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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: 2017: NJ Gubernatorial/legislative elections on: November 13, 2017, 02:48:46 am
Tweeting out more detailed stuff later, but I'm actually getting Murphy carring NJ-05 by a few hundred votes.

NJ-03 was 51/47 Guadagno.
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: 2017: NJ Gubernatorial/legislative elections on: November 12, 2017, 03:23:06 pm
^ I have Murphy holding NJ-05 by about 1-1.5% but losing NJ-07 by 5-6%.
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: 2017: NJ Gubernatorial/legislative elections on: November 12, 2017, 01:46:08 pm
FWIW, I have Murphy flipping NJ-11.
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: VA-GOV 2017: Utter Panic and Doom (General election: Nov 7th) on: November 05, 2017, 04:28:05 am
^ Henry Howell in 1977.
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: 2014 KS-Gov by CD on: October 09, 2017, 03:41:25 pm
^ I did it over here.
6  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Huey Long on: September 28, 2017, 02:39:59 am
One of the greatest figures in Louisiana politics, if not the greatest. His impact on the lives of the poor and downtrodden in the great state of Louisiana are still felt today.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: NC-GOV 2020: McCrory considering second run on: September 25, 2017, 01:40:36 am
*Fourth run
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: AL-SEN RUNOFF: Who Do You Want to Win? on: September 25, 2017, 01:04:30 am
Being Catholic, I can't pull for someone with a name like 'Big Luther.'
9  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Who has held political office? (Or has a family member who does?) on: August 26, 2017, 03:23:09 am
My uncle is a Louisiana State Representative, and one of my cousins is a judge in Jefferson Parish.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2018 Senatorial Election Polls / NV-PrimR: JMC Analytics: Tark +8 on: August 26, 2017, 01:38:32 am
Report.
(Done for Breitbart, FWIW)

Tark - 39%
Heller - 31%


Heller's favorables are 34/48, Tark's are 42/23. Heller leads by 2% in NV-02, down double-digits in the other three.
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: DDHQ early forecast for 2018 House: D's gain 12 seats on: August 25, 2017, 02:46:45 am
Great analysis from DDHQ, as usual!
12  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Robert Casey Sr. vs Robert Casey Jr. on: August 07, 2017, 01:41:16 am
13  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Who is your favorite United States Senator from history? on: August 06, 2017, 02:46:52 am
Allen Ellender.
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / LA: 1948 Senatorial Democratic Primary Election Result on: August 05, 2017, 12:26:32 am
New Election: 1948 Louisiana Senatorial Democratic Primary Election Results
   
   

15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Rep. John Delaney (MD-06) will not run for reelection, looking at 2020 Pres bid on: July 29, 2017, 01:03:53 am
Thought this was pretty funny:

16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: WV Sen 2020- Could Nick Rahall win? on: July 28, 2017, 10:53:43 pm
He's the same age as Manchin, FWIW.

I think Richard Ojeda, even if he loses next year, would be good.
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: VA-GOV 2017: Primary result: Northam vs Gillespie (General election: Nov 7th) on: July 17, 2017, 11:31:54 am
Northam raises $2M, has almost as much on hand.
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: WV SEN 2018: Morrisey in on: July 17, 2017, 12:30:10 am
^ No; for example, Mooney won his first primary with 36%.
19  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: July 2017 - Southern Elections and Amendments on: July 16, 2017, 10:33:47 pm
Governor:
[X] Leinad

Southern Chamber of Delegates:
[1] Classic Conservative
[2] TimTurner
[3] vern1988
[4] Bagel24
[5] Santander

Amendments:

Freedom of speech:
[X] Aye
Freedom of religion:
[X] Nay
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: NC 2016 Gubernatorial Discussion Thread on: July 15, 2017, 08:25:58 pm
Some guy at DDHQ has a piece on NC Governors races over the last 8 years, with lots of maps.
21  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Lieutenant Governor: Ticket or separate election? on: July 15, 2017, 04:00:30 pm
RRH selection map, FWIW:



Quote
Red = LG is elected separately from the Governor
Dark Blue = Gov nominees choose their LGs after the primary (Presidential system)
Light Blue = Gov candidates choose their LGs before the primary (Team Primary)
Green = Gov and LG candidates run separately in the primary but on a single ticket in the general (Shotgun Wedding)
Yellow = No LG, SoS is first in line of succession
Gray = No LG, State Senate President is first in line of succession.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: VA-GOV 2017: Primary result: Northam vs Gillespie (General election: Nov 7th) on: July 15, 2017, 03:47:57 pm
Thing is, I doubt Gillespie will match Trump' showing in SW VA. Gillespie seems like a poor cultural fit for the area. I'm actually expecting Northam to overperform a bit in SW VA because of his rural background.

Northam is much more likely to overperform relative to the average Democrat in the rural Chesapeake Bay area rather than SW VA. There were some parts in the Southwest where E.W. Jackson actually did better than Eric Bolling, so it's safe to say that region is completely gone.

*Bill Bolling Wink
23  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Which House caucus would you join? on: July 15, 2017, 12:08:33 am
Blue Dogs.
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: ME-02: Tim Rich (D) in on: July 15, 2017, 12:04:55 am
My hypothetical endorsement is still with Troy Jackson for either ME-2 or ME Gov.

Like, even if you don't like him, he's the best fit for this district bar none.
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: MS SEN 2018: McDaniel considering challenging Wicker on: July 14, 2017, 06:50:05 pm
Last I checked, he was looking at LG in 2019, though IDK how serious it was.
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