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October 20, 2018, 08:05:04 am
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News: Election 2018 predictions for US Senate are now open!.

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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: What is more likely on: October 18, 2018, 11:34:15 pm
Definitely KS and OK because there will be a blue wave on election day (the jury is still out on how big it will be), so its likelier that those states come along for the ride rather than CT and RI bucking the national mood.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Bob Casey for vice president 2020? on: October 18, 2018, 09:34:09 pm
Casey is too pro-life for Dems and too pro-choice for Pubs.
3  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Trump Impeachment Watch - Biden is against impeachment on: October 18, 2018, 03:37:18 pm
At this point, it's better to just run on the clock, turn his life into hell through investigations and subpoenas, and focus on defeating him in 2020.


That was always the plan to begin with.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Campaign Trail: Post Your Maps! on: October 18, 2018, 03:02:23 pm
Finally!  Won as Truman without accepting a Civil Rights plank in the Democratic platform.  My strategy was to campaign exclusively in Ohio and the Mountain/Plains states, as CA and NY quickly become fools' gold if you don't accept Civil Rights.  I always answered the most liberal policy position given as well.



Truman / Barkley - 289 EV, 23.9 million PV (49.5%)
Dewey / Warren - 242 EV, 21.8 million PV (45.1%)
Wallace / Taylor - 0 EV, 2.6 million PV (5.5%)
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Reaction to this Trump re-election map on: October 18, 2018, 12:01:07 pm
It would mean that the economy stays great until 2020 and that the Dems went to the far-left and alienated moderate suburbanites in Virginia while Trump maintains his margins with the WWC.
6  General Discussion / Constitution and Law / Re: Do Supreme Court Justices vote? on: October 16, 2018, 11:14:52 am
Not on SCOTUS (yet) but Kavanaugh claimed he stopped voting, period, after he was elevated to the DC Corcuit. Whether you believe this claim is up to you.

I am not certain of his residence, but in some states records of who voted are public. 

Yeah I was about to say, shouldn't this be pretty easy to figure out?

I think they probably don't vote.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Senate: will Democrats win Arizona, Nevada, or Missouri? on: October 16, 2018, 09:55:15 am
NOTA

NV is quickly moving towards Heller, GOP suburbanites will come home for McSally, and the momentum is against McCaskill in MO.

8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Competitive House Race Predictions - Alabama to Arkansas on: October 16, 2018, 09:53:52 am
Young
O'Halleran
Kirkpatrick
Schweikert
Hill
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: (Thread) Interesting factoids about presidential elections. on: October 15, 2018, 05:31:49 pm
I'm a little curious and I figured some people on here have more time than I do.. Were there any Gore/Bush/Obama/Romney/Trump counties? If so, what states were they concentrated in?

Jefferson County, WV comes close, having narrowly gone for Bush in 2000
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: (Thread) Interesting factoids about presidential elections. on: October 15, 2018, 05:26:14 pm
In 2016 Trump got more votes in New York City than he did the entire state of Utah.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: How many terms will the next president serve? on: October 15, 2018, 01:33:15 pm
Two-term moderate Democrat from 2025 to 2033
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Updated predictions- How many House seats do you think Dems will pick up? on: October 15, 2018, 01:21:30 pm
28
13  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Why was Prop 187 considered racist and xenophobic on: October 15, 2018, 01:17:02 pm
Many people see illegal immigration and Mexican as being conterminous. Pete Wilson ran ads showing Mexican people running across highways even though not all undocumented immigrants are Mexican. It was a political proposition to get him re-elected and even almost pulled Michael Huffington over the line for Senate. California still had a lot of racist elements at the time (particularly Southern California) and the rhetoric for Proposition 187 was either low key or outright racist.

It still does.
14  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Would you rather live in a Republican part of a Democratic state or vice-versa? on: October 15, 2018, 10:48:53 am
Democratic part of a Republican state, since I tend to prefer Deep South cities the best.  Atlanta, Memphis, Birmingham, Jackson, New Orleans, etc.
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Does Tom Cotton run for Governor of Arkansas in 2022? on: October 15, 2018, 10:39:15 am
That seems like a big downgrade.  Its not like Governor of California or Texas, its Arkansas...  If he wants to have a national profile I think he would stay in DC.

Yup.  The Senate-to-Governor pipeline is pretty much limited to larger states.
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: For fun, let's try and predict the maps for the next six elections on: October 15, 2018, 10:33:51 am
2020


2024


2028


2032


2036


2040
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Senatorial Ratings and Predictions - Missouri on: October 14, 2018, 05:47:47 pm
18  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Pledge to never vote for Hillary Clinton (again)! on: October 13, 2018, 02:43:44 pm
Nay.  I'm still with Her.
19  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion Of Kanye West on: October 13, 2018, 02:43:05 pm
He's music is alright (it use to be better), and its really concerning to think about the state of his mental health.
20  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: What is your favorite season? on: October 12, 2018, 01:33:17 pm
1.  Spring
2.  Winter
3.  Fall
4.  Summer
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Your reaction when/if Heller wins on: October 12, 2018, 01:24:01 pm
Not surprise at all by this point.

Honestly, I think NV and AZ will be easier-than-expected holds for the GOP.
22  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: opinion of the death penalty on: October 12, 2018, 01:21:08 pm
Support in extreme cases.  Federal use of the death penalty should be limited to mass murderers and terrorists (i.e., Timothy McVeigh types).

At the state level, I think that capital murder should be limited to murders committed in the commission of another crime (such as robbery, breaking and entering, kidnapping, etc.)
23  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: what characteristics should potential parents be able to select for? on: October 12, 2018, 01:18:28 pm
None, we shouldn't play god. You're stuck with what you get.

This ^

I wonder how all the Down Syndrome and dwarfism rights activists would react to the idea that their populations should be eliminated through gene selection.
24  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Which Clinton do you prefer? on: October 12, 2018, 01:13:09 pm
Hillary, easily.
25  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Best of the last five presidents on: October 12, 2018, 01:11:20 pm
1.  HW
2.  W
3.  Clinton
4.  Trump
5.  Obama
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 199


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