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1  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Kirsten Gillibrand on: December 16, 2018, 10:58:15 pm
2  General Discussion / Alternative History / Re: George H.W. Bush wins in 1992? on: December 16, 2018, 10:56:33 pm
George Bush:  1989-97
John Kerry:  1997-05
John McCain:  2005-09
Barack Obama:  2009-17
Donald Trump:  2017-present
3  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: will Net Neutrality be an issue in the 2020 elections on: December 16, 2018, 01:58:20 am
Democrats just wish that ISPs and the government would team up against them, it plays into their martyr complex
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Gavin Newsom for Vice President? on: December 14, 2018, 03:38:48 pm
I don't understand what he would add to any potential ticket. 
5  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: Will Gen X make us miss the Baby Boomers? on: December 14, 2018, 02:13:38 pm
No, only because Gen X politicians appear to be a lot more transactional in how they do business.
6  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: What bill should House Democrats pass first in 2019? on: December 14, 2018, 02:12:19 pm
Reinstate DACA
7  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Education Department to cancel $150 million in student loan debt on: December 14, 2018, 02:09:16 pm
Good call.  DeptEd is certainly justified in protecting students from predatory, for-profit colleges.

However, I am against large scale "debt cancellation" programs for traditional students attending traditional schools.  The federal student loan guarantee has already massively distorted price signals in the higher education market, and forgiving existing debts would accelerate the tuition hikes that universities are able to get away with.
8  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Which states (Top 10) would you most want to live in? on: December 14, 2018, 01:56:11 pm
Following RINO Tom's format:

Top Ten:
1.  North Carolina - all things considered, RTP is probably the nicest, most liveable metro area I've been to in the entire country.  Charlotte is meh, but I do think NC has usurped Georgia to be the new beacon of the New South.
2.  Virginia - Lots of good places to choose from in Virginia.  I'm a big fan of DC, so I could definitely see myself living in NoVa.  I'm currently considering going for a PhD at UVA and find Charlottesville to be very nice.  The Shenandoah region is also beautiful.   
3.  Georgia - Where I currently live.  Atlanta has long been one of my favorite cities (the job market there is also very good), and Athens and Savannah are Southern Gems.
4.  Alabama - Alabama has long been under the radar.  Birmingham and Huntsville are two of the South's most emergent metros and offer great amenities with a low cost of living.
5.  Tennessee - Knoxville/Chattanooga and the Smokies are beautiful, but Memphis has long been my favorite "Deep South" city.  The state is quite varied in people and landscapes. 
6.  Mississippi - Mississippi is home, so the land holds a lot of romance over me.  The simple landscapes and people hide a rich past.
7.  Louisiana - I love New Orleans, and could easily see myself living in the city.  The only problem is the perpetually poor job market there.  I'm applying for a postgrad fellowship there though.
8.  New Mexico - Used to go to Taos a lot with my parents when I was younger.  New Mexico is easily the most enchanting of the southwestern states.  Santa Fe is very nice, but I'm unsure of the job market.
9.  Texas - Cool cities, and great job market.  Austin stands out as very livable and progressive, but the COLA is skyrocketing.  I would probably most prefer Houston though.  San Antonio is a great place to visit.
10.  South Carolina - My travels to SC have been pretty limited (otherwise it may be higher on my list), but I've enjoyed Charleston and the Low Country.  Columbia seems alright, and the Upstate has a lot going for it (even if I don't particularly enjoy the aesthetic).

Bottom Ten:
1.  North Dakota - Detestable.
2.  South Dakota - Only slightly less detestable than ND.
3.  Wyoming - Wyoming has Jackson Hole and Laramie, which bumps it up a few spots; however, the state doesn't seem to have a lot going on.
4.  Alaska - too far from home, and the cost-of-living is exorbitant given the low level of amenities.
5.  Minnesota - while the Twin Cities certainly have ample amenties, its very cold and too liberal.  Rural/exurban areas outside of MSP are hellish.  The food and accents are bad.
6.  Hawaii - see #4
7.  Wisconsin - Too cold, bad rural areas, not much better urban/suburban areas, bad food, weird accents. 
8.  Iowa - I have been to Des Moines and was pleasently surprised, but I can't imagine ever wanting to live there.  Bad food.  Rural Iowa seems very unappealing.
9.  Montana  - Cost of living in some of the nicer, western cities and resort towns is really high for what you're actually getting.  Eastern Montana might as well be an extension of ND/SD.
10.  Nevada - I couldn't imagine living in the Las Vegas metro, and there's nothing really else in the state

9  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: would you go to space? on: December 14, 2018, 01:06:14 pm
No, there's nothing to do up there.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: How would Casey Cagle have done if he was the Republican nominee for GA-GOV? on: December 13, 2018, 10:20:38 pm
Worse than Kemp.  Cagle is one of the biggest political jokes in GA history and was always nothing more than a paper tiger in this race. 
11  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Bernie's bill to end Saudi support for war in Yemen passes Senate 56-41 on: December 13, 2018, 10:02:26 pm
Hopefully this will begin a trend of the Congress being more involved in foreign affairs
12  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Which U.S. coastline has the best beaches? on: December 13, 2018, 08:51:37 pm

In my experience the beaches of Oahu are much too crowded and it still doesn't have the soft, white Caribbean-like sand you can only get on the Gulf Coast.
13  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Students of color continue to lead calls for more identity-based spaces on campu on: December 13, 2018, 08:48:50 pm
AU is for rich kids who can't get into GW.

And GW is for rich kids who want to grow up to be Josh Lyman. 

...and can't get into Georgetown.

Very different institution.  Georgetown actually has reputable programs in subjects other than being a self-serving WannabeWonk™
14  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Students of color continue to lead calls for more identity-based spaces on campu on: December 13, 2018, 03:00:45 pm
AU is for rich kids who can't get into GW.

And GW is for rich kids who want to grow up to be Josh Lyman. 
15  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Your three favorite Canadian provinces/territories on: December 13, 2018, 02:55:32 pm
Quebec, BC and NS
16  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Which U.S. coastline has the best beaches? on: December 13, 2018, 02:51:54 pm
Which U.S. coastline has the best beaches?

I have to vote pretty resoundingly for the Gulf Coast, specifically the "Forgotten Coast" of Florida around Cape San Blas and St. George Island.  Unfortunately, this area has pretty devastated by Hurricane Michael earlier this year.

All the beaches I've been to on the Atlantic and Pacific Coasts had rock-hard, grey sand and were too cold.

17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: I want to test my spreadsheet on: December 13, 2018, 01:56:50 am
South R+2.2
West D+3.4
Pacific D+5.0
Northeast D+2.3
Midwest D+4.6
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rate Montana 2020 on: December 13, 2018, 01:54:10 am
Likely R
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Why Did Gary Johnson Performed So Well In The Dakotas? on: December 11, 2018, 02:20:46 pm
Lots of young, single White men in North Dakota still from the oil boom.  Natural constituency for Johnson.

North Dakota has the most lopsided gender ratio in the country, particular for  men aged 25 to 39.
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: 2019 Mississippi Gubernatorial Thread- Jim Hood is in the hood! on: December 10, 2018, 10:28:16 pm
So if there's a split favoring Reeves in the "electoral college", it's not an automatic Reeves win but voted on by the members of the House per section 141.

I wonder if Mississippi's rules are even legal/constitutional. I've seen it mentioned that they are ripe for a challenge. Given that this convoluted system probably only came into existence to keep African Americans from meaningfully influencing elections, I'd say it would go to the courts if Hood won more votes but it got thrown to the Republican anyway.

That's what I would expect.  But I expect that there are still many Republicans in the state legislature who couldn't stomach voting against Hood if he was an apparent winner in an election.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which GOP Candidate, In A Vacuum, Was The Most Qualified To Be President? on: December 10, 2018, 10:26:25 pm
Bush had the most exposure to the presidency of any Republican running that year.  He would have been the most comfortable in the Oval.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: 2019 Mississippi Gubernatorial Thread- Jim Hood is in the hood! on: December 10, 2018, 05:43:52 pm
It's nice that we're all optimistic, but someone on AAD brought up the electoral college.

Seriously, in order to win MS-GOV, you need to win the PV AND a majority of state house seats.

I think it's quite possible that Hood wins the PV and loses the election.

No.  You only have to win a majority of state house seats if not candidate wins a majority of the statewide vote.

Section 140 of the state constitution seems to make it pretty clear that you must win a majority of districts AND the majority of the vote.

http://www.sos.state.ms.us/ed_pubs/constitution/constitution.asp

The Governor of the state shall be chosen in in the following manner: On the first Tuesday after the first Monday of November of A.D. 1895, and on the first Tuesday after the first Monday of November in every fourth year thereafter, until the day shall be changed by law, an election shall be held in the several counties and districts created for the election of members of the House of Representatives in this state, for Governor, and the person receiving in any county or such legislative district the highest number of votes cast therein, for said office, shall be holden to have received as many votes as such county or district is entitled to members in the House of Representatives, which last named votes are hereby designated "electoral votes". In all cases where a representative is apportioned to two (2) or more counties or districts, the electoral vote based on such representative, shall be equally divided among such counties or districts. The returns of said election shall be certified by the election commissioners, or the majority of them, of the several counties and transmitted, sealed, to the seat of government, directed to the Secretary of State, and shall be by him safely kept and delivered to the Speaker of the House of Representatives on the first day of the next ensuing session of the Legislature.

The Speaker shall, on the same day he shall have received said returns, open and publish them in the presence of the House of Representatives, and said House shall ascertain and count the vote of each county and legislative district and decide any contest that may be made concerning the same, and said decision shall be made by a majority of the whole number of members of the House of Representatives concurring therein by a viva voce vote, which shall be recorded in its journal; provided, in case the two (2) highest candidates have an equal number of votes in any county or legislative district, the electoral vote of such county or legislative district shall be considered as equally divided between them. The person found to have received a majority of all the electoral votes, and also a majority of the popular vote, shall be declared elected.



So if there's a split favoring Reeves in the "electoral college", it's not an automatic Reeves win but voted on by the members of the House per section 141.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What state will Trump win by the most number of votes? on: December 10, 2018, 05:29:29 pm
Still Texas, even if his percentage shrinks.
24  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Which of these classes do you fit in right now? on: December 10, 2018, 10:24:31 am
Definitely upper-middle class.  Both of my parents are university professors and I've been educated at large "name brand" state schools for both my undergraduate and graduate degrees.  I grew up in a family very involved with the social/political goings-on in my community, but we've never been "old money".

I think social class has a lot more to do with the type of environment you grow up and are socialized in than how much money you make. 
25  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Will the rural areas of Dane County eventually trend Republican? on: December 10, 2018, 10:14:42 am
I mean, I guess it kinda depends. Some of the Dane rural areas act more like closely integrated suburbs than rurals, basically being an extension of the city. These areas are unlikely to trend R, and may trend more D, in fact. But if rurals continue to trend R, we would see the the driftless, any part not near Dane, go R.

This.  The rural areas of Orange County, NC (Chapel Hill) act the same way.
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