Which blue state Republican gubernatorial seats can the GOP keep?

[NewYorkExpress]

Vermont's the only one I could see as safe R as of right now.

Massachusetts really is that Democratic, so Baker should lose, with Trump's approval in the toilets unless national Democrats completely abandon the race. Same with Maryland.

Democrats should be able to pick up New Mexico, Nevada and New Jersey.

Maine should be a pickup, but I can see Democrats losing it in 2022.

Illinois is tricky, Democrats probably lose if they nominate Kennedy or Pritzker, but win with anyone else.

[NewYorkExpress]

I don't see anyone taking out Phil Scott, and if the Republicans run Collins then Maine is also gone.

I don't think Collins is going to run. She's just too vulnerable in a primary and she knows it. My guess is she doesn't run for Governor, and retires in 2020.