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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Danish Local and Regional Elections, 21 Nov 2017 on: November 05, 2017, 08:29:48 am
How come the left seems to have such a large advantage in the regional elections? Even in a good year for the right like 2013 they only took two of the five regions. Is it because the regions' boundaries favour the left or is people more likely to vote for the left in the regional elections?

 
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 4.0 - On to 2018 ... with VP/FP ! on: October 28, 2017, 10:24:02 am
... and a lot of young male MPs.

But no post with pictures of them?! Now Tender I have all respect for the fact that you prefer looking at young female politicians but do you not consider your fans who prefer to look at young male politicians? 
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Federal Election - Sept. 24 - Results Thread on: September 24, 2017, 02:02:18 pm
Elephant round table happening now.

That is the first time I have ever heard that term and I cannot imagine anything like that happening in the UK on an election night...

They do the same thing in Denmark and Norway too. I've never understtood the point of having a debate between the party leaders after the polls have closed but in some countries it's an important part of election night tradition.

In Sweden party leaders always go the studio of SVT election coverage to get interviewed. They're never all there at the same time though, and it's more of a casual interview than any sort of debate. Still, I suspect that is a bit weird seen from a British perspective since you'd never see the Prime Minister appear in the BBC studio at election night to be personally interview by David Dimbelby.  
4  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: The Big Bad Swedish Politics & News Thread on: August 28, 2017, 10:57:16 am
Mikael Odenberg, 63 (fmr. Minister for Defence)
The former Defence Minister has made himself known as a critic of Kinberg Batra, both when it comes to the now-dead December Agreement and her opening towards SD. Is liked by a lot of people for his principled resignation from the Reinfeldt Cabinet over defence cuts, but probably isn't enough to get the leadership. Doesn't do himself any favours with his support for Peter Hultqvist and opening for coalition between the Moderates and Social Democrats, and he has also said he doesn't think the party wants someone his age.

Odenberg has somewhat surprisingly announced that he is open to becoming the new Moderate leader. Not sure if he actually stands a chance though, but it is interesting to know there is an actual contender outside of Elisabeth Svantesson and Ulf Kristersson which both have the inspiring personality of a blank sheet of paper. 
5  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: The Big Bad Swedish Politics & News Thread on: July 29, 2017, 03:33:47 am
To nuance the picture somewhat, while a majority of the public doesn't want a Vote of No Confidence against Hultqvist, most people are still very disappointed by the government's handling of the situation:

According to a poll from NOVUS conducted on July 27 found that 60% of voters thought the government had handled the situation badly, while only 30% thought they had handled it in a good way, with 10% unsure.

So this has on the whole probably hurt the government, even if Lfven managed to save some of the fall with his reshuffle. 
6  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: The Big Bad Swedish Politics & News Thread on: July 27, 2017, 03:48:45 am
Lvfen will hold a press conference tomorrow at 10.00

And ... what did he say ?

It has been delayed. The press conference is suppose to start in a moment
7  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: The Big Bad Swedish Politics & News Thread on: July 26, 2017, 11:09:19 am
A question re: confidence motions: if the Riksdag expresses a lack of confidence in a specific minister would that in turn compel the entire Government to resign/call a snap election? Those are rather murky waters with the Westminster system, so I am wondering if it is more clear cut in Sweden.

In theory, if an individual minister loses a vote of no confidence, only they have to resign. If the Prime Minister loses a Vote of No Confidence, the entire government needs to resign.

In practice though the entire government would resign if an individual minister lost, which is why it has never been tried out in practice, because most minister's up and quit as soon as there is a realistic threat of a Vote of No Confidence to save the rest of the government.
8  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: The Big Bad Swedish Politics & News Thread on: July 26, 2017, 10:42:35 am
So this scandal is about a private company that was managing Sweden's security data but it was revealed that the deal was terribly bad made, thus threatening the data of the swedish government and swedish citizens, right?

Pretty much, yes. Combined with the fact that the people handling the security data didn't even have the proper security clearance, which means the arrangement was highly illegal, and that it appears that the government might have known about the information but concealed it from the media and the opposition and not taken the correct steps to remedy the problem before it was discovered by the media.     
9  General Politics / International General Discussion / SWEDISH government might RESIGN later today on: July 26, 2017, 08:31:56 am
Rumours that the government will resign later today in response to the announcement that the right will vote no confidence for three of Löfven's cabinet ministers.

Prime minister Löfven calling an early election is also another thing that is being rumoured.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK Liberal Democrats leadership election, 2017 on: June 21, 2017, 10:55:23 am
Vince Cable...why not just bring back Paddy Ashdown

He's not an MP

Also he probably shoked on his hat in 2015... RIP.
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread on: June 08, 2017, 08:24:08 pm
Angus Robertson losing might be the best result of this evening. He was a bloody annoying MP.
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread on: June 08, 2017, 06:58:38 pm
Any chance of a Grand Coalition like in Germany?

I think I asked this same question in 2015 when the exit polls showed a minority government with the large loss of seats for the Liberal Democrats.

I have trouble imagining Corbyn and May in the same governement. Grand Coalitions are a uniquely german/nordic things, I think.

What? Except for Finland, Grand coalitions are extremely rare in the Nordic countries.  
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread on: June 08, 2017, 05:20:37 pm
Particularly as it would indicate that the polls were broadly accurate. Extrapolating from both those seats (error probably) would be a tiny swing from 2015.

Good to see that you couldn't quite stay away. Smiley
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread on: June 08, 2017, 05:16:02 pm
The people in the BBC are trying to say that is isn't good for labour when they (I am repeating myself) were already told that labour would do better in REMAIN seats

Listen to what they say. They've said that Tories are doing better than the exit polls expected them to do in Newcastle and Sunderland, even taking LEAVE/REMAIN into account.
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread on: June 08, 2017, 04:50:16 pm
Sinn Fein source: no change to abstention policy. https://twitter.com/patrickkmaguire/status/872931498906832898

Who thought that was even a possibility to begin with?

The same sort of people who wondered whether coal miners in Britain voted mostly Conservative or Labour.
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread on: June 08, 2017, 04:38:29 pm
RUTH DAVIDSON FOR PRIME MINISTER!!!
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread on: June 08, 2017, 04:16:57 pm
Senior Conservatives apparently not believing the exit poll at all...

Politicians never believe exit polls when they show results they don't like. Let's just hope for their sake that none of them promise to eat their hats on live television this time around.
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread on: June 08, 2017, 04:12:41 pm
Well, I'm going to be very tiered at work tomorrow, because this night will not end early.
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election 2017 - Predictions Thread on: June 08, 2017, 01:50:15 pm
Beautiful map.

But what is that white area northwest of London ?

That's the Speaker's seat.
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread on: June 08, 2017, 12:40:21 am
Anyone think Houghton and Sunderland South will be the first constituency to be declared again this year?

Well the Sunderland South constituency has been the first to declare for every single GE in my lifetime, so it'd be quite a shocker if they didn't.

Of course, Sunderland as a whole was only second to declare in Great Britain during the EU referendum, so some other constituencies might try to beat them this year, but I doubt it. 
Is there any reason why the UK counts all the ballots for each riding at once at a 'Central Office' instead at the polling station. It could take hours for all the ballots to arrive before the counting even begins.
It normally takes around 1 hour, to count the ballots at the polling station, you can phone the results to Returning Officer,  which are fed the media, and have the media make projections on who won.
However, you will be missing have the Returning Officer announcing the results with the candidates.

In difference to most countries, it is not allowed to publish results by polling station in Britain. If  I remember correctly, it's a long-standing tradition dating back to when powerful land-owners and factory owners punished their workers if they discovered that their local area had not voted for their favoured candidate.   
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election 2017 - Predictions Thread on: June 06, 2017, 05:43:26 pm
New prediction since a lot have changed since my last one...


Conservatives - 44% - 349 seats (+19)
Labour - 35% - 223 seats (-9)
LibDem - 7% - 8 seats (+/-)
UKIP - 5% - 0 seats (-1)
SNP - 4% - 47 seats (-9)
Greens - 2% - 1 seat (+/-)
Plaid Cymru - <1% - 3 seats (+/-)
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election, June 8th 2017 on: June 06, 2017, 04:49:57 pm
It's quite funny that Corbyn might actually beat Blair in 2005 in the popular vote and still lose to the Tories substantially. Even though I can't stand Corbyn and his ilk it really goes to show how dysfunctional FPTP is.   
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election, June 8th 2017 on: May 30, 2017, 02:09:31 am
Does anyone else miss the days when discussion of say UK Elections on Atlas was erudite, informed and for the most part good natured? As it stands this thread is a disgrace; I keep meaning check back a few pages to see if I have replies to make but I'm not sure if I can be bothered.

I most certainly do.  International elections used to be the best of Atlas and you used to be able to learn a great deal about other countries' political culture, geography and core issues. Nowadays the general hackery from the US Presidential Elections forum has really started to spill over here as well.

Maybe we should create an invite only discussion group where you're only invited if you know where British coal miners stand politically and you don't just fling political dung in every direction you go.
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election, June 8th 2017 on: May 17, 2017, 04:35:10 pm
https://www.politicshome.com/news/uk/political-parties/labour-party/john-mcdonnell/news/85905/john-mcdonnell-polls-are-showing

John McDonnell (Shadow Chancellor): Polls are showing Labour is going to win the election

This is very problematic in terms of logic and math.  It is one thing to say the polls are wrong it is another to say polls which show at best LAB behind CON by 14% shows that LAB is going to win.

It's quite hard to know who's most separated from reality between him and Diane Abbott...
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK Local Elections, 4th May 2017 on: May 04, 2017, 08:04:13 pm
Labour doing as badly as expected while UKIP is being completely wiped out is so very pleasing. I really should go to sleep but these results are just too pleasing to stop watching.  
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