Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Louisiana (user search)
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  Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Louisiana (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Rate Louisiana and Predict Who Will Win
#1
Safe D
 
#2
Likely D
 
#3
Lean D
 
#4
Toss-Up
 
#5
Lean R
 
#6
Likely R
 
#7
Safe R
 
#8
Clinton
 
#9
Trump
 
#10
Other
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 122

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Author Topic: Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Louisiana  (Read 1552 times)
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
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Posts: 11,689
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« on: August 12, 2016, 02:09:22 PM »

A Clinton improvement would follow more a John Bel Edwards template than a Cajun country one.  Basically, metro New Orleans, Baton Rouge and to a lesser extent Shreveport and Lafayette.  Almost certainly the areas with the most white college graduates too.

At least on paper, Louisiana should be a little more D than in 2012.  Voter Registration changes since 2012 are 12,000 more whites, 37,000 more A-A and 10,000 more other.  Also, oddly enough, the greatest increase in white registration is in Orleans Parish (8500 more) which is probably still part of the post-Katrina rebound.

53-44-3
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