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February 20, 2018, 04:43:53 pm
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News: Election 2018 predictions for US Senate are now open!.

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51  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Trump has new wall proposal on: June 22, 2017, 09:39:37 am
That's not such a bad idea, really.
52  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Democrats Are ‘Children Of Satan,’ Right-Wing Radio Host Says on: June 21, 2017, 11:35:54 pm
Modern secular social liberalism has at its root the same pitch as Satan gave to Eve: you know better than God, so why follow His rules? In a very literal way, social liberalism, atheism, libertarianism, etc. could all be labeled as Satanic and rightfully so.
53  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Did Ossoff even stand a chance? on: June 21, 2017, 10:10:16 am
Let's not pretend a <4-point margin race couldn't have gone the other way around.
Money can manufacture close races in most districts.

If anything, money was part of why he lost.
54  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: GA-06 and SC-05 election day & results thread on: June 21, 2017, 09:24:35 am
Stop comparing margins for incumbents to open seats.
55  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: GA-06 and SC-05 election day & results thread on: June 20, 2017, 07:11:38 pm
Handel projecting to a 10-point election day lead so far
56  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: GA-06 and SC-05 election day & results thread on: June 20, 2017, 04:49:57 pm
DDHQ will report some of the election day vote long before the state does, which should hopefully be enough for a good sense of how the ED vote is heading.
57  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: GA-06 and SC-05 election day & results thread on: June 20, 2017, 09:26:43 am
I'm going to be intimately involved in DDHQ's projection process tonight.
58  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: What are the roots of the current divisiveness of American politics/discourse? on: June 20, 2017, 12:37:47 am
The rise of wedge social issues is mostly to blame imo, specifically abortion.  There are so many people that think the other party is a bunch of terrible people that are going to hell.  Of course politics will be divisive when that's how people think.

Abortion policy wouldn't be nearly as toxic of an issue if it hadn't been unilaterally mandated by the Supreme Court in 1973 but was allowed to evolve by natural democratic processes.

Honestly? A growing dread and sinking conclusion that the country's best days are behind it and that the country is going to the dogs, which is shared by people on both sides of the aisle and has been for decades (at the very least since 9/11).

Have you talked to many liberal Boomers lately? A lot of them seem to think that "the decline" started on November 22, 1963 and has only gotten worse since.

It's funny you say that, although not for the obvious reasons. In a lot of ways, 1963 was the high water mark for American community based on a whole host of measures; ever since then, participation in all manner of American civic and communal life has eroded precipitously. We volunteer less, we vote less, we join organizations less, we generally do fewer things in person together, we interact face-to-face less frequently than ever. Much of this decline is associated with the rise of television in the home and suburbanization.











It's not hard to see trends like this and think we've lost something fundamental in the way we relate to our fellow man.
59  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: RNC analytics contractor exposes data on 198 million voters on: June 20, 2017, 12:02:23 am
This is entirely either publicly available data or based on highly erroneous modeling techniques. Nothing to see here.
60  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: New Study Shows What Really Happened in the 2016 Election on: June 19, 2017, 11:32:59 pm
What are they defining as "cultural" issues? As in the usual suspects (Roe, affirmative action, guns) or the somewhat newer panic over Islam? Or both?

The study separates out traditional moral issues like abortion/gay marriage from Islam, racial issues, and immigration. Obama-Trump voters were more conservative on the latter than the former, but they weren't exactly liberal on the former either.


61  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Why did WV vote for Bernie in the Democratic primary? on: June 19, 2017, 11:03:45 pm
Because he's a man.

Didn't stop her from winning in 2008.
62  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: GA-6 Special election discussion thread on: June 19, 2017, 06:34:43 pm
With the latest polls, I suspect Handel pulls it off
63  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: What do you think is the ugliest shaped county in the US? on: June 17, 2017, 10:47:01 pm
I've always disliked the shape of Lyon County, Nevada.
64  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Favorite university towns/cities on: June 16, 2017, 12:12:40 pm
I haven't been to any of these, but it warms my heart that the gaping hellmouths known as Eugene OR and Pullman WA were omitted

C'mon, Pullman isn't that bad.
65  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Politico: Will the Georgia Special Election Get Hacked? on: June 15, 2017, 12:22:59 pm
lol. There is zero evidence vote totals have ever been intentionally changed.
66  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: RI's 2016 Precinct Map Thread on: June 12, 2017, 12:07:57 pm
Florida:


Georgia:


Illinois:


Indiana:


New York:


Texas:


Virginia:
67  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: The elephant in the room, that Democrats are trying to ignore on: June 11, 2017, 04:50:51 pm
1.The exit polls on the Latino vote is not backed up by the actual vote.  For instance, Hillary Clinton did slightly better in states with large Latino populations like Texas and Arizona (and Trump did much worse.)

The majority of the areas which swung strongly toward Clinton in TX and AZ were very white.
68  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Have you ever volunteered for a political campaign? on: June 11, 2017, 03:54:57 pm
Yes, and it was a mistake. I'll never again volunteer for a candidate whom I don't truly believe in.
69  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: RI's 2016 Precinct Map Thread on: June 09, 2017, 11:28:03 am
New Jersey:


North Carolina:
70  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Sanders' Drug imports amendment killed in Committee by Dems, Murray & Bennett ! on: June 09, 2017, 10:40:43 am
Shockingly, Murray continues to be a HP.
71  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread on: June 08, 2017, 06:44:32 pm
The swing seems like a micro-version of the US's swing last year.
72  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Why do so many on here think a Business major is useless on: June 08, 2017, 12:22:10 pm
In my experience, business is a "party" degree. As far as I'm concerned, the only thing a business program is good for is networking opportunities.

And we're all perfectly fine with poli-sci nerds continuing to believe this. Smiley

Good thing I didn't major in Poli Sci, then. Tongue
73  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Could Dave Reichert finally be defeated in 2018? on: June 08, 2017, 12:15:34 am
Vote by mail states like WA seem to be more wave-proof than other states due to the really low cost of casting a vote.
74  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Why do so many on here think a Business major is useless on: June 07, 2017, 06:02:11 pm
In my experience, business is a "party" degree. As far as I'm concerned, the only thing a business program is good for is networking opportunities.
75  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Patty Murray on: June 07, 2017, 02:34:49 pm
Not a fan.
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