Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
November 19, 2017, 03:19:03 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Be sure to enable your "Ultimate Profile" for even more goodies on your profile page!

  Show Posts
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 591
1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Sabato Initial Senate Rankings on: Today at 03:00:06 am
I really don't know why so many people think NV is a Tossup in a Democratic wave. It's not as if Heller is a particularly strong candidate either.

Major Prognosticators feel it's best to give the benefit of the doubt to the incumbent when the election is many months away, due to the fact that, historically speaking, the incumbent reelection rate is very high.

This, plus I'm not sure I've seen any polls with Heller firmly down by even a couple points.

I still think it's a bit premature to put Florida is a toss-up though
It's supposed to measure the state of the race atm, not in a year.

I know. And I stand by my statement.
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Alabama Megathread 2: Thou Shall Not Touch Teenage Girls on: Today at 02:59:28 am
Guys, seriously. There are 3 people here who are either Russian trolls or fake Christians who support child molestation and are going to hell. These people aren't rational humans worthy of debate. They're bad people who contribute nothing. Stop engaging them, they aren't trying to engage you in civilized discourse.

Even though I get and idea from the posts that have been copied, who is defending sexual assault the most out of the three Horrible's?

I seriously wonder how many sexual assault charges these posters have racked up between them? Well, none for creepo obviously since he's like 12

LOL

Badger : Old Roy is a witch, we have evidence and eyewitnesses that he conversed with a black cat and took part in a blasphemous black mass with a raven and a dog.

Rational person : That's bullsh**t, he's not a witch, I'll explain why those testimonies and evidence are obviously false

Badger : YOU DEFEND THE WITCH! That means YOU must be a witch also! Burn the witch!

You don't show us why these testimonies and evidence or false. There is nothing about your post that shows you to be anything short of absolutely delusional . I don't mean as in you have a weird sense of opinion, I mean as in you literally are wearing a tinfoil hat to make sure that George Soros and the liberal media don't infect your precious brain waves.

All your posts show us that you are a completely Psychopathic sh**tbag who spins a shockingly inexplicable amount of time in rapist apologia. You literally are the worst person to come across this form in a long long time, and that's saying a lot. begone you miserable excuse of a sub human being
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Senator Gillibrand endroses Marie Newman in IL-03 against Dan Lipinski on: November 18, 2017, 09:17:35 pm
The only reason Democrats tolerated Lipinski was because his district was full of Archie Bunker-like WWC voters who would bolt to the Republicans if a mainstream liberal replaced him on the ballot.
The fact that Trump performed even worse than Mitt effing Romney proves that this is no longer the case.
This is false. The district has a white majority but is incredibly diverse. It has a large, conservative polish population and socially conservative Hispanic population. A democrat would certainly win this district even if they are progressive, but that would not represent the district as well as Congressman Lipinski.

Conservatives are still under the delusion that white Urban ethnics, let alone Hispanics, are socially conservative anymore. There may be a handful of regular Catholic Church attending Polish American voters who are probably the minority of Republicans in the district anyway. But those folks are dying off and being replaced by sons and daughters who oh, even if they still attend regularly, have very different views from the Catholic hierarchy on social issues.

Lipinski's big strength is simple incumbency name recognition and constituent service. People who may not know or care much about his position on abortion or gay rights, and wouldn't like his views at the new about it, still remember him as the guy who helped get that problem with their grandmother's social security check figure it out or a recommendation written for their nephew to West Point.
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Alabama Sen: Who do you think will win and who do you want to win? on: November 18, 2017, 09:13:55 pm
I maintain that Moore will drop out.

It wouldn't make any difference. He'll be on the ballot whether he stays or not.

I think the odds are against young conservatives prediction, but not overwhelmingly so. If and when moore drops out for a big-name republican to run as in right in, and assuming more campaigns among his so-called Christian conservative ilk to back that replacement, Jones has a serious chance to lose.

Beyond that, I'm sorry but I think even the Alabama has abandoned Moore.
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Want some HARDHITTING election predictions? on: November 18, 2017, 09:04:01 pm
The hardest thing to admit is that, by sheer delusion and nowhere near by the margins he claimed, he was right about Trump winning. If he had taken me up on the mini mini Throwdown bets at lopsided odds I challenged him on for the election, both overall in particular States, I would have had one seriously butthurt checkbook after election day.

S***. I mean sure he got New Hampshire, Colorado, and Nevada all wrong as going for Trump, but even he predicted Wisconsin would go for Hillary.

That said, I think it's entirely fair to know he's a completely brain-dead hackish troll. Broken Clock was right once, and I don't anticipate his second time this day coming up anytime soon.

OMG! Not only does he have Donnelly, Brown, and Nelson predicted to lose by five nine points oh, he has stabenow, Casey, and freaking Baldwin all as so-called toss-ups. Un-freakin'-believable.

I am so tempted to throw caution to the wind and ignore last year's lesson and see if I can get some money on that action.
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Will Erik Paulsen lose to Dean Phillips? (MN-03) on: November 18, 2017, 08:47:06 pm
Probably.  A lot can change in a year, but I doubt things will get better for Republicans.  The district barely voted for Trump, and is trending (albeit slowly) Democratic like the rest of the Minneapolis-St. Paul suburbs.  Lean D.

Hillary won MN-3 by 50.8% to 41.4%.    It was a nine point D win.

Who the heck did the other nearly 8% vote for? That's a huge third party vote for this last election.

EDIT: I think I just answered my own question by discovering that nearly that same percentage voted Statewide for Johnson, Stein, plus other third parties end nearly 1% of the vote as write-ins. Surprisingly High.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who will win the Alabama senate race? on: November 18, 2017, 08:45:08 pm
Probably Jones. However, there are two key questions still yet to be answered in the next three and a half weeks. First, does a major Alabama politician like strange, sessions, or one of the Congress members enter as a write-in candidate which is immediately backed by the national establishment and a fair portion of the state party? Secondly, is there still a chance that moore will bow to the inevitable as his poll numbers continue crashing and drop out? Personally, I would put a 51 percent chance of the former, and a 25% chance of the l a t t e r occurring. If only the former occurs, there are simply too many Moore partisans to avoid hopelessly splitting the Democratic vote that Jones relatively High floor won't still win by a plurality. This will not be a situation where the write-in becomes the de-facto Republican candidate like Lieberman did in his 2006 reelection and the Republican some guy nominee took home only about 10% of the vote.

Well I don't think more is likely to drop out, and time is quickly taking away, if he should do so in deference to a big-name Alabama write in candidate, who endorses or at least campaigns have they Hmong Christian conservatives for, Jones still has a chance to lose.

Short of that, even with the star nursing level of hypocrisy so-called Christian conservatives have shown and this being, God help it, Alabama, I just can't seem moore pulling this out on his own.
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: If Doug Jones narrowly wins ... on: November 18, 2017, 08:36:55 pm
Probably not, even against a Luther strange level candidate so long as they don't get exposed as a serial child molester. Hell, even when it came out that more was running his Christian Foundation as a personal and family piggy bank, the polls barely nudged. Sadly, so long as they reiterate the words Christian conservative and Godless liberals often enough, the kind hearted but gullible fuzzy bear type of Voters inevitably come home 90% of the time. And an Alabama that's more than enough.

But will Democrats even care that much? If Jones wins they have at least a 50-50, if not slightly better than that chance of taking control of the Senate by winning Nevada and Arizona and keeping all their seats. If so, I sincerely doubt Jones losing reelection is going to cost Democrats the Senate as they'll likely pick up plenty of other seats to compensate unless either Trump somehow contrary to every indicator Under the Sun massively rebounds and popularity or even basic acceptance to most voters, or he's replaced by a slightly more palatable candidate like pants or be still my Beating Heart, Kasich, while the economy holds strong.
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Sabato Initial Senate Rankings on: November 18, 2017, 08:30:43 pm
I really don't know why so many people think NV is a Tossup in a Democratic wave. It's not as if Heller is a particularly strong candidate either.

Major Prognosticators feel it's best to give the benefit of the doubt to the incumbent when the election is many months away, due to the fact that, historically speaking, the incumbent reelection rate is very high.

This, plus I'm not sure I've seen any polls with Heller firmly down by even a couple points.

I still think it's a bit premature to put Florida is a toss-up though
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: MT-ALL: Gianforte caught misleading police on: November 18, 2017, 08:25:44 pm
God I wish Quist didnít hang out at nudist resorts...

I don't think this is why he lost.

Didn't help Tongue
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Senator Gillibrand endroses Marie Newman in IL-03 against Dan Lipinski on: November 18, 2017, 08:24:11 pm
I for one am very proud of Congressman Lipinski for his support of the unborn. He is also a dogged advocate for his constituents, an important voice regarding transportation issues, and a true freedom fighter. He deserves to have the seat for as long as he wants it.

He literally only has the seat because his dad pulled a trick to give it to him. He's a dynastic fool.

Yes. Ideology aside I have always held Lipinski in extremely low regard because of this. He is a machine Pol through-and-through
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Alabama Megathread 2: Thou Shall Not Touch Teenage Girls on: November 18, 2017, 08:22:54 pm
Guys, seriously. There are 3 people here who are either Russian trolls or fake Christians who support child molestation and are going to hell. These people aren't rational humans worthy of debate. They're bad people who contribute nothing. Stop engaging them, they aren't trying to engage you in civilized discourse.

Even though I get and idea from the posts that have been copied, who is defending sexual assault the most out of the three Horrible's?

I seriously wonder how many sexual assault charges these posters have racked up between them? Well, none for creepo obviously since he's like 12
13  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Texas sheriff is on the hunt for driver with profane anti-Trump window sticker on: November 18, 2017, 05:38:12 pm
Would a bumper sticker saying something like "HILLARY IS A NASTY C--- AND SO ARE HER VOTERS!" be protected free speech?

If, at work, I let a female co-worker know she's hotter than a volcano, and suggesting a "nooner" at a local motel, is that protected free speech?

Is giving Glory to God while trying to motivate your public high school football team (a voluntary activity) in a pre-game pep talk protected free speech?

Is the content of a public talk by Richard Spencer protected free speech?

Is the content of rants at a Nazi rally protected free speech?  Are the content of the replies to these rants by groups such as Antifa protected free speech?

Are the chants of "Abortion is Murder!" in eyesight and earshot of folks entering an abortion clinic protected free speech?

Are speeches advocating the complicity of ordinary American Muslims in the events of 9/11 protected free speech?

I would suggest that all of these examples, and other equally outrageous examples, are instances of protected free speech.  This begs the question of whether or not all exercise of the First Amendment make America a better place.

I certainly don't think that this bumper sticker about "F--- TRUMP . . .", etc., should occupy 2 seconds of attention from a sheriff or a prosecutor.  But I do think that people engaging in such discourse via a sticker on their vehicle is a sign of a sick and unrestrained society.  I'm seeing all this outrage about "sexual harrassment", "sexual assault", and all of this stuff, but I see the "F" word used, publicly, on bumper stickers, more than ever, both in anger and suggestively.  Is it unreasonable to suggest a correlation between this sort of expression and the increasing level of anger in everyday life?

I think a lot of folks in America (and a lot of folks here on both sides) actively work at being angry, under the guise of the 1st Amendment, and that's not a healthy thing.


Number 2 and number three most likely as not
14  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Are Alabama voters sick? on: November 18, 2017, 05:34:44 pm
English Pal--of rapists.

He clearly has issues. Do not let your children around him. If you are female, stay around him only in groups.
15  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Report: Trump made millions of dollars from drug money laundering in Panama on: November 18, 2017, 05:25:03 pm
Huh. Not really surprised, but I expected the Russian money laundering to catch up to him first.

This probably deserves a nuclear elmo, but the actual impact of the President of the United States laundering drug money will probably be more like:


(And boy do I hope I'm wrong, and this is the straw. But I doubt it.)

I admit I have yet to read the article, but a clear line will have to be proven between Trump family members managing the hotel and actually knowing about the drug money laundering. The stronger the link, the stronger the impact. Until then it will be written off even by non cultists as corrupt underlings in a corrupt third world nation
16  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Report: Trump made millions of dollars from drug money laundering in Panama on: November 18, 2017, 05:22:35 pm
This is why I have a hard time believing people who argue Trump is "tough on crime" or will be the "law and order" president.

C********** like him are inevitably the most corrupt bastards in office. Nixon's example number one, but others abound
17  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Flake on hot mic: GOP is toast if we become party of Trump & Moore on: November 18, 2017, 05:20:15 pm
I hate to agree with this useless goofball, but on this he's completely right.
18  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Mass. Senate unanimously passes free birth control bill on: November 18, 2017, 05:18:44 pm
What's the point of this post? There was no mention of a tax increase in the article.
well free birth control isn't free (nothing the govt gives out for "free" is), there will be an increase in taxes or decrease in funds from something else....unless Mass. has a huge surplus, but we all know that can't be true.

That said, even with the hard inefficiencies built into any govt program, this has a good chance of actually paying for itself in the long run.  I still wouldn't support it though.  Not the govt's job IMHO.

Ignoring the strong need for government to provide medical care, and yes that includes birth control, surely you'd agree government has a fundamental duty to be good stewards of tax monies. This policy clearly serves that fundamental purpose.
Well that would really depend on how they implemented it right?  If it costs the naive suckers of Mass. $2B/year and only hands out 241 condoms and all of those are at Harvard, then no.  If it takes monies away from 53 years old retired public employees making 6 digits a year from the state and gives out millions of various forms of birth control to poor people that need it and actually use it, then sure.  The devil is in the details.

Wow. That post has more straw man p e r sentence then any Forum Post in the last month. Congratulations indeed
19  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Video shows nurses laughing as dying 89-year-old WWII veteran calls for help on: November 18, 2017, 05:16:51 pm
Oh hell no. Firings to good. If George has anything equivalent to Ohio's patient abuse statute they should be prosecuted under
20  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Mass. Senate unanimously passes free birth control bill on: November 18, 2017, 05:15:21 pm
Can't these dopey broads just hold an aspirin between their knees? Sheesh!

It seems like the men complaining about this are the ones least likely even be with a woman. Damn incels...

I'm pretty sure Sanchez was just joking.Wink

At least I hope so.
21  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Question: Should the US Congress ... on: November 18, 2017, 05:04:40 pm
No, I really like the historic look of the room.
22  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Will Donald Trump become one of the worst Presidents in U.S. history? on: November 18, 2017, 05:04:06 pm
23  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Janet Napolitano still a corrupt liar on: November 18, 2017, 05:02:57 pm
It's a shame Napolitano has been so an unrelentingly terrible federal politician, because she was great for Arizona (especially when compared with her successor, ye gods and little fishies).

Yep, on both counts
24  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: US to allow imports of elephant trophies from Zimbabwe, Zambia on: November 18, 2017, 05:00:27 pm
Does anybody know anything about this topic?

The hunting is controlled, so they wonít be hunted to extinction. It also costs a lot to hunt these animals, and that money goes towards protection efforts.

When the ones in the wild are still being hunted, even in preserves, and habitat is still being lost, it doesn't make sense to legally allow the breeding stock to be decreased further... 

The question then is how to make these preserves economically sustainable, and create the incentives for more habitat to be created rather than destroyed.  Trophy hunting is an answer to that. Not a great answer, not one I really feel okay about ... but an answer.

That does nothing to stop poaching, so both happening at once decreases the overall population. It ignores the fact that preserves should be "economically viable" or "create a profit", which is a very sad view of extinction.

Not protecting habitat decreases the overall population.

In a poor country, for conservation to work, and for habitat to be protected, people need to be invested in it, which means there needs to be a sense that it is a help rather than a hindrance to their subsistence and economic well being.

Look at the people backing this. Is has exactly f*** all to do with protecting the habitat, and 110% to do with letting some Rich Hunter f**** get some more trophies and convince themselves that they're not Satan incarnate cuz somehow some of their large s going to protect the environment that they're killing. Don't f****** fool yourself

Being angry doesn't solve the problem of habitat destruction I'm afraid.

Wrong. Being angry is the,first step to caring, and caring is the first step towards taking action. What doesn't solve the problem is being obtuse enough to believe that this actually has to do with something clever market-based solution to preserving the habitat of these animals versus indulging the whims of Rich buddies who like trophy hunting.

Your angry comments are addressed toward the motives of trophy hunters.  That has nil to do with saving elephants.  If you have an effective way to address habitat destruction and poaching that does not require concerning oneself with economic realities, please let us know.

How's this? Simply transfer the nominal pittance Trophy Hunters would give as a-near symbolic donation for engaging in there counterproductive little Hobby, or better still several times that amount, and don't let Hunters aggravate the problem that poachers already compound. The unquestionable venal and corrupt nature of the Zimbabwean government is irrelevant. If they are going to steal from foreign aid then they will steal from Hunters Trophy Hunters license fees and the like.

 again, I will gladly take anger towards the Trump administration's efforts to cater to the Hobby of some great white Trophy Hunters who clearly offer some pittance of their fees as a PR effort more than actually sustaining habitats, then your Sublime zen-like ignorance over what is actually going on here. Yes, I'm angry that someone who is normally quite intelligent could be such an utter dodo

Seriously suggest changing your username to deliberately obtuse.
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Alabama Megathread 2: Thou Shall Not Touch Teenage Girls on: November 17, 2017, 12:20:39 pm
Breitbart has a story that Nance's stepson says she is a liar.

http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2017/11/16/exclusive-stepson-of-roy-moore-accuser-accusations-one-hundred-percent-a-lie/

I know it is Breitbart.  But it is one more reason that the yearbook needs to be analyzed.



You officially suck highly.

I'm going to treat you according to my new rule of all rape apologists and put you on ignore. May your time here being short and ridicule ridden
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 591


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines