm
Democrats really need to stop relitigating the primary. I'm on the Hillary side of things, but I've got nothing against Bernie or his movement. There are far bigger things to worry about-- like war. The NFL controversy is overblown, too.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Should democrats give up on NC and focus elsewhere? on: October 16, 2017, 08:05:39 pm
^ He is talking about the CNN exit poll. In 2012, Romney got 25% of the Hispanic vote, Trump improved to 32%.

Looking at the gender breakdown among Hispanics is amusing, if sad. Trump actually did worse among Latino women, getting just 17% of the vote, compared to 22% for Romney. But he skyrocketed among Latino men, getting 42% of the vote, compared to 27% for Romney. If so, it would indicate a machismo culture among Hispanics has an effect, reducing the willingness to vote for a woman.
3  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Listing Trump’s sexual assault victims on: October 16, 2017, 07:11:14 pm
Liberals: Donald Trump sucks!

Conservatives: Bill Clinton sucks!

How about neither one of them gets to be president?
4  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: TV series you used to love and now hate on: October 16, 2017, 05:58:32 pm
House of Cards.  Worst. Show. Ever.
5  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: North Korea Mega Thread on: October 16, 2017, 05:49:35 pm
My guess is that 1) the Russians are feeding the North Koreans missile technology, including the ability to hit the U.S., as well as giving them hacking assistance, and 2) Trump (who the Russians put into office) wants to start a war to lift his sagging approval ratings. The end result will be great for Russia: Heavy, potentially nuclear catastrophe for the U.S. and two major U.S. allies, and possible war between the U.S. and China, while it itself sits pretty and perhaps has a chance to grab more of Ukraine / Belarus while the U.S. is distracted.
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Alabama Megathread: Jones (D) v. Moore (R) on Dec. 12 on: October 16, 2017, 02:00:21 pm
I mean given that one of their Congressmen jumped and started pounding another man’s face before the election, the Republicans can’t be said to care about the law.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: CA-SEN: Feinstein slips up; primary? on: October 16, 2017, 01:58:07 pm
Feinstein is a great Senator who has the seniority to make sure the country’s largest state, which is already underrepresented at all levels of government, has some pull in the Senate. Kevin de Leon can run to replace Harris if she wins the presidential nomination. I am endorsing Dianne Feinstein.
8  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Religious Right hypocrites cheer Trump at summit on: October 16, 2017, 12:32:27 pm
But if life is the most fundamental of rights, and if human life begins at conception (as I believe it does, logically and Biblically), a pro-choice country submits my fundamental rights to popular vote and the whims of others, does it not?

First of all, it does not, because you are not going to be aborted, as you are a person, to whom rights apply. I agree that life is the most fundamental of rights, but rights apply to people, not to fetuses. The question is when personhood begins.

It cannot logically begin at conception. If so, then what of the 1/3 of all natural pregnancies which go through conception, but never implant onto the placenta? If these embryos were persons, then this would be the greatest tragedy in human history. Do you think then, that we should make sure that every embryo that is created successfully implants and is born? It is not logical because no one advocates this, despite the fact being well known to medical science for decades.

Biblically I have already pointed out that the Bible never mention the word "abortion", so how can it be "Biblically" prohibited? The last time I mentioned this, I was pointed to the apocrypha, but whether that represents a Christian view or not, the apocrypha is not the Bible. The Bible heavily hints that killing a fetus is not considered murder. There are many other statements in the Bible that are much more clear than abortion. For instance, the Bible clearly says that women should cover their heads in church. Yet you see no one following this. The reality is, most religious right preachers just make up things that align with the preexisting prejudices and then claim it's Biblical.
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Sanders giving keynote address at women's conference on: October 14, 2017, 11:12:57 pm
It's absurd for a man to be the most prominent speaker - and opening speaker - at a women's conference. It's even more absurd for men to demand that Bernie be given the slot. For better or worse (and I don't agree with all the criticisms of him, but it is true that his campaign reinforced narratives that hurt the Democratic nominee in the GE), Bernie is a divisive figure now and the women's conference should be focused on their goals of protecting women's rights, rather than a controversy which is now detracting from the mission of the conference. The Sanders movement can have their own conferences where he's heavily featured, but this is not his event and he is derailing it.
10  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Religious Right hypocrites cheer Trump at summit on: October 14, 2017, 10:59:32 pm
I don't hate Christians; I am a Christian. I just don't see what's Christian in the least bit about what Trump has done. And yes, feminists who defend Bill Clinton over his philandering and sexual escapades are hypocrites - that's why I've always criticized him over his sexual behavior, even though I think he was a good president otherwise. But religious Christians who condone Trump's frankly hostile and frightening actions towards defenseless people are also hypocrites. "Jesus said unto him, Thou shalt love the Lord thy God with all thy heart, and with all thy soul, and with all thy mind. This is the first and great commandment. And the second is like unto it, Thou shalt love thy neighbour as thyself. On these two commandments hang all the law and the prophets." I'm no Catholic, but frankly this Pope has a better handle on Christian principles than the president.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Why is the GOP so good at ultra narrow wins? on: October 14, 2017, 12:07:31 pm
The GOP has had three very narrow presidential wins (2000, 2004 and 2016), all closer than any Democratic win in the past 40 years. The closest Democratic win (2012) was still not nearly as close as those three. If Trump wins re-election, most people think it’ll be another ultra narrow win, which would make it 4-0.
12  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Religious Right hypocrites cheer Trump at summit on: October 13, 2017, 01:32:47 pm
“Thou shalt begin a nuclear war.” - The Book of Drumpf 6:66
13  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Who was President when your parents were born? on: October 12, 2017, 09:37:14 pm
Truman.
14  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: How likely is Nuclear War? on: October 12, 2017, 09:35:35 pm
I love how all the people personally attacking me have no counterargument. Can you answer YES to any of these questions?

Will North Korea voluntarily give up is nuclear capability?
Will the United States accept a North Korea with nuclear capability?
If the United States launches a massive attack on North Korea, will they hold back from nuclear retaliation?
1.probably not
2.probably not
3.yes, because there is no way in hell the Norks will be able to set up and launch a missile at all, much less one that they put a warhead on.....assuming they've figured out how to make one small enough...which they have not proven yet....while under attack.  Don't you think we would focus on the possible launch sites early on?  There are only so many of them.

There is no indication we know the location of all of North Korea's potential launch sites, or all of their nuclear warheads (which, as Ghost of Ruin mentioned, can be smuggled). They almost certainly have a network of hidden launch sites or mobile launch vehicles hidden underground, some of which have never been used.
15  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: How likely is Nuclear War? on: October 12, 2017, 09:10:52 am
I love how all the people personally attacking me have no counterargument. Can you answer YES to any of these questions?

Will North Korea voluntarily give up is nuclear capability?
Will the United States accept a North Korea with nuclear capability?
If the United States launches a massive attack on North Korea, will they hold back from nuclear retaliation?

Unless you can answer YES to one of these questions, nuclear war will happen. All the people saying the chance is less than 15-20% are saying that the 'Yes' answers above add up to 80-85%. You would have to be as high as a kite to take that view, since there is currently zero evidence that any of the questions add up to Yes.

The closest is question 2, since at least some US experts believe this is necessary. That's why it's the position I advocate.
16  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: How likely is Nuclear War? on: October 11, 2017, 09:53:09 pm
For those saying only 5%, why so low? We know that Trump has threatened to attack North Korea if they don't give in to absurd demands (like giving up their nuclear weapons). He's always known that such a demand wouldn't work. If there's an attack it immediately becomes an existential threat to North Korea, and they have no reason not to hit back with nukes.  

My view is that they have far more nuclear missiles, hidden away in a vast network of underground tunnels that they've been building for years, than our intelligence could possibly estimate. No matter how many satellites we have, we can't see underground. Their missile capability is also higher than our estimates, since they are being fed by third parties. Even if Pyongyang was totally flattened, their nuclear command structure and government would remain intact, and their population is highly motivated. The US position in the western Pacific is weaker than it looks. Think about it... what surface strongpoints do we actually have? A base in Seoul, and a few bases in Japan, and Guam, all of which positions are well known. Then we have three or four aircraft carrier battle groups, which are sitting ducks for a nuclear strike. All of these strongpoints could be taken out very easily, which leaves us with submarimes but nothing on the surface. At that point, Trump will want to make good on his threat to "totally destroy" North Korea, and the North Koreans will want to do as much damage to the U.S. mainland as possible in retaliation. South Dakota is relatively safe, but Chicago, New York City, Seattle, and San Francisco are not. Not that Trump would mind, as all these cities voted for Clinton, and it would give him an excuse to suspend the Constitution and declare martial law. The other option is that China gets drawn in and the U.S. enters a protracted war with China which ends in a nuclear exchange.

I'm not just posting, either. I am actually moving out of D.C. in part because I don't want to be here when the nuke hits.
17  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: How likely is Nuclear War? on: October 11, 2017, 09:27:59 pm
99%. We’ve somehow given the power to start one to a man who wants to.

jesus christ

Anyway, I'd put it in the vicinity of 10%, which in itself is way too high.

Beet being beet lol

It’s going to happen.
18  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: How likely is Nuclear War? on: October 11, 2017, 09:22:10 pm
99%. We’ve somehow given the power to start one to a man who wants to.
19  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Trump has state visit to UK downgraded 'and will not be guest of the Queen' on: October 11, 2017, 09:19:39 pm
Who cares? That just makes him more of an iconoclast. The Royal Family is a sham anyway, the gold plated Queen’s own grandchildren are the product of a sham marriage that only happened due to the need to sacrifice an 18 year old virgin.
20  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Trump just threatened to strip NBC of its broadcast license on: October 11, 2017, 07:13:52 pm
Can we get this maniac out of office now? He would just be replaced by another Republican, so I don't see what's the big deal. He's a clear and present danger to the world.
21  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Why haven't liberals rushed to Weinstein's defense like cons w/Trump? on: October 11, 2017, 05:28:25 pm
Well I haven't rushed to his defense because I'm actually against rape and sexual assault. No doubt there's sexism on the left, but it hasn't manifested itself much in a high profile way since Hillary won the Democratic nomination last year. I don't expect that to last.
22  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Kansas Tried Trump's Tax Plan -It Didn't End Well on: October 11, 2017, 08:42:24 am
There is no need for tax cuts of any kind -profits are booming on Wall Street, we are at nearly full employment with still enough slack in the labor market to keep inflation and wage increases at a minimum, and with taxes already low after decades of previous tax cuts no one (except fat cat GOP donors) is clamoring for them.  

It is a solution in search of a problem that no longer exists.      

Precisely. The time for tax cuts is when the private sector is struggling and needs stimulus. Now is the time to reduce deficits so that we have more room for Keynesian expansionary policy when the next recession hits. (By the way, nuclear war has a tendency to bring on recession)
23  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Are Dave Franco and Seth Rogen responsible for the Korean crisis? on: October 10, 2017, 06:59:18 pm
No, but it appears that someone is feeding North Koreans both weapons technology and giving them hacking assistance, all in an effort to raise their confidence for a war. We have no way of knowing all the spy machinations that occur behind the scenes, and I'm sure they are far more dramatic than anything Hollywood has ever come up with. All we know are the end result: who wins, and who loses? That's your answer.
24  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Insider claims Bill Clinton is ‘heartsick’ over Hillary’s book tour on: October 10, 2017, 09:47:56 am
Lolololol - is this like the stories Clinton "melted down" on election night or that Huma Abedin is her lesbian paramour? God, these people are so desperate. I'd suggest this: Trainwreck
25  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Approximately 100,000 Puerto Ricans Expected to Relocate on: October 10, 2017, 09:21:40 am
Mortimer, Latin American countries are poor because of their institutions, not because of the "extraction" of their people. These institutions were set in place at the countries' founding and have shaped their development ever since. Just look at the difference between North Korea and South Korea to see how, even with the same "extraction", different institutions make the difference between rich and poor.

Latin America has the institutions they have at least partially because of the people they have. Institutions don't spring from the ground. They are made by people.

And these were made, for hundreds of years, by people of European Spaniard “extraction.” In any case, your theory still fails to explain lain how the two Koreas, with the same ethnic extraction, could have produced such different results. Just admit it’s historical circumstance which influenced human behavior and nothing about the people’s ethnicity. Unless your going to say North Koreans are a different race than South Koreans?
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 802


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines