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November 19, 2017, 02:57:29 pm
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News: Election 2018 predictions for US Senate are now open!.

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101  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Democrats/Indies - Which Elections would you reverse? on: May 26, 2017, 10:37:17 am
Only 1980 of that group.
102  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Draft Zuckerberg PAC now up and running on: May 26, 2017, 10:10:35 am
I can't see a Zuckerberg run being good for Facebook's business prospects.
103  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25 on: May 25, 2017, 10:26:33 pm
More from the west coming in. Quist is doing better there. Projected margin now at ~5 points.
104  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25 on: May 25, 2017, 10:09:20 pm
Gianforte still on pace for a ~7 point win.
105  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25 on: May 25, 2017, 09:26:26 pm
Gianforte's hitting his targets to win by ~7, but it's early.
106  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Centrist "United Utah Party" founded on: May 22, 2017, 09:40:15 pm
I'd vote for them.
107  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Students walk out of Pence speech on: May 22, 2017, 09:39:43 pm
Wish the Vatican would crack down on these fake-Catholic Jesuit schools that tolerate such open disdain for Catholic teachings.
108  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2016 Election Results by Precinct on: May 22, 2017, 07:23:39 pm
sigh
109  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Which of these states will be the first to break their Republican streak? on: May 21, 2017, 11:12:40 pm
The democratic swing in Utah would have been significantly more if Bernie Sanders was the nominee instead of Hillary.

Also McMullin pulled a lot of previous Obama 08 voters and a lot of former Matheson and current McAdams voters.

The Utah swing was Trump related but I could see Utah becoming more purplish as time goes on.  Utah is very Republican due to LDS tribal voting but less conservative than it appears.

Utah gives driver's licenses to illegal immigrants and subsidizes housing for the homeless, very odd for such a deep red state.

It's not weird at all if you understand Mormons.
110  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: NYT: Trump Asked Comey to End Flynn Investigation on: May 16, 2017, 08:27:22 pm
I'm about ready for the 25th to be invoked.
111  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Gary Johnson and the rust belt on: May 16, 2017, 07:59:00 pm
Johnson was also the only third party candidate on the ballot in GA and IN (and OK).
112  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Your Opinion of Moral Issues on: May 16, 2017, 05:32:46 pm
Birth Control: Morally wrong, but preferable to killing your child
Divorce: I've grown to accept divorce as sometimes necessary, but still hold remarriage while your spouse is alive to be morally wrong
Pre-Marital Sex: Always morally wrong
Gambling: Acceptable in moderation
Gay or Lesbian Relations: Always morally wrong (if sexual)
Having a Baby out of Marriage: Morally wrong, but says nothing about the child itself
Human Embryo Stem-Cell Research: Always morally wrong
The Death Penalty: Generally morally wrong, but not always
Doctor-Assisted Suicide: Always morally wrong
Animal Fur Clothing: Tacky, but morally acceptable
Medical Testing on Animals: Acceptable within reasonable limits
Abortion: Virtually always morally wrong
Sex Between Teenagers: No more or less morally acceptable than sex between similar but older individuals
Pornography: Morally wrong
Cloning Animals: Acceptable
Suicide: Always morally wrong
Polygamy: Always morally wrong
Extramartial Affairs: Always morally wrong
Using marijuana: Frequently, but not always morally wrong
Drinking alcohol:  Acceptable in moderation
Tattoos: Tacky and ugly, but morally acceptable
Piercings (apart from female earlobes): Often tacky and ugly, but morally acceptable
Cursing: Acceptable in moderation and depending on intent and other factors
Transgenderism: Always morally wrong
Prostitution: Always morally wrong
Casual/meaningless sex:  Always morally wrong
Kissing outside of a relationship: Depends, but not inherently wrong
Using hard drugs: Almost always morally wrong
113  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Trump revealed classified information to Russian foreign minister and ambassador on: May 15, 2017, 05:14:42 pm
There's nothing inherently wrong with sharing classified info with allied nations (which we are with regard to ISIS). Really depends on what it was... Certainly has the potentially to be a knock out blow, but it could be nothing as well.
114  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Map shows how each precinct voted in '16, '12, '08 by exact percentages on: May 15, 2017, 11:55:39 am
You people really don't read the rest of the forum, do you?
115  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Arts Vibrancy Index on: May 12, 2017, 11:28:16 am
I had no idea Bremerton was such an artsy place.
116  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Idaho and Wyoming on: May 12, 2017, 11:25:08 am
Anyway the only way I could see this happening is if so many Democratic-leaning people move into Idaho and Wyoming that the composition of the state changes. The current population of those two states is never going to vote Democratic.

Dems aren't moving to Wyoming any time soon. Maybe to Boise, but it would require a really large and sustained movement to have much effect.
117  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Your least favorite president post-Nixon on: May 11, 2017, 10:27:04 pm
Reagan
118  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: ID-Gov: Labrador In on: May 10, 2017, 11:05:20 am
CDA has nicely shed its AB/militia rep, though. Really charming town, actually

I greatly prefer Sandpoint to CDA, which is sketch outside of downtown.
119  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What Congressional District do you live in? on: May 10, 2017, 12:04:53 am
Trump/R
120  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Trump vs Zuckerberg vs Kasich on: May 09, 2017, 10:20:51 am
Since this seems in the realm of possibility now.
121  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Mark Zuckerberg is doing farm stuff and photo shoot in Wisconsin on: May 09, 2017, 10:18:34 am
I think it's only a matter of time before he runs. His Facebook data empire alone would be extremely valuable in a national election.
122  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Seth Macfarlane vs Bill Maher on: May 08, 2017, 12:42:08 pm
Maher's pretty awful, but MacFarlane is atrocious.
123  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Are modern "superhero" films too serious? on: May 08, 2017, 12:36:26 pm
No, if anything they tend to make too many jokes right at what should be serious moments. It's really irritating.
124  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Let's build an relevant "urban/suburban/rural county" map on: May 08, 2017, 10:09:35 am
Washington:



Walla Walla, Grays Harbor, Cowlitz, and Chelan were the ones I had the most trouble categorizing.

That map really doesn't feel right to me... Island, Walla Walla, Lewis, Kitsap, maybe Chelan... Whitman's territory is very rural but it's population is very mini-metro (68% in Pullman). I just don't think I really buy this metric we're using, and I don't know if the county level is the proper level of aggregation to be looking at this anyway.
125  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Idaho and Wyoming on: May 07, 2017, 03:25:09 pm
Even if Mormons became hard D, these states wouldn't flip.
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