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November 21, 2017, 08:50:43 pm
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News: Election 2018 predictions for US Senate are now open!.

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76  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: How do you feel about Ralph Northam's victory? on: November 08, 2017, 05:55:36 pm
Very disappointed to see such strong supporters of abortion winning the top 3 state offices. The General Assembly is close enough now that they might find be able to pick off a couple Republicans to get rid of regulations on it or even actively fund it.  Also various kulturkampf crusades such as curbing religious freedom in myriad ways, prohibiting psychotherapy for gender dysphoria, and furthering the destruction of memorials to the dead, all seem much more possible than before.

A significant positive on the other hand is that I believe Northam, with the Democratic gains in the House, is in a good position to solve the Medicaid gap and get healthcare coverage for people, so long as policy at the national level doesn't get int he way. And he will be more sensitive to environmental issues than Gillespie would have been, even if not as much as Perriello.

Finally there is something to be said for a strong rebuke to Gillespie's despicable campaign and the Trump-era Republican party in general.  Maybe they will get the message.
77  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Did you vote today? on: November 08, 2017, 02:05:54 pm
So Torie what you are saying is your machine runs Hudson now?
78  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: A f[inks]ing Green Party member got elected to Minneapolis Parks and Rec Board on: November 08, 2017, 02:01:37 pm
A rare sh!tty result from my normally awesome "all liberal all the time" precinct. Sad

Nonpartisan      Bob Sullentrop   18   2.89%   
Nonpartisan      Jonathan Honerbrink   20   3.22%   
Nonpartisan      Russ Henry   81   13.02%   
Nonpartisan      Mike Derus   34   5.47%   
Nonpartisan      Latrisha Vetaw   165   26.53%   
Nonpartisan      Meg Forney   98   15.76%   
Nonpartisan      Charlie Casserly   8   1.29%   
Nonpartisan      Londel French   135   21.70%   
Nonpartisan      Devin Hogan   62   9.97%   
WRITE-IN**      WRITE-IN**   1   0.16%   

I first prefed Hogan who ran on a campaign of "a Neoliberal Free Park Board". And then French and Hogan (Our Revolution endorsed candidates.)

lol
79  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: A f[inks]ing Green Party member got elected to Minneapolis Parks and Rec Board on: November 08, 2017, 06:25:50 am
Cool!  Maybe she will start a program in Slavic folk dance.
80  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: My thoughts on VA on: November 08, 2017, 06:17:56 am
You do realize that Toomey ran against Sanctuary cities and triangulated on guns in the Philly burbs, to win reelection to the Senate, right?


Ron Johnson voted against Comprehensive Immigration Reform, as did Roy Blunt, Rob Portman and so on.

This is a nice narrative you have hopped on Wulfric, but it is bullsh**t.

Did any of them run ads comparable to what we saw from Gillespie?
81  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: How do you plan to celebrate tomorrow? on: November 08, 2017, 02:47:36 am
I think I should my car inspected tomorrow. It's 2 months overdue.
82  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: 2017 Virginia HoD Thread on: November 08, 2017, 02:43:32 am
Fun fact: Democrats haven't picked up this many Republican seats in the VA House of Delegates since... 1899.

It was in fact 1897.

quoting myself from AAD:

"1899" I'm guessing may just be because the list on wikipedia goes back that far, but yes, it took a generation after reconstruction for the disenfranchisement of blacks to fully take hold in VA as elsehwere, culminating in the 1902 Constitution.

I looked into the question of party strength in the assembly at this time and finally found this site: (The Virginia Elections and State Elected Officials Database Project)   There was in fact a big gain for the Democrats, from about 70 to 95 members, but in 1897. The shift of the Democrats toward the direction of Bryan, represented that year by very successful Gov. candidate James Hoge Tyler, was a draw for many who had been first Readjusters, then Republicans and Populists, to join the Democrats.  But just a few years later, the new political order would restrict many of these people from voting (at least if they didn't vote the right way).
83  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2) on: November 08, 2017, 02:28:59 am
Depending on where you're getting your results, it looks like Northam might have won James City County!

VPAP seems to have doubled the count for two precincts here (Jamestown B, and Roberts D), owing I think to these precincts containing areas in two different house districts.
84  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2) on: November 07, 2017, 11:59:16 pm
Here's your tentative swing map compared to 2013:



Lol at SW VA. RIP Manchin.

Thanks for pissing on the victory parade. Your point isn't even valid.

What do you mean? I was celebrating the loss of Racist VA Hicks earlier. Unfortunately, in WV unlike in VA, they are a majority.

The "racist hicks" of SW VA unlike most of the rest of the state just gave a black Democrat LG candidate more votes than either Northam or Herring.
85  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2) on: November 07, 2017, 09:09:54 pm
Yeah what the hell is going on in HoD #27

some dumb glich.  Robinson is leading slightly per VPAP.
86  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2) on: November 07, 2017, 08:50:45 pm
Am I reading the map wrong or are the margins (relative to 2016) trending Republican in Alexandria and Richmond?

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/virginia-governor-election-gillespie-northam

In parts, yes.
87  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2) on: November 07, 2017, 08:29:58 pm
So it's pretty much set the Democrats flipped the house of delegates?

if you mean by "set" slightly within the range of possbility.
88  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: VA-GOV 2017: Utter Panic and Doom (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2) on: November 07, 2017, 08:18:20 pm
ASS WIPIN' TIME

GOING ON IGNORE TIME
89  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: VA-GOV 2017: Utter Panic and Doom (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2) on: November 07, 2017, 08:17:27 pm
Weird that Fairfax's margin in Albemarle is about 7 points larger than Northam's.

I'm not seeing anything like that.
90  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: VA-GOV 2017: Utter Panic and Doom (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2) on: November 07, 2017, 07:26:33 pm
This is a great site for results:
https://www.vpap.org/electionresults/statewide-election-8098/map/
91  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Did you vote today? on: November 07, 2017, 07:15:42 pm
Yes.  They usually have voting on computer screens, but this year it was with scantron sheets.

Gov:Hyra (L)
LtG:Vogel (R)
AG:Adams (R)
HD-89:Hurst (L)
Sheriff: Baron (D-endorsed, non-partisan ballot)
Treasurer: Voogd (R-endorsed, non-partisan ballot)

didn't vote for the non-contested races, which I didn't bother researching.
92  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Have you ever been to a political protest or rally? on: November 07, 2017, 01:51:08 pm
I've been to an anti-Iraq war rally at College, and a George Allen campaign rally where John McCain made an appearance.
93  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of this tweet from the Manchester, NH GOP on: November 07, 2017, 01:13:19 pm
That's really creepy.
94  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Do you support protectionism? on: November 07, 2017, 12:28:19 am
No way!  The economics are simple here.  Unrestricted free trade makes everyone better off by allowing all parties to specialize.

There's something to be said for a society having a diverse range of industries and labor opportunities.
95  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Shooting at Texas church: At least 20 people dead, 30+ injured. on: November 06, 2017, 08:57:26 pm
Trump's made the usual deflection that it's not a gun problem but a mental health problem. If only those who mouthed such platitudes actually did something about mental health, then at least some cold comfort could be gained, but it'll just be used as an excuse to do nothing. After all, government isn't here to help people, just pass-through entities.

Didn't you know we elect our leaders to tell us they have thoughts and prayers

Among other things, that's exactly what people want from a leader.
96  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Virginia gubernatorial election, 2017 on: November 06, 2017, 08:22:00 pm
Hyra.  Either of the others winning is not something I'm looking forward to at all.
97  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Reaganfan Reservation of Absurd & Ignorant Posts VII on: November 06, 2017, 05:02:14 pm
MasterJedi made a good post; it definitely does not belong in this thread.

Yes he made a good post, but I don't remember what it was.
98  About this Site / The Atlas / Re: Color Code for Turnout? on: November 06, 2017, 03:29:31 pm
Yes, very. Where did you find it? I would like to get the colors for >10% and >0%. Also, an interesting note is that the color code is slightly different from the population color code for some reason.

Go on the main site Results page, any presidential result between 1960-2004. On the left of the map go down to the button that says "%VAP" and there is an "M" beside it, and that takes you to the map with percent of voting age population with these shades. Right beneath it there is the "%REG" and "M" by it that shows percent of registered voters who voted in the election.

  Here is the 1960 Registered voter %, that fills in the top end of the spectrum:
.

As for the 0% and 10% shades, I think I might have seen the full spectrum somewhere but I'm not sure.  Are you using this for a project?
99  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What happened? on: November 06, 2017, 01:51:43 pm
Ralph Northam restored the trolls' posting rights. Cry
100  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: How would you vote on Ohio's statewide issues? on: November 06, 2017, 01:39:46 pm
1. No, this reads to me like it would create a problem for ensuring due process.

2. No. A statute isn't going to automatically give OH government the bargaining power of the VA; it more likely will limit their flexibility in making decisions about what medicines they purchase and provide.
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