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1  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: Fremont Voting Booth : October 2017 elections on: October 21, 2017, 03:08:02 pm
Senate
1. Siren
2. Wulfric

Ballot Measure 1
Yes
2  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: Fremont Voting Booth : September 2017 special election on: September 17, 2017, 02:48:52 pm


FOR SENATE (CLASS I)

[2] Kamala of South Dakota
Movement for the Regeneration of Fremont - People's Revolutionary Democratic Centre

[3] LumineVonReuental of Utah
Independent

[1] Siren of Nevada
Amazons of Themyscira - Independent

[   ] Write-in


3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Largest city (or municipality) in each state to vote for Trump on: September 15, 2017, 11:43:01 pm
Would Plano be the biggest city to vote for Trump?

Nationally or in Texas? If the former, no, that was OKC. In Texas, has anyone checked Plano, as well as Arlington or Corpus Christi?

So the precincts of Arlington located within Tarrant County appear to have narrowly voted Clinton '16...

Trump- 17,218 (46.9%),   Clinton 17,397 (47.4%)

Next stop, will take a look at Corpus Chris, unless someone has data on Fort Worth or Arlington that indicates other than the data that I found.

40,000 votes is rather small for a city of almost 400,000.  Are you sure those numbers are correct? 
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Why did Carter do so well in ME,VT? on: September 15, 2017, 10:57:42 pm
The 1982 Almanac of American Politics said many in Vermont felt alienated from Reagan due to his perceived conservatism on cultural issues.  It's good to keep in mind that Carter still did almost six points worse in Vermont compared to 1976 (he dropped from 43% to 38%), with Anderson carrying 15% in 1980.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Arkansas 1980 on: September 15, 2017, 06:27:30 pm
It says in the 1982 Almanac of American Politics that Fort Chaffee ("near port Smith") was a major entree point for Cuban refugees.  According to the book, the locals were upset over the rumors that all the refugees were criminals and/or homoxexuals (I'm not making this up, I swear), for which Democrats suffered across the board.    

This is the only solid item I could find.  Other than that, the book says that Carter's loss in Arkansas, coinciding with Bill Clinton's loss in the gubernatorial race, was very unexpected.  The Cuban refugee issue must have had more effect across the state than most realized; the economy and Reagan's religious roots probably played a large part as well.  Tongue
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Arkansas 1980 on: September 15, 2017, 06:16:41 pm
Hold on, let me get my Almanac... 
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: How each election's map would look like if the PV was tied on: September 15, 2017, 06:10:14 pm
Washington, in terms of margin of victory, was actually more Republican than the nation in 1980, so it should be blue. 
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: WA-8: Reichert retiring on: September 11, 2017, 02:03:52 pm
Don't derail the thread, guys.
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Largest city (or municipality) in each state to vote for Trump on: September 10, 2017, 06:59:55 pm
There's virtually no chance that Fargo ND, Sioux Falls SD, or Billings MT voted for Hillary.  Likewise, North and South Dakota should be colored pink as well.  

By the way, Cynic has election data that shows Anchorage AK went to Trump by high single digits.  


Btw, I did some work on Dave's redistricting app a few years ago, and Obama lost Billings MT by 4%-6% back in '08, even though he only lost the state by 3%.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Can we get a map showing the approval ratings of Trump in every state? on: August 28, 2017, 10:47:49 pm
It looks like Trump made serious inroads in Utah, interesting given how unpopular he was there during the general.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Can we get a map showing the approval ratings of Trump in every state? on: August 25, 2017, 10:53:54 pm
I was thinking we could collectively look for and compile polls to see if we could use that data to see how they relate to his national approvals.  Polls for 2018 statewide elections might be the best place to look, as they often come with presidential ratings.  Anyone willing to help?
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Rate It: IL-10 in 2018 on: August 05, 2017, 03:41:29 pm
Safe D.  It's a Trump midterm in a district Clinton won by almost 30% points.  The only way a Republican wins is if Alexi Giannoulias is the Democratic nominee. 
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: August 01, 2017, 09:52:45 pm
U.S. House Elections, 12/22/1788-3/5/1789:



North Carolina Results N/A.  At large seats are colored >20%.
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: August 01, 2017, 01:53:01 pm
Thanks Shua, I'll have it up today.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Wyoming on: July 30, 2017, 02:32:01 am
Just out of curiosity, how many people here have visited Wyoming?
16  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: Fremont Voting Booth : July 2017 special election on: July 07, 2017, 07:37:44 pm
Senate

1.) Alpha
2.) 1184AZ


Ballot measure: Yes
17  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: June 2017 Federal Election on: June 25, 2017, 07:29:38 pm
PRESIDENT AND VICE PRESIDENT OF ATLASIA
1. Clyde/Siren
2. dfw/Goldwater

HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES - NINE SEATS
1. Poirot
2. Dr Novella
3. Peebs
4. OneJ
5. Alpha
6. cxs018
7. Leinad
8. fhtagn
9. Pessimistic Antineutrino
18  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: Fremont Voting Booth : June 2017 elections on: June 25, 2017, 07:28:46 pm
COMMONWEALTH OF FREMONT
JUNE 2017 ELECTION
OFFICIAL BALLOT


FOR SENATE (CLASS I)

[1] Roy Barnes 2010 of Washington
Democratic Alliance - Labor Party

[   ] Wulfric of Arizona
Independent

[2] Write-in E.G. Whitlam AC QC


FOR PRIME MINISTER

[1] Harry S Truman of North Dakota
Liberal Democracy Party - Labor Party

[2] Write-in Pitt the Younger


FOR HOUSE OF COMMONS

[2] anty1691 of California
Independent - Labor Party

[1] HenryWallaceVP of Iowa
Liberal Democracy Party - Labor Party

[3] RFayette of Iowa
Independent - Atlas Conservative Party
BALLOT MEASURE 1
Text: [The proposed Grammatical Accuracy Amendment to the Constitution of the Republic of Atlasia may be read here.]
Question: Shall the proposed Grammatical Accuracy Amendment to the Constitution of the Republic of Atlasia be ratified?

[X] YES

[   ] NO

[   ] ABSTAIN


BALLOT MEASURE 2
Text: [The proposed Voting Rights Amendment to the Constitution of the Republic of Atlasia may be read here.]
Question: Shall the proposed Voting Rights Amendment to the Constitution of the Republic of Atlasia be ratified?

[X] YES

[   ] NO

[   ] ABSTAIN

19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Why Georgia went R on: June 22, 2017, 11:03:56 am
Dems ran the pre 2016 campaign strategy....to no one's surprise it failed epically.

This is all that needs to be said.  This "suburban strategy" will crash and burn, and the GOP will become more invincible to it as the party evolves over the next 30 years.  Sorry, but that's just the truth.

GA-06 election results
Romney +23

Handel +3

Clearly the Democrats aren't making any inroads.

I love how you skipped the "Trump +1" part. I agree that this area is trending Democratic and that GA should be a blue state by 2024 or 2028, though.

To be fair, Rubio probably would've won this district by 6-10%.  Tongue
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Why Georgia went R on: June 21, 2017, 12:25:45 am
Because it's the dna of the place
Attack ads in the later stages of the race, along with the fact that it's a traditionally Republican district.

Yes.  Trump was literally the worst Republican fit for this district (other than Ted Cruz), and even he won it.  It's really not a surprise that a Republican with less baggage would end up doing better.  Remember, this district was 60%+ Romney in 2012; it's still impressive that Ossoff only lost it by 4%, even with his numerous "advantages."
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: June 05, 2017, 07:31:57 pm
Does anyone have data for the results of the 2000 election using the district lines that were in effect then? All I can find were the results by the district lines in 2006.

This was actually posted in the archieves on the previous page:
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Could Dave Reichert finally be defeated in 2018? on: June 04, 2017, 06:49:44 pm
"Likely Republican"

-Me
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25 on: May 25, 2017, 10:41:26 pm
Did Quist do something to piss off the people of Big Horn County?  
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25 on: May 25, 2017, 10:23:58 pm
So I guess the only chance for Quist to win is to close the gap in Billings+get remaining Missoula precincts+Silver Bow+favorable election day vote overall.  
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Generic Congressional Ballot Megathread on: May 15, 2017, 07:57:00 pm
Politico Pro is reporting that House Majority PAC released internals on 3 Trump GOP reps who are all losing to "unnamed democrats" take it with a grain of salt obviously but:

IA-01: Blum trails 32-47

MI-06: Upton behind 37-41

ME-02: Poliquin down 43-44

(all against unnamed Democrat)

From @AliLapp on twitter
I was watching a video of protesting in Fred Upton's district. Obama won the district in 2012, so I wouldn't doubt it given a favorable national mood.

He won it in 2008.  Romney won the 6th 50%-49%. 
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