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October 19, 2017, 04:54:55 pm
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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Spanish elections and politics on: October 01, 2017, 04:37:43 pm
I'm fervently opposed to Catalan/Scottish/Confederate/wherever independence because I do not believe that parts of countries with democratic governments should be able to easily leave whenever they happen to disagree with the rest of the country - but I am disgusted by the actions of the Spanish government today.
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Federal Election - Sept. 24 - Results Thread on: September 24, 2017, 08:13:43 pm
Best results map site I've seen so far:
https://interaktiv.morgenpost.de/deutschlandwahlkarte2017/#en
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: What happened/is happening in Shelby County, TN? on: September 17, 2017, 02:02:41 pm
How have y'all have been discussing my home county without me?

As Adam's maps illustrate, the biggest factor in the drop is lower enthusiasm in the African-American community, though this doesn't quite explain why there were even fewer votes in 2016 than 2004.

The thing that surprises me in Adam's turnout map is East Memphis experiencing a consistent drop - its more stable in population, but is also likely the part of town with the most angst about both candidates.

Speaking of angst, East Memphis, Cordova, and Germantown all had substantial Romney to Clinton swings as evidenced by this animation comparing 2012 and 2016 precinct results.

This map uses non-atlas colors.  Please wear appropriate eye protection.



You'll also note that in neighboring Tipton and Fayette counties the turnout dropped a bit despite significant population growth, while the GOP % went up.  These counties have AA populations that are declining rapidly while being replaced by white voters.
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Elections & Politics on: August 31, 2017, 09:17:32 pm
FDP 79%
SPD 61%
CDU/CSU 58%
Green 55%
Left 46%
AFD 38%
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Alternative Elections / Re: 2020 Pence vs Kasich Republican primary on: July 31, 2017, 11:02:41 pm
John Kasich is one of my favorite leaders. He's an honorable man.  He's a decent man.  He is a tolerant man.  He is a compassionate man.

For all of those reasons, He can't win in my party right now.  He would be toast.

6  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Best Chief of Staff? on: July 31, 2017, 08:55:04 pm
Baker
7  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Best Senate US Majority Leader of the Past 40 Years on: July 31, 2017, 08:54:15 pm
Howard Baker
8  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Ford vs. Carter on: July 11, 2017, 09:29:30 pm
Ford!
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread on: July 09, 2017, 11:37:57 am
Opinion poll graph since 1943 I made.

Beware if you open it if you have a slug computer like mine. The file is moderately large.

http://orig01.deviantart.net/a05d/f/2017/190/3/1/1943_2017_graph_of_uk_polls_by_thumboy21-dbfnp07.png

Source:
https://www.markpack.org.uk/opinion-polls/

Awesome!  I'm intrigued by the period in 1981 when the Liberals were actually ahead in the polls.  Wow.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2017 British Columbia election on: June 29, 2017, 09:00:12 pm
Am I the only one who thinks this is really, really bad long-term strategy on the Liberals part?  Wouldn't a new election just result in Green votes in marginal Liberal seats putting NDP over the top with an actual majority?
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Mexican Elections 2017-18 on: June 24, 2017, 05:26:12 pm


So not only can you vote for an alliance or the individual party, but also variants of alliances?
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: New Study Shows What Really Happened in the 2016 Election on: June 23, 2017, 09:17:09 pm
While overall I'm not sure I disagree with their conclusions, I call B.S. on the chart and the idea that there aren't many fiscal-conservative/social-liberals out there.  How are they defining the center of each axis?  There's like 100 red and blue dots on the far-left of this spectrum but only one dot on the far-right?  The average Republican is economically centrist, or if you take the median, slightly center-left?  Come on.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread on: June 09, 2017, 01:05:38 am
Labour about to pick up safe Tory but very Remain seat of Kensington in London.
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread on: June 09, 2017, 12:26:22 am
Seriously, I'm no expert on British elections, but when's the last time the Torie's had this many seats in Scotland?

1983
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: France 2017: Results Thread on: May 07, 2017, 04:56:52 pm
Macron won Yerres, home of Nicholas Dupont-Aignan, with 68%.  NDA won it in the first round.
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Past Election What-ifs (US) / Re: California 2002: Gray Davis vs. Richard Riordan on: May 07, 2017, 09:05:42 am
Riordan!!!!
17  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Who would you vote for: French Presidential second round (post-debate) on: May 04, 2017, 11:15:19 pm
Macron (free market Fillonite)
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election, June 8th 2017 on: May 02, 2017, 10:35:53 pm
As someone who doesn't really understand UK politics, could someone explain to me why Corbyn has been floundering so badly since he got elected?

Because he's a nutter.
19  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Early test: How would you vote for in the 2018 Austrian election ? on: February 24, 2017, 10:04:12 pm
1. VP
2. NEOS
3. SP
4. Greens
5. BZ
5. write in all other citizens of Austria
8,000,000. Stronach
8,000,001. FP
8,000,002. KP
20  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Which state has the best politics? Virginia, Tennessee, or Montana? on: February 24, 2017, 09:58:44 pm
Tennessee (R), but I'm partial Smiley
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How would John Kasich have done against Hillary Clinton? on: January 18, 2017, 10:31:21 pm
I supported Kasich but I have to admit that Trump accessed some segments of the electorate that no one else could reach.

Kasich would have done better in the national popular vote, besting Trump's totals in the Houston and Dallas suburbs, The OC, SLC, Chicagoland, Atlanta burbs, etc. - but I can't see him picking up nearly as many of the voters driven by blue collar angst that drove Trump's victories in MI and PA.

22  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of the Obama-era Republican Party on: December 20, 2016, 11:39:29 pm
For those of us in the GOP who care about facts, truth, decency, national unity, and fair play -- admittedly it has not been a glorious time.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Donald Trump vs. Keith Ellison on: November 26, 2016, 04:52:02 pm
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: RI's 2016 Precinct Map Thread on: November 26, 2016, 03:10:07 pm
Where is the best place to find updated precinct shapefiles for a whole state?  Only one I can find for TN is from the 2010 census data.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Counties with the longest streak of voting for one party for President on: November 25, 2016, 03:23:27 pm
Tennessee

D: Haywood (since 1972)
R: Cocke, Hancock, Wayne (Never D in Atlas history which dates to 1912)

According to the maps on the Wikipedia pages for each election, Wayne has been R since 1876.  Cocke and Hancock have been R since 1868.  Hancock did vote for Breckenridge in 1860 but the last time Cocke voted Democrat was for Andrew Jackson in 1832, and even that appears to be by a close margin.
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