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December 10, 2019, 06:07:58 am
News: 2020 U.S. Senate Predictions are now active.

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 21 
 on: Today at 03:59:33 am 
Started by LCameronOR - Last post by Landslide Lyndon
Tossup/Tilt D (slightly). It should be noted that O'Rourke was not the only statewide Democrat to win this district (the Democratic AG nominee won it as well), and it was fairly close at the House level despite not being seriously contested. This is probably the most likely Texas to flip after TX-23.

So 2 Dems winning it (out of 8? statewide candidates) makes it Tilt D? Tilt R imo for sure, though it's basically a meaningless distinction

Since it takes a bit for downballot voting patterns to match up ticket races like President and Congress, yes, the fact that this seat voted for the Democrat for AG despite Paxton being from DFW is a pretty big sign

I just love how you keep assuming 2020 will have a similar national environment as 2018 when it very likely will not

Why? It's not like Trump's popularity has improved noticeably or there is the potential for the economy to grow at a faster rate.

 22 
 on: Today at 03:58:07 am 
Started by JerryArkansas - Last post by cp


Unclear which ComRes method is being used here, i.e. whether it's the same they used for Gina Miller's poll last week or their regular methodology. Either way, 7 point gap pulls the overall averages of the race closer to a draw.

 23 
 on: Today at 03:57:16 am 
Started by Pericles - Last post by Pericles
Devout Centrist is recognized as the sponsor, thanks for pre-empting me and already advocating for the bill. It seems there is some good debate already starting on this.

 24 
 on: Today at 03:56:11 am 
Started by Pericles - Last post by MB
Aye

 25 
 on: Today at 03:56:10 am 
Started by Pericles - Last post by Pericles
MB is recognized as the sponsor and is invited to speak on this bill.

 26 
 on: Today at 03:42:18 am 
Started by Pericles - Last post by Pericles
24 hours to object to the final vote motion.

 27 
 on: Today at 03:38:27 am 
Started by Blue3 - Last post by Priest of Moloch
Major asteroid impact wipes out dominant competitor and opens space for mammals.

 28 
 on: Today at 03:36:42 am 
Started by Sir Mohamed - Last post by Sir Mohamed
I remember after Trump's election until just months ago, this forum and the online community in general was suggesting Dems would never nominate a white male again and there won't be another white male Dem prez. Assessing the 2020 race by the end of 2019, it looks like the chance for a white male nominee is 80%. In my opinion, that's the likelyhood of either Biden, Sanders or Buttigieg get nominated. Anyone else but Elizabeth Warren has a chance of nearly zero to be nominated.

As for ticket balance, I'm sure there Biden, Sanders and Butti will pick a woman, potentially a woman of color or with hispanic background.

 29 
 on: Today at 03:35:40 am 
Started by Scott 🤡🌏 - Last post by Meclazine

Yup, the state that provides China with the bulk load of it's iron ore to manufacture goods to sell to the USA to drive your country towards 3 Trillion US dollars in debt.

Don't choke on it while you are having a laugh.

 30 
 on: Today at 03:29:40 am 
Started by LCameronOR - Last post by dfwlibertylover
Tossup/Tilt D (slightly). It should be noted that O'Rourke was not the only statewide Democrat to win this district (the Democratic AG nominee won it as well), and it was fairly close at the House level despite not being seriously contested. This is probably the most likely Texas to flip after TX-23.

So 2 Dems winning it (out of 8? statewide candidates) makes it Tilt D? Tilt R imo for sure, though it's basically a meaningless distinction

Since it takes a bit for downballot voting patterns to match up ticket races like President and Congress, yes, the fact that this seat voted for the Democrat for AG despite Paxton being from DFW is a pretty big sign

I just love how you keep assuming 2020 will have a similar national environment as 2018 when it very likely will not
It's been moving very fast from right to left, I'm not even sure a good republican year could save it at this point.

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