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News: Cast your Ballot in the 2016 Mock Election

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76  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Trump Jr./Russian lawyer meeting: Jr. knew info was part of Russian Gov effort on: July 11, 2017, 03:15:06 pm
lol:

Quote
Blake Hounshell‏Verified account
@blakehounshell

Source close to Manafort says he didn't read all the way down the email chain

https://twitter.com/blakehounshell/status/884860271373803520

If this is the best excuse he can come up with, then the emails must be a smoking gun, because otherwise he clearly wouldn't bother trying.
77  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Trump Jr./Russian lawyer meeting: Jr. knew info was part of Russian Gov effort on: July 11, 2017, 02:55:06 pm
Basically, Trump's best defense is that he was too unimportant for Putin to ever bother with him (unlike Tillerson), and that he was at best someone who only consorted with provincial oligarchs (which is what Trump, sans reality show, essentially is himself). I can't imagine him going for this argument even if it'd save him. That said, it's entirely reasonable to expect that Trump's value in the Kremlin's eyes, boosted by the potentials of his vanity and indecorousness, increased once he started leading in the primaries.

Quote
It was with the Agalarovs that Trump partnered for the 2013 Miss Universe pageant, held in Moscow. That's how Goldstone, who arranged the presence of Trump and the contestants in an Emin Agalarov music video, knew Donald Jr. Emin, for his part, knew Veselnitskaya, queen of the regional courtrooms. Before he was elected, Trump's level of communication in Russia was no higher than that of the Moscow Region's elite, several notches below the Kremlin. Aras Agalarov said of Trump in a recent interview with the Russian daily Komsomolskaya Pravda:

"It's one thing when he communicates with me. That's, like, one level. But it's a different matter for him to communicate with the president of the Russian Federation"

It was Rex Tillerson, the current secretary of state, who, as chief executive officer at Exxon Mobil, enjoyed the highest level of access. Trump just wasn't important enough. It's entirely possible that a Kremlin effort to help Trump beat Hillary Clinton reached to lower levels because that's where it was easiest to establish contact with Trump's family. But it's more likely that Veselnitskaya, the tenacious and ambitious lawyer who could pull every string in the Moscow Region, did so to get her pet issue -- the repeal of the Magnitsky Act, which was getting her major client in trouble -- in front of some important Americans. That kind of effort would have been on the right level.
https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2017-07-11/trump-s-low-level-russian-connection
78  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Trump Jr./Russian lawyer meeting: Jr. knew info was part of Russian Gov effort on: July 11, 2017, 02:45:02 pm
Are you all serious?



"If it's what you say I love it, especially later in the summer." Trump Jr. explicitly was advising Goldstone to drop info closer to the election. Like, what sort of person's reaction to "...s part of Russia and its government's support for Mr. Trump" isn't immediately contacting the FBI?

This stuff is ridiculously incriminating, and he CCed Manafort and Kushner on the whole chain.

Wait, what is this "Crown Prosecutor of Russia" business? Is he referring to the Prosecutor-General, I think it is?
79  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: Fremont Voting Booth : July 2017 special election on: July 09, 2017, 01:59:57 am
1.1184AZ
2. Yes
80  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: The Great Brazil Topic on: June 29, 2017, 06:21:34 pm
1.500 soldiers arrived in Brasilia to reinforce the security, the Military Police estimated 35.000 people protesting at it's peak and the CUT estimated 200.000 people during all the day, ministries buildings have been targets of vandalism. 7 people were jailed and 49 injured.

The CUT launched the #, "#OcupaBrasilia" (#OccupyBrasilia)

The chances of this guy becoming President just shot up.



But ideally someone like Joaquim Barbosa will be selected.

He is denying there will be any military intervention almost every other day now. To me, the increasing frequency of such statements closely mimics the pattern that of the Thai army's similar assurances that they wouldn't stage a coup, which both became more frequent and increasingly ambiguous over time, and we all know how that ended.

Villas Boas: Army is in state of "shock, consternation, and concern"

Villas Boas: Armed Forces are most trusted institution because of "values, ethics, and traditions", celebrates opinion poll showing 84% trust in military while presidency is trusted by just 3%

Imagine if Joseph Dunford were to talk in this manner with the background of everything that's been happening to Trump right now. We'd find that very odd, right?
81  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: New Register Thread on: June 29, 2017, 05:23:10 pm
Simfan34
New People's Party
California
82  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Mnuchin Wedding Caption Contest on: June 28, 2017, 07:03:35 pm
Mrs. Mnuchin: 9/10, would bang

She looks like she's seen a ghost. Then again, one might argue she's looking at worse that very minute.
83  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Mnuchin Wedding Caption Contest on: June 28, 2017, 04:41:15 pm
What is wrong with Mnuchin's jacket?

Nothing, as far as I can see. On closer inspection, however, his trousers are comically low-rise; I thought it his waistcoat was slightly too long at first, but it seems his shirt is sticking out underneath his waistcoat. Given the formality of his outfit he may as well be "sagging"; the entire point of a waistcoat is to, predictably, cover the waist.

These people are so incompetent they cannot even pull off looking like proper plutocrats!
84  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Despite Embarrassments, 100s of Judges Preside in New York Without Law Degrees on: June 28, 2017, 04:37:22 pm
I recall seeing about a dozen people, all running unopposed, on the ballot for judgeships here last November. I wrote in a few legal scholars and left the rest blank. I understand that they (that, is the Democratic nomination for the post) are largely handed out by borough party bosses as favors to allies and are in effect sinecures. Many of these bosses are lawyers and in turn can make a fortune representing clients in front of these judges whom they have in effect placed in office! A few have gone to jail for bribes, yes, but by and large the practice continues in more or less the same form as it did in the days of Tammany Hall.

I remember reading something about one such crony judge not too long ago, I forget where. This judge was a drunk who'd show up late to court and managed to get herself promoted to the state Supreme Court where she'd have stayed if not for decision to rave at some journalists one day for daring to take notes on the proceedings. It's the same story on Long Island, with the exception that the practice there is bipartisan; the divvying up of the seats is agreed in advance and many candidates receive cross-party endorsement.
85  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Liberals...do you realize Trump is "winning"? on: June 28, 2017, 04:20:47 pm
No matter how right-wing you may be, Cal, you'll eventually find that the common trait amongst all but a few within today's GOP is the lack of any sort of capacity for logical reasoning, empathy, or pragmatism. In short, brainlessness. They are so intellectually bankrupt that they cannot even adhere to a coherent "pro-business" line, and thus repudiate the consensus of corporate America things like the Paris Agreement, the EXIM Bank, or a functional healthcare system for the sake of a few deep pocketed ideologues. They preach moral rectitude yet have brought a corpulent, dissolute vulgarian to the White House who they by and large stood by even as he boasted of his ability to fondle women's genitals. They aver fiscal responsibility yet have repeatedly wrecked our nation's finances every time they've come to power in the past few decades, as this administration seems intent on doing yet again.

There are a few good people, not necessarily "moderates" like Kasich, Haslam, or Baker, but also genuine conservatives like Flake or Sasse, but they are now in the decisive minority. As for the rest, there are many things one might call them, but "conservative" is not one of them.
86  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Mnuchin Wedding Caption Contest on: June 28, 2017, 04:12:19 pm
So, the happy bride, 36-year-old actress Louise Linton, is also...um...

Quote from: The LA Times
The trouble began with an article by Linton that appeared in the Telegraph in the UK on July 1 under the headline "How my dream gap year in Africa turned into a nightmare," accompanied by a photo of the blond actress.

The article was meant to promote Linton's book, “In Congo's Shadow: One Girl's Perilous Journey to the Heart of Africa," co-written with author Wendy Holden, which was published via Amazon’s self-publishing platform CreateSpace in the U.S. in April.

In the article, Linton, who was in Zambia, described hiding from armed rebels as a nearby village was being attacked. "As the night ticked interminably by, I tried not to think what the rebels would do to the 'skinny white muzungu with long angel hair’ if they found me," she writes, using a Swahili word for a foreigner of European heritage.

"Life was idyllic at first," Linton writes, "but I soon learned that Africa is rife with hidden danger. I witnessed random acts of violence, contracted malaria and had close encounters with lions, elephants, crocodiles and snakes."

You're joking. It's the woman who wrote that? What an utter parody this administration is.

Does Trump have a pathological aversion to buttoning his suit?
87  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Jack Reed 2020? on: June 15, 2017, 01:17:56 pm
He is the one senator I literally keep on forgetting exists.
88  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: The Great Brazil Topic on: May 31, 2017, 05:14:47 pm
Is the phrase "a party of the right-wing, not a right-wing party" still accurate?
89  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Politico: Sanders revolution hits a rough patch on: May 31, 2017, 03:16:03 pm
The Sanders movement should organize within the DSA. If they were to get just 3% of his voters their membership would increase to 350,000 or abouts, which would be near 20-fold increase.
90  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: WaPo: Germans wonder why Trump keeps lashing out at them and not Russia/Saudi on: May 31, 2017, 03:13:56 pm
Sim, the total force numbers would refer in this case to just the Army land forces but spot on with the overall numbers, UK defines overall force (Regular+reserve components) as "UK Service Personnel."

Where are you getting that from? The chart refers to just "military personnel", so that would be inclusive of navies, air forces, etc. It's the only way those numbers would make sense; the Italian Army doesn't number 320,000 soldiers.
91  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: The Great Brazil Topic on: May 31, 2017, 02:57:11 pm
1.500 soldiers arrived in Brasilia to reinforce the security, the Military Police estimated 35.000 people protesting at it's peak and the CUT estimated 200.000 people during all the day, ministries buildings have been targets of vandalism. 7 people were jailed and 49 injured.

The CUT launched the #, "#OcupaBrasilia" (#OccupyBrasilia)

The chances of this guy becoming President just shot up.



But ideally someone like Joaquim Barbosa will be selected.

He is denying there will be any military intervention almost every other day now. To me, the increasing frequency of such statements closely mimics the pattern that of the Thai army's similar assurances that they wouldn't stage a coup, which both became more frequent and increasingly ambiguous over time, and we all know how that ended.
92  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: WaPo: Germans wonder why Trump keeps lashing out at them and not Russia/Saudi on: May 31, 2017, 02:42:08 pm


Is 150,000 active duty really acurate for Britain? I had assumed their military had shrink more significantly.
Good grief. Isn't that low enough?!

I was just asking because I saw some articles say that it had fallen to 80,000 or something similar.

The British Army had 83, 560 regular soldiers and 29,940 reservists as of 1 April this year. https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/597051/Monthly_service_personnel_statistics-_February_2017.pdf

So 113,500 total force. It isn't that bad due to British lack of engagement but it is lower than the 2010 142,000 total force figure.

That's just the Army. In 2014 the total for all three branches was 159,630. In 2010 it was 191,660 and in 1997 210,800.
93  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: WaPo: Germans wonder why Trump keeps lashing out at them and not Russia/Saudi on: May 31, 2017, 09:32:45 am
Is 150,000 active duty really acurate for Britain? I had assumed their military had shrink more significantly.

i am quite intrigued by the numbers myself (especially italy) but...

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3581019/The-number-active-duty-soldiers-Army-lowest-pre-World-War-II.html

Italy's numbers are likely inflated by the inclusion of the Carabineri and the Financial Police. I imagine the same applies to Spain with the Guardia Civil.

But yes, it's a shame that May has not committed to reversing the defence cuts when that would play well with the public aside from making good sense in its own right. I bet she could openly raise defence spending to 3% of GDP. Even Corbyn is slamming her for cutting defence and police spending-- boy, are British politics in a very different place than ours. Brexit should be seen as both motivation and justification for Britain asserting itself more in defence issues and increasing its capacity, making itself indispensable; the goal should be to restore the military to its 1997 levels.

The size of "peace dividend" was overestimated, full stop.
94  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Trump lonely, angry after intl trip, gained weight and feeling depressed. on: May 31, 2017, 09:25:29 am
"Despite the constant negative press covr... cver... covfefe... ah, wat the hell, Im goin to bed now."

Famous covefefes of history:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S9nb88df0xY
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T0z1DzxAclY
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hORaebYWDwk
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hkYzuHMcP64
95  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: Shattered on: May 30, 2017, 04:20:41 pm
This TL feels more real than reality. I agree I don't see Trump Jr. winning in NYC, or even coming anywhere close, but it's your timeline. Keep going! I would just like to propose another headline:

DUTERTE: CLINTON "DAUGHTER OF A WHORE", LASHES OUT AT DRUG WAR CRITICISM
96  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Deeply disturbing (Part Neuf) on: May 30, 2017, 03:47:18 pm
What poor fellow is it this time?
97  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: THE ORB on: May 21, 2017, 10:02:26 pm
The irony is that it is entirely superfluous. A counter extremism centre in Saudi Arabia? If you want to fight religious extremism, get rid of this guy, the religious affairs minister (and direct descendant of Mohammed ibn Abd al-Wahhab)


98  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: THE ORB on: May 21, 2017, 07:20:53 pm
It's even better in context; play "find the leader":


99  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: THE ORB on: May 21, 2017, 07:16:39 pm
I don't think backing the Saudis over Iran is necessarily such a silly, wrongheaded policy (clearly a (((globalist)))), but fraternizing with them like this is just pathetic and unnecessary.

I don't think it's (((globalist))), it may be [[[globalist]]] or <<<globalist>>>.
100  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: NYC General Discussion - You Hear That Giant Sucking Sound? on: May 21, 2017, 09:25:20 am
Mayor de Blasio Has a Habit of Leaving Out the Press

Quote
Since entering office back in January, Mayor de Blasio's relationship with the journalists assigned to cover him has gotten a bit testy. While it's no surprise that de Blasio became less eager to talk to the press once he no longer had an election to win, reporters say that he has established a pattern of keeping them out of proceedings entirely. In March, Capital New York's Dana Rubinstein noted that de Blasio limited coverage to pool reports — where one member of the City Hall press corps attends an event and shares their write-up with the other news outlets — much more often than his predecessor. "During his first two months in office, de Blasio has pooled print reporters at least seven times, more than Mayor Michael Bloomberg did in his final three years combined, according to a review of both mayors' public schedules," Rubinstein wrote. "If de Blasio's first two months are any indication, by the end of the year he will be on track to have pooled print reporters more than 30 times." On Tuesday, the AP pointed out that he has already hit that mark.

http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2014/05/mayor-de-blasio-has-a-habit-of-leaving-out-press.html

It appears he's not up to media scrutiny; as the Observer put it, he appears to have a "transparency problem"

This remains an issue, as an article and an editorial in the Times expressed:

Bill de Blasio's Press Problem? Don't Ask
Quote
Mayors of New York tend to be remembered for the way they wrangle with City Hall reporters, a signature battle stance that says a lot about the personality of His Honor and his relationship with the press. For Rudy Giuliani, it was the righteous snarl. For Michael Bloomberg, the smirky insult.

For Mayor Bill de Blasio, it’s looking like: the petulant whine.

It’s been evident for months that the mayor hates it when he thinks reporters at public events aren’t asking the right questions, or are being too hostile or skeptical, or are getting the facts wrong, or are trying to stray off topic when he wants to stay on, on, on.

A Mayor Raises Questions by Refusing to Take Any
Quote
After arriving in a ferryboat festooned in bunting, with big-band jazz blaring from the shoreline, Mayor Bill de Blasio made an announcement on Monday that New York City’s new ferry service would soon begin. Then he walked away.

No questions were asked; no questions were allowed.

Most other times, this would be a strange sight — the mayor of the nation’s largest city passing up a chance to pontificate and parry with the City Hall press corps. But over the past four weeks, Mr. de Blasio, a Democrat, has staunchly exhibited an approach that might be described as “don’t ask, don’t answer.”

No questions were allowed after a Police Academy graduation, beside the statue known as “Fearless Girl” in Lower Manhattan, or even at the handful of events during the mayor’s weeklong road trip on Staten Island last week.

All mayors have periods of tension with the news media, especially in New York. But by abruptly restricting the times when he will take questions, Mr. de Blasio seems to be embracing a new communications model, one that relies on social media channels, town hall exchanges with average New Yorkers and one-on-one interviews with specific reporters.

It is a model that is largely untested in New York, among the last American cities with a robust coterie of news organizations covering local government, and one that has struck many observers as a break from decades of political norms.
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