Professor Lichtmann predicts Presidential Race for 2016 (user search)
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  Professor Lichtmann predicts Presidential Race for 2016 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Professor Lichtmann predicts Presidential Race for 2016  (Read 2219 times)
Blackacre
Spenstar3D
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Posts: 2,172
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Political Matrix
E: -5.35, S: -7.22
« on: November 03, 2016, 05:20:41 PM »
Quote from: Squidward Scissorhands on November 03, 2016, 05:19:35 PM
The Litchman test may be wrong for the 2nd time since its inception.

It was wrong in 2000, but that election was stolen.

It has a perfect track record if it's simply used to predict the winner of the popular vote Wink
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Blackacre
Spenstar3D
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,172
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.35, S: -7.22
« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2016, 05:43:55 PM »
Quote from: SpookyWE on November 03, 2016, 05:23:49 PM
The keys don't even retroactively work: they predicted a Tilden victory in 1876, Cleveland in 1884, and Wilson in 1916.

Yes, they do, if you adjust his prediction to work for the popular vote and not the EC. Tilden in 1876 and Cleveland in 1884 both won the popular vote in their elections. Wilson won his election in 1916 in both the PV and the EC. If you meant to say he predicted Hughes in 1916, then that would have been his one and only error
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